Arsenal - Brighton

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

87'		2 - 0	Goal	K. Havertz	E. Nketiah (Assist)
53'		1 - 0	Goal	Gabriel Jesus

90'		P. Groß	Unsportsmanlike conduct
76'		B. Gilmour	Tripping
43'		K. Mitoma	Holding
43'
38'		B. White	Holding

90'			In:	O. Zinchenko	Out:	J. Kiwior
89'			In:	K. Havertz	Out:	E. Smith Rowe
89'			In:	B. Saka	Out:	R. Nelson
82'			In:	Gabriel Martinelli	Out:	L. Trossard
81'			In:	Gabriel Jesus	Out:	E. Nketiah
79'			In:	S. Adingra	Out:	D. Welbeck
60'			In:	A. Lallana	Out:	F. Buonanotte
60'			In:	E. Ferguson	Out:	João Pedro
60'			In:	J. Milner	Out:	Igor
27'			In:	J. Veltman	Out:	J. Hinshelwood

Arsenal - Brighton Predictions

Prediction: Arsenal or draw

Best odds: 1.17

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Prediction: Over 1.5

Best odds: 1.16

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As the Premier League action heats up, all eyes turn to the Emirates Stadium, where table-toppers Arsenal are set to clash with a spirited Brighton side. With predictions suggesting a blend of victory and goal-scoring flair for the Gunners, the anticipation for this Sunday showdown is palpable.

Key Players to Watch

For Arsenal, the limelight shines on the defensive prowess of Takehiro Tomiyasu, whose steady presence has been pivotal in their campaign. With a rating of 6.77 and a goal to his name, Tomiyasu's contribution goes beyond mere defending, with 272 total passes to keep the game flowing.

On the attacking front, Edward Keddar Nketiah has been nothing short of impressive. With a rating of 6.91, Nketiah's 21 shots and 5 goals have been crucial in securing Arsenal's place at the summit. His keen eye for goal and agility make him a constant threat to any defense.

Midfield maestro Kai Lukas Havertz also deserves attention, boasting a rating of 6.94 and contributing one goal and one assist. His ability to orchestrate play from the midfield while delivering key passes has been invaluable for the Gunners.

Brighton, not to be underestimated, brings its own set of aces to the table. Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck, with a rating of 6.70, brings experience and a keen sense for goal, having already found the back of the net this season.

The creativity in Brighton's midfield is fueled by Facundo Valentín Buonanotte. His rating of 6.73, paired with his assist and goal-scoring capabilities, make him a player to watch.

Finally, Anssumane Fati Vieira has been a revelation up front. With a rating of 6.79 and two goals to his name, Fati's potential to upset Arsenal's defense cannot be ignored.

Recent Form

Arsenal's form has been formidable, with their last five games yielding four wins and one loss. The team's confident strides have been marked by a solid home record, remaining unbeaten at the Emirates this season. Brighton, meanwhile, have shown resilience and versatility, with a mixed bag of results including two wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent outings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides adds an intriguing layer to the encounter. In their most recent clash on May 14, 2023, Brighton stunned Arsenal with a 3-0 victory at the Emirates. However, the previous encounter saw Arsenal triumph with a 4-2 win on Brighton's turf on December 31, 2022. These results suggest that while Arsenal might hold the upper hand at home, Brighton is capable of pulling off surprises.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, home advantage, and the firepower at Arsenal's disposal, the prediction leans towards a Arsenal victory or a draw, with an expectation of over 1.5 goals in the match. The statistical analysis gives Arsenal a slight edge, with a total percent home win likelihood of 50.8% against Brighton's 49.3%.

The key players are expected to make a significant impact, with Nketiah's goal-scoring form and Tomiyasu's defensive solidity being crucial for Arsenal. Brighton will rely heavily on Welbeck's experience and Fati's youthful exuberance to challenge the Gunners' backline.

This match promises to be a thrilling encounter, with Arsenal likely to assert their dominance but Brighton more than capable of causing an upset. The combination of home advantage, current form, and individual quality suggests that Arsenal will come out on top, but in the Premier League, nothing is ever certain until the final whistle blows.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

60%

40%

Attacking Potential

53%

47%

Defensive Potential

57%

43%

Poisson Distribution

68%

32%

Stregth H2H

29%

71%

Goals H2H

38%

63%

Wins the game

51%

49%

Arsenal - Brighton Head to Head

06/04	Brighton	-	Arsenal
17/12	Arsenal	2 - 0	Brighton
14/05	Arsenal	0 - 3	Brighton
31/12	Brighton	2 - 4	Arsenal

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15