Atletico Madrid - Lazio

Kickoff: 2023-12-13 19:00

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Atletico Madrid - Lazio Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid
Best odds: 1.69
Prediction: Over 1.5
Best odds: 1.30

As the UEFA Champions League action heats up, a tantalizing encounter awaits at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano in Madrid. On a brisk Wednesday evening, Atletico Madrid will lock horns with Italy's Lazio in what is set to be a pivotal Group E clash. With predictions hinting at a home victory and an expectation of goals, the stage is set for a memorable European night.

Key players will undoubtedly be at the heart of this battle. However, specific stats for individual players have not been provided in the data. Nevertheless, both teams boast squads filled with talent capable of tipping the scales. For Atletico Madrid, the likes of João Félix and Koke are typically instrumental in orchestrating their attacking plays, while Jan Oblak remains a formidable last line of defense. On the opposite side, Lazio's sharpshooter Ciro Immobile and midfield maestro Sergej Milinković-Savić are always threats to any defense.

Recent Form

Recent form is a crucial indicator of a team's momentum heading into a match. Although the data does not provide the last games' results, form is often gauged by a team's performances in their most recent fixtures. Atletico Madrid, known for their gritty and resilient style under coach Diego Simeone, will look to leverage their home advantage and passionate support. Lazio, with their tactical flexibility under Maurizio Sarri, will aim to disrupt Atletico's rhythm and carve out opportunities to score.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history can reveal much about the psychological edge between teams. The provided data points to a recent encounter on September 19, 2023, where the teams shared the spoils with a 1-1 draw at Lazio's home ground. This suggests a closely matched competition, with neither side able to assert dominance over the other.

Prediction

Turning to the predictions, the numbers suggest a slight edge for the home team. Atletico Madrid is favored with a 45% win probability, while a draw stands at an equally strong 45%, leaving Lazio with a mere 10% chance of an away win. The advice leans towards a "Combo Winner: Atletico Madrid and +1.5 goals," indicating expectations for a win with at least two goals scored in the match.

The form stats give Atletico a slight edge with 52 over Lazio's 48, while the attacking prowess is significantly in favor of the home side (68 for Atletico against 32 for Lazio). However, defensively, Lazio appears stronger with a 55 rating against Atletico's 45. The poisson distribution, which can help predict the likelihood of match outcomes, also tips in favor of Atletico Madrid with 83 against Lazio's 17.

The head-to-head records show an even split with 50/50, but when it comes to goals, both teams are expected to contribute equally, as indicated by a 50/50 goals percent. The overall percentages, however, favor Atletico Madrid with 58 against Lazio's 42.

Taking all of these factors into account, the prediction for this Champions League encounter is a victory for Atletico Madrid. Expect the home side to utilize their attacking strengths, with key players stepping up to make the difference. The prediction also suggests that there will be goals, with the match total likely to exceed 1.5. Thus, the fans should brace themselves for an exciting match where Atletico Madrid is predicted to emerge victorious, potentially with a scoreline that reflects their attacking intent and solid performance at home.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

52%
48%

Attacking Potential

68%
32%

Defensive Potential

45%
55%

Poisson Distribution

83%
17%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

50%
50%

Wins the game

58%
42%

Atletico Madrid - Lazio Head to Head

UEFA Champions League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 12 6 6 16
2 FC Copenhagen players, news and schedule FC Copenhagen 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
3 Galatasaray players, news and schedule Galatasaray 6 1 2 3 10 13 -3 5
4 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 6 1 1 4 12 15 -3 4