Aston Villa - Sheffield Utd

Regular Season - 18
Kickoff: 2023-12-22 19:00

Who will win?

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Aston Villa - Sheffield Utd Predictions

Prediction: Aston Villa
Best odds: 1.24

As the Premier League's festive fixtures approach, an intriguing clash is set to unfold at Villa Park on a chilly Friday evening. The home side, Aston Villa, is looking to cement their position in the top four, while Sheffield Utd, languishing at the bottom, is desperate for points to escape the relegation zone. The predictions are in, and they seem to favor the Villans, but in football, the outcome is never certain until the final whistle.

Key Players

For Aston Villa, the spotlight shines on Jhon Jader Durán Palacio, whose attacking prowess has been vital this season. With a rating of 6.79, his ability to convert chances, as evidenced by his 2 goals from 6 shots, will be crucial for Villa's offensive strategy. In the midfield, Jacob Matthew Ramsey has shown his worth with a steady 6.83 rating, contributing 1 goal and maintaining a solid presence in the center of the park.

At the back, Pau Francisco Torres has been a defensive rock, boasting a 6.94 rating. His impressive tally of 924 passes shows his influence on the game from deep, making him an essential figure in both defense and build-up play.

For the visitors, Sheffield Utd will rely on the defensive capabilities of Jayden Ian Bogle, who has a rating of 6.42. Although the Blades have struggled, his individual performances offer some hope. Upfront, Oliver Robert McBurnie has been a rare bright spot, with a rating of 6.80 and 2 goals to his name. His ability to find the back of the net might be pivotal in this encounter.

In the midfield, Oliver James Norwood has been a consistent performer, with a 6.85 rating and a knack for key passes, creating 12 opportunities for his teammates this season.

Recent Form

Aston Villa's recent form is impressive, with a string of results reading WWDWW. Sitting comfortably at third in the table with 35 points, they have turned Villa Park into a fortress, winning all eight of their home matches. Sheffield Utd, on the other hand, has had a turbulent season, and their recent form WLLLD reflects their struggles, leaving them at the bottom with just 8 points.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between these two sides is not provided, which adds an element of unpredictability to the upcoming fixture. However, the current season's statistics and team performances can give us some insight into how the match might unfold.

Prediction

Taking into account the form, the quality of the key players, and the home advantage, the prediction leans heavily towards an Aston Villa victory. The data suggests a high probability of Villa securing the win, with a 45% chance for a home win and a 45% chance for a draw, leaving a mere 10% for an away win. The form factor heavily favors the home side (76% to 24%), as does the attacking strength (75% to 25%) and defensive solidity (73% to 27%).

Goals are expected to be on the menu, with Villa likely to dominate. The predictions hint at a significant goal difference, with the possibility of over 4.5 goals for the home side and under 1.5 for the visitors. The total percent home advantage stands at a commanding 66.2%, almost doubling the away side's 33.8%.

In conclusion, while Sheffield Utd will fight to defy the odds, the final prediction is a comfortable victory for Aston Villa. Their attacking flair, combined with their rock-solid defense and the support of the home crowd, should be enough to secure all three points. The Blades will need to put in a herculean effort to take anything from this game, but the statistics and form suggest that Friday might just belong to the Villans.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

81%
19%

Attacking Potential

80%
20%

Defensive Potential

75%
25%

Poisson Distribution

96%
4%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

40%
60%

Wins the game

68%
32%

Aston Villa - Sheffield Utd Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 18 57
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 3 43
10 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 2 43
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
15 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 29
16 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 25
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15