Brighton - Crystal Palace

Regular Season - 23
American Express Community's Stadium
Kickoff: 2024-02-03 14:00

Who will win?

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Brighton - Crystal Palace Predictions

Prediction: Brighton or draw
Best odds: 1.20

As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of high-octane football, all eyes turn to the American Express Stadium in Falmer, East Sussex, where Brighton will host Crystal Palace on Saturday. With predictions favoring a win or a draw for the home side, this fixture promises to be a riveting contest that could alter the dynamics of the mid-table standings.

Key Players to Watch

Brighton's midfield dynamo, Facundo Valentín Buonanotte, has been instrumental this season, boasting a rating of 6.76. With 3 shots on target, 7 total shots, and 1 assist from 180 passes, including 9 key passes, Buonanotte's creativity will be crucial for Brighton's attacking thrusts.

Joining him in the attack is Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck, whose presence upfront has been felt with 7 shots on target, 12 total shots, and a commendable tally of 2 goals. Welbeck's experience and poise could be the difference-maker as Brighton seeks to solidify their position in the top half of the table.

Another forward to keep an eye on is Anssumane Fati Vieira. With a rating of 6.79, Fati has managed 7 shots on target, 8 total shots, and has found the back of the net twice. His agility and sharpness in front of goal will be a threat to any defense.

Crystal Palace, on the other hand, will look to their striker, Jean-Philippe Mateta, to lead the line. With a rating of 6.79, Mateta has been involved in 5 goals, scoring 2 and assisting 3, making him a pivotal figure in Palace's quest for points.

In the midfield, Jeffrey Schlupp has been a consistent performer with a rating of 6.79. His 6 shots on target, 9 total shots, and 1 goal, coupled with 243 total passes and 14 key passes, show his ability to contribute both defensively and offensively.

Defensively, Tyrick Kwon Mitchell has stood out with a rating of 6.92. His 2 assists from the back and his contribution to the build-up play with 632 total passes and 11 key passes make him an integral part of the Palace defense.

Recent Form

Brighton's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in DWDLD, indicating a level of resilience but also a tendency to drop points. Currently sitting at 8th with 31 points, they will be eager to climb higher up the table.

Crystal Palace's form has been less inspiring, marked by LWLDD in their last five outings. Sitting at 15th with 21 points, the Eagles will be desperate to distance themselves from the relegation zone and climb towards safety.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams has been evenly contested in recent times. Their last meeting on December 21, 2023, ended in a 1-1 stalemate at Crystal Palace's home ground. Before that, Brighton secured a narrow 1-0 victory on March 15, 2023, and another 1-1 draw took place on February 11, 2023, showcasing the close rivalry between these teams.

Prediction

The upcoming clash is expected to be a tight affair, with Brighton having the slight edge due to their home advantage and higher league position. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: Brighton or draw," reflecting the home side's strength at the American Express Stadium, where they have lost only once this season.

Given Brighton's solid home record and Crystal Palace's struggles on the road, the prediction leans towards a Brighton victory or a draw. With a 45% chance for Brighton's win and another 45% for a draw, the likelihood of a Crystal Palace win seems slim at 10%. The key players' form, recent team performances, and head-to-head statistics all point towards a favorable outcome for Brighton in this Premier League encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

46%
54%

Attacking Potential

38%
62%

Defensive Potential

61%
39%

Poisson Distribution

69%
31%

Stregth H2H

64%
36%

Goals H2H

56%
44%

Wins the game

56%
44%

Brighton - Crystal Palace Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 18 57
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 3 43
10 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 2 43
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
15 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 29
16 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 25
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15