Arsenal - Newcastle

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

84'		4 - 1	Goal	J. Willock	D. Burn (Assist)
69'		4 - 0	Goal	J. Kiwior	D. Rice (Assist)
65'		3 - 0	Goal	B. Saka	K. Havertz (Assist)
24'		2 - 0	Goal	K. Havertz	Gabriel Martinelli (Assist)
18'		1 - 0	Own Goal	S. Botman

7'

M. Ødegaard

Tripping

89'			In:	Jorginho	Out:	Mohamed Elneny
76'			In:	K. Havertz	Out:	E. Nketiah
76'			In:	M. Ødegaard	Out:	E. Smith Rowe
76'			In:	B. Saka	Out:	R. Nelson
73'			In:	T. Livramento	Out:	D. Burn
73'			In:	S. Botman	Out:	J. Lascelles
73'			In:	Bruno Guimarães	Out:	J. Willock
64'			In:	Gabriel Martinelli	Out:	L. Trossard
64'			In:	M. Almirón	Out:	J. Murphy
64'			In:	A. Isak	Out:	H. Barnes

Arsenal - Newcastle Predictions

Prediction: Arsenal

Best odds: 1.48

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Prediction: Over 1.5

Best odds: 1.17

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As the Premier League heats up, all eyes are on the Emirates Stadium where Arsenal is set to clash with Newcastle in a game that could have significant implications for the race to the top four. With predictions leaning towards a high-scoring affair, let's take a closer look at the key players who could swing the game and the recent form that might influence the outcome.

Key Players

Arsenal's defensive stability has been a cornerstone of their success this season, largely thanks to the reliable performances of Takehiro Tomiyasu. With a rating of 6.89, Tomiyasu's contributions have been vital, not just in defense but also in transitioning to attack, evidenced by his 426 total passes and a key pass count of 2.

Upfront, the Gunners have found a consistent threat in Edward Keddar Nketiah, whose rating of 6.90 underlines his importance to the team's attacking prowess. With 5 goals from 25 shots and an assist to his name, Nketiah's sharpness in front of goal could prove decisive.

Adding to Arsenal's attacking options is Leandro Trossard, who brings a rating of 6.92 to the table. His ability to find the net and create opportunities for his teammates, with 3 goals and 1 assist, will be crucial against Newcastle's defense.

On the other side, Newcastle's midfield dynamo Sean David Longstaff has been instrumental in both defense and attack. With a rating of 6.83, he has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists, while his 615 total passes reflect his role as a key playmaker.

Joining him in the midfield is Sandro Tonali, another central figure for the Magpies. Despite a modest goal tally, his overall play and presence on the pitch, as indicated by his 6.83 rating, could sway the midfield battle in Newcastle's favor.

Harvey Lewis Barnes adds to the attacking threat with his pace and directness. With a rating of 6.85, Barnes has the potential to unlock Arsenal's defense and will look to add to his goal and assist tally.

Recent Form

Arsenal has been in formidable form, with their last five games showing a string of four consecutive wins before a loss. This momentum places them third in the league, tied on points with Manchester City but ahead on goal difference.

Newcastle, however, has had a mixed bag of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Although they sit at seventh in the table, their recent form suggests they have the potential to cause an upset.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head record between these two sides offers a mixed narrative. In their last encounter on November 4, 2023, Newcastle secured a narrow 1-0 victory over the Gunners. However, Arsenal had previously beaten Newcastle 2-0 on May 7, 2023, and held them to a 0-0 draw earlier that year on January 3.

Prediction

Taking into account both teams' form, key players, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an Arsenal victory. The Gunners have shown more consistency and have the home advantage, which historically plays in their favor.

The advice for this match is a "Combo Winner: Arsenal and +1.5 goals," suggesting that not only will Arsenal likely secure the win, but the match will see at least two goals scored. With a 45% chance for both a home win and a draw, and a mere 10% for an away win, the odds are stacked in Arsenal's favor.

In conclusion, expect Arsenal to emerge victorious in a match that promises goals, with key contributions likely from Tomiyasu, Nketiah, and Trossard. Newcastle will not make it easy, and players like Longstaff, Tonali, and Barnes will be pivotal if they are to defy the odds. However, the overall quality and form of Arsenal should see them through as they continue their push for Champions League qualification.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

65%

35%

Attacking Potential

60%

40%

Defensive Potential

86%

14%

Poisson Distribution

73%

27%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

57%

43%

Wins the game

65%

35%

Arsenal - Newcastle Head to Head

24/02	Arsenal	4 - 1	Newcastle
04/11	Newcastle	1 - 0	Arsenal
07/05	Newcastle	0 - 2	Arsenal
03/01	Arsenal	0 - 0	Newcastle

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15