AC Milan - Atalanta

Regular Season - 26
Kickoff: 2024-02-25 09:45

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

AC Milan - Atalanta Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Atalanta
Best odds: 1.42

As the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza gears up for another thrilling Serie A encounter, all eyes are on the clash between AC Milan and Atalanta. The predictions are in, hinting at a fierce battle with AC Milan slightly favored to emerge victorious or at least secure a draw. Will the Rossoneri fortify their position in the top three, or will Atalanta cause an upset in Milan? Let's delve into the key players, recent form, and historical encounters to set the stage for this anticipated matchup.

Key Players

AC Milan's success this season can be attributed to the likes of Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, whose attacking prowess has been vital. With a rating of 6.64, Okafor has managed 4 goals, showing his capability to break the deadlock. On the defensive end, Jan-Carlo Šimić stands out with a rating of 6.85, contributing not just to the backline but also to the scoresheet with 1 goal.

Atalanta, on the other hand, showcases their midfield maestro Viktor Kovalenko, who boasts a rating of 6.74 and has been a creative force with 1 assist and a goal to his name. The defensive solidity comes from Sead Kolašinac, with a rating of 6.86 and a penchant for going forward, as evidenced by his 3 shots on target and a goal.

Recent Form

AC Milan's recent form has been impressive, with a string of 'WWDWW' in their last five games, reflecting a team in sync and high on confidence. Their home record is formidable, with 9 wins out of 12 games, making the San Siro a fortress to reckon with.

Atalanta has also been in fine form, their last five outings reading 'WWWWD'. They've shown they can hold their own on the road, with 4 wins in 11 away games. This sets the stage for a battle not just of skill but of will.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two has been evenly matched. Their most recent encounter on January 10, 2024, saw Atalanta edge out AC Milan with a 2-1 victory. However, AC Milan secured a 2-0 win in their previous home game against Atalanta on February 26, 2023. The head-to-head record is balanced, with both teams having their share of victories and setbacks, which only adds to the intrigue of their upcoming fixture.

Prediction

Considering the statistics and the performance of key players, the prediction leans towards AC Milan either winning or managing a draw. The Rossoneri have a total percent home advantage of 49.7 against Atalanta's 50.3, indicating a tight contest. However, with the likes of Okafor and Šimić in fine form and the home crowd behind them, AC Milan might just have the edge.

Atalanta, with Kovalenko and Kolašinac, will certainly not make it easy and will look to exploit any gaps in the Milanese armor. The match is poised to be a tactical showdown, with both teams likely to be cautious but looking for that moment of brilliance to tilt the scales in their favor.

Given the predictions, the advice leans towards a 'Double chance: AC Milan or draw'. The poisson distribution also favors AC Milan at home with 67% against Atalanta's 33%. The goals forecast suggests a low-scoring affair with under 3.5 goals for AC Milan and under 2.5 for Atalanta.

In conclusion, expect a closely contested match with AC Milan having the slight upper hand. The key battle will be between AC Milan's attacking force, led by Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, and Atalanta's defensive resilience, anchored by Sead Kolašinac. The prediction is a narrow victory or a solid draw for AC Milan, ensuring they stay in the hunt for the Champions League spots.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

40%
60%

Attacking Potential

39%
61%

Defensive Potential

17%
83%

Poisson Distribution

67%
33%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

57%
43%

Wins the game

45%
55%

AC Milan - Atalanta Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15