Aston Villa - Burnley

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

89'		4 - 3	Penalty	Douglas Luiz
72'		3 - 3	Goal	L. Foster	J. Guðmunds­son (Assist)
42'		3 - 2	Goal	M. Diaby	O. Watkins (Assist)
31'		2 - 2	Goal	Z. Amdouni	D. O'Shea (Assist)
30'		2 - 1	Goal	Z. Amdouni	D. O'Shea (Assist)
29'		2 - 0	Goal	L. Bailey	O. Watkins (Assist)
28'		1 - 0	Goal	L. Bailey	O. Watkins (Assist)

88'		J. Ramsey	Unsportsmanlike conduct
56'		S. Berge	Holding
44'		S. Berge
43'		S. Berge	Unsportsmanlike conduct
42'		S. Berge	Unsportsmanlike conduct
24'		C. Taylor
23'		C. Taylor	Roughing
18'		E. Konsa	Unsportsmanlike conduct

90'			In:	L. Bailey	Out:	L. Dendoncker
82'			In:	M. Diaby	Out:	J. Durán
74'			In:	W. Odobert	Out:	M. Trésor
74'			In:	J. Guðmunds­son	Out:	C. Roberts
62'			In:	C. Lenglet	Out:	Pau Torres
59'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	A. Ramsey
17'			In:	J. Beyer	Out:	H. Delcroix

Aston Villa - Burnley Predictions

Prediction: Aston Villa

Best odds: 1.40

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As the Premier League's matchday looms, all eyes are set on the clash between a high-flying Aston Villa and a struggling Burnley at Villa Park this Saturday. With predictions heavily favoring the home side, let's delve into the intricacies of this encounter, exploring the key players who could sway the result and examining the recent form that suggests a potential outcome.

Key Players from Aston Villa

Aston Villa's remarkable position in the league table is a testament to the sterling performances of their key players. Among them is Jhon Jader Durán Palacio, the attacker whose presence on the pitch has been nothing short of influential. With a rating of 6.79, his ability to find the back of the net with 2 goals and challenge goalkeepers with 3 shots on target is critical for Villa's attacking prowess.

In the midfield, Jacob Matthew Ramsey has been a consistent force, boasting a rating of 6.83. Though his goal tally stands at 1, his contribution cannot be overlooked, as his vision and ball distribution have been vital to Villa's gameplay.

The defense is anchored by Pau Francisco Torres, whose rating of 6.94 reflects his reliability at the back. His defensive acumen is complemented by his surprising knack for scoring, having found the net twice this season.

Key Players from Burnley

Despite their precarious position, Burnley has players who can turn the tide. Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, an attacker with a rating of 6.64, has shown glimpses of brilliance. His 5 shots on target and a goal to his name could be crucial if Burnley is to upset the odds.

Jay Enrique Rodríguez, another forward, has a slightly higher rating of 6.67. His experience and ability to find scoring opportunities, as evidenced by his 7 shots on target and 2 goals, could be key in unlocking Aston Villa's defense.

Lastly, Jacob Bruun Larsen has been a notable presence in attack. With a rating of 6.77 and 2 goals to his credit, his performance could inspire a Burnley side in desperate need of points.

Recent Form

Aston Villa's recent form is impressive, with their last five games reading 'WWWDW', indicating a side brimming with confidence and consistency. Burnley, on the other hand, has struggled, their form 'LDLWL' painting a picture of a team fighting to survive.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides further insight, with the most recent encounter on August 27, 2023, ending in a 3-1 victory for Aston Villa. This historical edge could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the form, the key players' impact, and historical encounters, the prediction leans heavily towards an Aston Villa victory. With a solid home record this season (8 wins out of 8 games), they are expected to dominate the game. Burnley's away form does little to inspire confidence, having won only once on the road.

The predictions suggest a comfortable win for Aston Villa, with a 45% chance of a home win compared to Burnley's 10%. Moreover, the poisson distribution heavily favors the home side (90% to 10%), and the overall total percent also tilts towards Villa (66.8% to 33.2%).

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the stats, form, and player quality all point towards an Aston Villa triumph. Expect Aston Villa to consolidate their Champions League ambitions with a decisive win, while Burnley will have to dig deep to challenge the predictions and avoid slipping further into the relegation mire.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

71%

29%

Attacking Potential

70%

30%

Defensive Potential

55%

45%

Poisson Distribution

86%

14%

Stregth H2H

62%

38%

Goals H2H

60%

40%

Wins the game

67%

33%

Aston Villa - Burnley Head to Head

30/12	Aston Villa	3 - 2	Burnley
27/08	Burnley	1 - 3	Aston Villa

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15