Aston Villa - Manchester United

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

86'		1 - 2	Goal	S. McTominay	Diogo Dalot (Assist)
67'		1 - 1	Goal	Douglas Luiz
17'		0 - 1	Goal	R. Højlund	H. Maguire (Assist)

71'		M. Diaby	Tripping
60'		M. Cash	Holding
45'		C. Lenglet	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		K. Mainoo	Foul
37'		Casemiro	Tripping

73'			In:	L. Bailey	Out:	Y. Tielemans
73'			In:	M. Rashford	Out:	S. McTominay
65'			In:	B. Kamara	Out:	M. Diaby
46'			In:	L. Shaw	Out:	V. Lindelöf

Aston Villa - Manchester United Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Manchester United

Best odds: 1.37

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As the Premier League action unfolds, a tantalizing fixture is on the horizon where Aston Villa is set to host Manchester United at Villa Park. With predictions favoring the home side for at least a draw, this Sunday clash promises to be a spectacle filled with strategic gameplay and individual brilliance.

Key Players - Aston Villa

Aston Villa's impressive season has been bolstered by the contributions of their midfield maestro, Leander Dendoncker, whose solid rating of 6.55 reflects his importance in the squad. With a keen eye for the game, Dendoncker's ability to maintain possession under pressure has been vital. Alongside him, Nicolò Zaniolo has shown flashes of brilliance, with a rating of 6.56, 12 total shots, and 6 key passes, signaling his potential to turn the game on its head at any moment. Upfront, Jhon Jader Durán Palacio has been a revelation, finding the net twice and maintaining a rating of 6.68, which showcases his knack for being in the right place at the right time.

Key Players - Manchester United

Manchester United's season might not be going as planned, but Rasmus Winther Højlund's efforts have not gone unnoticed, with a rating of 6.53 and a total of 16 shots, his persistence in front of goal could pay dividends. Anthony Jordan Martial and Marcus Rashford have been the key attacking duo for the Red Devils, with Rashford's 3 goals and 2 assists from 24 shots making him a constant threat. Martial's contribution, although modest with one goal, could be crucial in this upcoming fixture.

Recent Form

Aston Villa's recent form has been a mixed bag with "LDWLD" in their last five games, but their stronghold at home with 9 wins in 11 matches cannot be underestimated. Manchester United, on the other hand, mirrors this inconsistency with their own "DLWLD" record. The Red Devils will need to step up their game, especially away from home, where they have lost half of their outings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting backdrop to the game. In their last encounter on Boxing Day 2023, Manchester United edged out Aston Villa with a 3-2 victory. However, Villa had previously secured a win against United in November 2022 with a scoreline of 3-1. The historical advantage leans towards Manchester United, but recent form suggests a more even contest.

Prediction

The predictive analytics suggest a tight affair, with a "Double chance: Aston Villa or draw" being the most prudent advice. Aston Villa, currently ranked 5th with 43 points, is tipped to either win or maintain parity. The statistical breakdown gives Aston Villa a slight edge in attacking prowess at home with a 54% rating against United's 46% away rating. Defensively, both teams are closely matched, and the poisson distribution also leans towards a home advantage for Villa.

In summary, with the formidable presence of Dendoncker and Zaniolo in the midfield, and the attacking threat of Durán Palacio, Aston Villa seems well-equipped to take on the challenge posed by Martial and Rashford. The prediction for this Premier League encounter points towards a favorable outcome for the home side, with a strong possibility of Aston Villa securing either a win or a draw in this crucial match-up.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

41%

59%

Attacking Potential

46%

54%

Defensive Potential

53%

47%

Poisson Distribution

70%

30%

Stregth H2H

29%

71%

Goals H2H

45%

55%

Wins the game

47%

53%

Aston Villa - Manchester United Head to Head

11/02	Aston Villa	1 - 2	Manchester United
26/12	Manchester United	3 - 2	Aston Villa
30/04	Manchester United	1 - 0	Aston Villa
06/11	Aston Villa	3 - 1	Manchester United

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15