Brighton - Everton

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		1 - 2	Goal	L. Dunk	P. Groß (Assist)
74'		0 - 2	Goal	J. Branthwaite
73'		0 - 1	Goal	J. Branthwaite

90'		A. Onana	Tripping
90'		Beto	Tripping
81'		B. Gilmour	Tripping
75'		P. Groß	Unsportsmanlike conduct
70'		J. van Hecke	Tripping
34'		J. Tarkowski	Tripping
33'		J. Tarkowski	Tripping

89'			In:	A. Doucouré	Out:	A. Young
75'			In:	E. Ferguson	Out:	A. Lallana
73'			In:	F. Buonanotte	Out:	J. Enciso
68'			In:	D. Calvert-Lewin	Out:	Beto
61'			In:	D. Welbeck	Out:	Ansu Fati
61'			In:	T. Lamptey	Out:	J. Veltman
60'			In:	Igor	Out:	P. Estupiñán
49'			In:	I. Gueye	Out:	A. Onana

Brighton - Everton Predictions

Prediction: Brighton or draw

Best odds: 1.30

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As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of high-octane football, all eyes turn to the American Express Stadium in Falmer, where Brighton is set to host Everton in a clash that carries significant weight for both teams. With predictions favoring the home side, it's a game that could either bolster Brighton's mid-table security or deepen Everton's relegation woes.

Key Players to Watch

Brighton's attack will likely be spearheaded by the agile Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck, whose rating of 6.71 reflects his crucial role in the team's forward momentum. With 2 goals to his name and a knack for getting shots on target, Welbeck's performance could be a game-changer. In the midfield, Facundo Valentín Buonanotte stands out with a similar rating of 6.71, providing creative impetus with 10 key passes and an assist this season. Up front, the promising Anssumane Fati Vieira has shown his potential, boasting a rating of 6.79, and will look to add to his goal tally.

Everton's hopes may rest on the shoulders of the dynamic Arnaut Danjuma Adam Groeneveld, who carries a rating of 6.66 and is known for his attacking prowess. At the back, Michael Vincent Keane, with a rating of 6.70, will be crucial in thwarting Brighton's offensive threats. Meanwhile, Dominic Nathaniel Calvert-Lewin leads the line with 3 goals and will be eager to improve his scoring record.

Recent Form

Brighton's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a "LWLDD" sequence. They currently sit comfortably at 9th in the table with 35 points. On the other hand, Everton's form has been less than ideal, with a "LDDDL" streak placing them in the dreaded 18th spot, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone with 19 points.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, the encounters between these two sides have been evenly matched. The last three meetings saw a draw on November 4, 2023, with a 1-1 scoreline, a resounding 5-1 victory for Everton on May 8, 2023, and a 4-1 win for Brighton on January 3, 2023. These results suggest that when these two teams meet, goals are often on the menu.

Prediction

Considering the teams' current form, home advantage, and the strength of key players, the prediction leans towards a Brighton win or draw. The statistics suggest there is a 45% chance for a Brighton win and an equal percentage for a draw, leaving a slim 10% for an Everton victory. Brighton's form at home has been notably strong, losing only once in 12 games, which could be pivotal in this encounter.

The advice to consider is a "Double chance: Brighton or draw," with the potential for a low-scoring affair, as indicated by the under 2.5 goals prediction for Brighton and under 1.5 for Everton. With Brighton's attack looking more potent and Everton struggling to find consistency, the scales are tipped in favor of the Seagulls.

In conclusion, with Brighton's key players like Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck, Facundo Valentín Buonanotte, and Anssumane Fati Vieira expected to make an impact, and Everton's need to rely on the likes of Arnaut Danjuma and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for a resurgence, this match is set to be a captivating battle. However, the final prediction is a win or draw for Brighton, potentially solidifying their mid-table position while Everton continues to fight for survival.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

64%

36%

Attacking Potential

77%

23%

Defensive Potential

42%

58%

Poisson Distribution

67%

33%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

45%

55%

Wins the game

58%

43%

Brighton - Everton Head to Head

24/02	Brighton	1 - 1	Everton
04/11	Everton	1 - 1	Brighton
08/05	Brighton	1 - 5	Everton
03/01	Everton	1 - 4	Brighton

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15