Aston Villa - Brighton

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		6 - 1	Goal	Douglas Luiz
85'		5 - 1	Goal	J. Ramsey	O. Watkins (Assist)
65'		4 - 1	Goal	O. Watkins	J. McGinn (Assist)
50'		3 - 1	Goal	Ansu Fati
26'		3 - 0	Own Goal	P. Estupiñán	M. Diaby (Assist)
21'		2 - 0	Goal	O. Watkins	M. Diaby (Assist)
14'		1 - 0	Goal	O. Watkins	M. Cash (Assist)

90'		J. Durán	Foul
84'		K. Mitoma	Holding
79'		L. Dunk	Foul
72'		Ansu Fati	Unsportsmanlike conduct
57'		E. Konsa	Unsportsmanlike conduct
39'		D. Welbeck	Tripping
32'		L. Digne	Holding
7'		Douglas Luiz	Elbowing

90'			In:	B. Kamara	Out:	Y. Tielemans
87'			In:	J. Hinshelwood	Out:	C. Baleba
79'			In:	M. Diaby	Out:	J. Durán
62'			In:	S. March	Out:	S. Adingra
57'			In:	N. Zaniolo	Out:	J. Ramsey
46'			In:	P. Estupiñán	Out:	T. Lamptey
46'			In:	E. Ferguson	Out:	Ansu Fati
46'			In:	D. Welbeck	Out:	João Pedro

Aston Villa - Brighton Predictions

Prediction: Aston Villa or draw

Best odds: 1.61

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The upcoming Premier League fixture on Saturday, September 30th, 2023, is set to be an exciting clash as Aston Villa host Brighton at Villa Park, Birmingham. The match kicks off at 11:30 AM, and with both teams currently in the top half of the table, it's a match that holds significant importance. Will Aston Villa leverage their home advantage, or will Brighton continue their impressive form? Let's dive into the details.

Key Players

Aston Villa's success this season can be attributed to their key players. Leon Patrick Bailey Butler has been a standout performer in the midfield, scoring 2 goals from 3 shots, and providing an assist. Another player to watch is Moussa Diaby. The attacker has netted 2 goals from 8 shots and provided 2 assists.

For Brighton, Evan Joe Ferguson has been in scintillating form. The attacker has scored 4 goals from 13 shots. Another key player is João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus who has scored 1 goal from 3 shots.

Recent Form

Aston Villa's recent form has been mixed, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games. Brighton, on the other hand, has been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.

Head-to-Head History

When it comes to head-to-head history, Aston Villa has the upper hand. In the last two encounters between these teams, Aston Villa emerged victorious on both occasions. Aston Villa defeated Brighton 2-1 on May 28, 2023, and before that, Aston Villa won 2-1 at Brighton's home ground on November 13, 2022.

Prediction

Considering the recent form, head-to-head history, and the performances of key players, the prediction leans towards a win or draw for Aston Villa. The home advantage and the strong performances of key players like Leon Patrick Bailey Butler and Moussa Diaby could be the decisive factors. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair with over 1.5 goals. Aston Villa is predicted to win with a 45% probability, while the chances of a draw are also 45%. Brighton has a 10% chance of winning the match.

This Premier League fixture is set to be a thrilling encounter, and football fans should brace themselves for an exciting match at Villa Park.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

44%

56%

Defensive Potential

58%

42%

Poisson Distribution

66%

34%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

71%

29%

Wins the game

64%

36%

Aston Villa - Brighton Head to Head

04/05	Brighton	-	Aston Villa
30/09	Aston Villa	6 - 1	Brighton
28/05	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Brighton
13/11	Brighton	1 - 2	Aston Villa

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15