Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint Germain

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

76'		0 - 2	Goal disallowed: Offside
76'		1 - 2	Goal	K. Mbappé
56'		1 - 1	Goal	W. Zaïre-Emery
51'		1 - 0	Goal	K. Adeyemi	N. Füllkrug (Assist)

57'		M. Hummels	Tripping
45'		Marquinhos	Foul

90'			In:	R. Kolo Muani	Out:	Carlos Soler
82'			In:	B. Barcola	Out:	Marco Asensio
81'			In:	K. Adeyemi	Out:	G. Reyna
81'			In:	N. Füllkrug	Out:	S. Haller
69'			In:	M. Wolf	Out:	N. Schlotterbeck
69'			In:	S. Özcan	Out:	M. Sabitzer
68'			In:	Lee Kang-In	Out:	M. Ugarte
60'			In:	J. Bynoe-Gittens	Out:	D. Malen

Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund or draw

Best odds: 2.00

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As the UEFA Champions League action unfolds, all eyes are set on SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, where Borussia Dortmund will face the glamorous Paris Saint-Germain on a chilly Wednesday night. The stage is set for a thrilling encounter, with predictions hinting at a potential upset in favor of the home side. Could Dortmund defy the odds or will PSG demonstrate their continental pedigree?

Key Players

While the team sheets are yet to be confirmed, both sides boast an array of talent that could turn the tide of the game. For Borussia Dortmund, fans will be looking towards their dynamic forward line to break through PSG's defense. Although specific stats for key players aren't provided, the likes of Erling Haaland and Marco Reus are typically instrumental in Dortmund's attacking prowess.

PSG, known for their star-studded lineup, will rely heavily on the flair and finishing of Kylian Mbappé and the creative genius of Neymar Jr. Their ability to turn games on their head is unparalleled, and Dortmund's defense will have to be at their best to keep them at bay.

Recent Form

The form of both teams coming into this match is a critical factor in predicting the outcome. The provided data suggests that Dortmund holds a slight edge with a form score of 59 compared to PSG's 41. This could be indicative of Dortmund's consistency and ability to grind out results even when not playing at their peak. However, the attacking threat of PSG, with an att_home score of 57, cannot be underestimated as they have the firepower to dismantle any defense on their day.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two European giants provides an interesting context to the upcoming clash. The last encounter on September 19, 2023, saw PSG emerge victorious with a 2-0 win over Dortmund. This result will surely be on the minds of the Dortmund players as they seek revenge and aim to capitalize on their home advantage.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is a fascinating one, with the odds favoring a Dortmund win or draw. The poisson distribution heavily favors the home side, with a 100% chance compared to PSG's 0%. This statistical model, combined with Dortmund's home advantage and recent form, suggests that they have a significant chance of coming out on top.

Moreover, the double chance prediction of a Dortmund win or draw, along with a 45% chance for both outcomes, reinforces the belief that Dortmund will not lose this game. The advice to bet on a double chance reflects the confidence in Dortmund's capability to secure at least a point from this fixture.

The goals prediction is set at under 2.5 for both teams, indicating a tight match with defenses expected to be on top. This could be a testament to Dortmund's defensive solidity, with a def_home score of 70 against PSG's def_away score of 30.

In terms of head-to-head home and away percentages, PSG might seem to have the upper hand historically with 67% away to Dortmund's 33% at home. However, the current season's dynamics and Dortmund's form suggest that past statistics might not be as influential.

Taking all factors into account, the final prediction is a bold one. Expect a gripping contest where Borussia Dortmund could very well secure a win or at least a draw against a formidable Paris Saint-Germain side. With the total percent home at 46.80% against away's 53.20%, the margins are fine, but SIGNAL IDUNA PARK could be the fortress that sees Dortmund through in this Group F finale.

In conclusion, the stage is set for a match that could either solidify Dortmund's position or throw the group wide open. With the prediction leaning towards a strong performance from the home team, this Champions League night in Dortmund is not to be missed.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

59%

41%

Attacking Potential

43%

57%

Defensive Potential

70%

30%

Poisson Distribution

100%

0%

Stregth H2H

33%

67%

Goals H2H

29%

71%

Wins the game

47%

53%

Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint Germain Head to Head

13/12	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 1	Paris Saint Germain
19/09	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 0	Borussia Dortmund

UEFA Champions League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	12	6	6	16
2	FC Copenhagen	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8
3	Galatasaray	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3	5
4	Manchester United	6	1	1	4	12	15	-3	4