Arsenal - Crystal Palace

Regular Season - 21
Kickoff: 2024-01-20 11:30

Who will win?

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Arsenal - Crystal Palace Predictions

Prediction: Arsenal or draw
Best odds: 1.07

As the Premier League gears up for another exhilarating weekend of football, all eyes turn to the Emirates Stadium where Arsenal is set to host Crystal Palace. With both teams having shown mixed forms in their recent outings, predictions are up in the air, leaving fans and pundits alike speculating on the outcome of this London derby.

Key Players

Arsenal's hopes may rest on the shoulders of their defensive stalwart, Takehiro Tomiyasu, whose consistent performances have earned him a rating of 6.86. Not just a defensive asset, Tomiyasu has also contributed to the attack with 1 goal from 5 shots and has been pivotal in build-up play with 389 total passes this season.

Upfront, the Gunners will look to Edward Keddar Nketiah to lead the line. With a rating of 6.93, Nketiah's eye for goal is evident with 5 goals to his name and 22 shots in total, indicating his willingness to take chances.

Another key figure in Arsenal's backline is William Saliba, whose rating of 6.97 reflects his defensive solidity. Saliba's impressive stats include 1,281 passes, showcasing his role as a distributor from the defense, and he has also chipped in with a goal.

Crystal Palace's attack will likely be spearheaded by Jean-Philippe Mateta, who has managed to net twice and provide 3 assists. With a rating of 6.79 and 18 key passes, Mateta's influence on the pitch is crucial for the Eagles.

In midfield, Jeffrey Schlupp brings versatility and an attacking threat, with a rating of 6.79. Schlupp has scored once and provided 1 assist, and his ability to create opportunities will be vital for Palace's chances.

Defensively, Tyrick Kwon Mitchell has been a consistent performer for Palace, contributing 2 assists and maintaining a rating of 6.92. His ability to join the attack without neglecting his defensive duties makes him a key player to watch.

Recent Form

Arsenal's recent form has been a rollercoaster, with the team's last five games resulting in two losses, a draw, and two wins. Sitting at 4th place with 40 points, they are in a fierce battle for Champions League qualification. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, finds itself in 14th place, with a recent record of one win, two draws, and two losses, reflecting a season of struggles and resilience.

Head-to-Head History

The historical clashes between these two teams have seen Arsenal come out on top more often than not. In their last meeting on August 21, 2023, Arsenal edged a 1-0 victory at Selhurst Park. Prior to that, on March 19, 2023, the Gunners secured a convincing 4-1 win against Palace at the Emirates. Going further back to August 5, 2022, Arsenal again triumphed with a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace's home ground.

Prediction

Given the recent form and historical head-to-head record, Arsenal emerges as the favorite to take all three points from this fixture. The Gunners have shown they can be lethal at home, and with key players like Tomiyasu, Nketiah, and Saliba in fine form, they have the advantage in both defense and attack. Crystal Palace will not make it easy, with Mateta, Schlupp, and Mitchell capable of causing problems, but the home side's quality is likely to prevail.

In the absence of concrete predictions data, the match could swing either way, but with Arsenal's pressing need to maintain their Champions League spot and Crystal Palace's less than ideal away record, the Gunners are tipped to come out on top. Expect a competitive match with Arsenal likely securing a victory and further solidifying their position in the top four of the Premier League.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

44%
56%

Attacking Potential

33%
67%

Defensive Potential

57%
43%

Poisson Distribution

70%
30%

Stregth H2H

71%
29%

Goals H2H

60%
40%

Wins the game

56%
44%

Arsenal - Crystal Palace Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 18 57
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 3 43
10 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 2 43
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
15 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 29
16 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 25
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15