Brentford - Aston Villa

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

85'		1 - 2	Goal	O. Watkins
77'		1 - 1	Goal	Álex Moreno	L. Bailey (Assist)
45'		1 - 0	Goal	K. Lewis-Potter

90'			Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'		B. Kamara	Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'		N. Maupay	Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'		F. Onyeka	Tripping
89'		V. Janelt	Tripping
88'		J. Durán	Roughing
88'		V. Janelt	Tripping
87'		J. Durán	Roughing
86'		E. Konsa	Unsportsmanlike conduct
86'		S. Ghoddos	Unsportsmanlike conduct
80'		L. Bailey	Tripping
71'		B. Mee	Tripping
46'		C. Nørgaard

90'			In:	J. Ramsey	Out:	L. Dendoncker
89'			In:	V. Janelt	Out:	M. Olakigbe
89'			In:	M. Roerslev	Out:	Y. Yarmoliuk
81'			In:	Pau Torres	Out:	N. Zaniolo
76'			In:	Y. Wissa	Out:	N. Collins
68'			In:	K. Lewis-Potter	Out:	N. Maupay
68'			In:	M. Damsgaard	Out:	F. Onyeka
65'			In:	M. Diaby	Out:	J. Durán
65'			In:	M. Cash	Out:	L. Bailey

Brentford - Aston Villa Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Aston Villa

Best odds: 1.41

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As the Premier League heats up, a fascinating clash is on the horizon at Gtech Community Stadium where Brentford will host a high-flying Aston Villa. With predictions leaning towards an Aston Villa advantage, the stage is set for a gripping encounter that could have significant implications on both ends of the table.

Key Players

On the home side, Brentford's midfield dynamo Kevin Schade will be pivotal in linking play and creating opportunities. Schade's rating of 6.44 and his ability to take shots on target could prove crucial against Villa's sturdy defense. Joining him in the attack is Sayed Saman Ghoddos, an attacker with a knack for key passes and a rating of 6.86. The presence of Christian Thers Nørgaard in midfield, who boasts a 7.15 rating and has contributed one assist and one goal, will be essential for Brentford's hopes of a positive result.

Aston Villa, sitting comfortably at third in the league, will rely on the attacking prowess of Jhon Jader Durán Palacio, who has already netted twice this season. His 6.79 rating underlines his potential to be a game-changer. In the midfield, Jacob Matthew Ramsey will look to control the tempo of the game, while the defensive solidity will largely depend on Pau Francisco Torres, whose rating of 6.94 and impressive passing stats make him a central figure in Villa's backline.

Recent Form

Brentford's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two wins and three losses. Their ability to bounce back from defeats will be tested against Villa, who have been in stellar form, winning four of their last five matches. This contrast in momentum could play a significant role in how the match unfolds.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting narrative, with the most recent match on April 22, 2023, ending in a 1-1 stalemate. However, the encounter before that saw Aston Villa triumph with a resounding 4-0 victory over Brentford on October 23, 2022. These past results add an extra layer of intrigue as both teams will be eager to assert their dominance.

Prediction

Taking into account the current standings, form, and player statistics, the prediction leans towards an Aston Villa win or draw. The analysis suggests that while Brentford will put up a fight, especially at home, Aston Villa's superior form and position in the league make them the favorites. The prediction model gives Villa a 45% chance of victory, matching the likelihood of a draw, and a slightly lower 10% chance for a Brentford win.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa," considering the balance of probabilities and the quality that Villa brings to the table. With both teams expected to score less than 2.5 goals, a tight contest is anticipated. The total performance percentages also favor Villa (54.2%) over Brentford (46%), reinforcing the prediction of a strong showing by the visitors.

In conclusion, while Brentford will be looking to leverage their home advantage and key players like Kevin Schade and Sayed Saman Ghoddos, Aston Villa's overall form and the impact of players like Jhon Jader Durán Palacio and Pau Francisco Torres might be too much for the home side to overcome. Expect a closely fought match, but one where Aston Villa is likely to edge out or at least secure a point in their quest for Champions League qualification.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

19%

81%

Attacking Potential

31%

69%

Defensive Potential

33%

67%

Poisson Distribution

60%

40%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

41%

59%

Wins the game

39%

61%

Brentford - Aston Villa Head to Head

06/04	Aston Villa	-	Brentford
17/12	Brentford	1 - 2	Aston Villa
22/04	Brentford	1 - 1	Aston Villa
23/10	Aston Villa	4 - 0	Brentford

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15