Burnley - Arsenal

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

78'		0 - 6	Goal	K. Havertz	J. Kiwior (Assist)
66'		0 - 5	Goal	L. Trossard	K. Havertz (Assist)
47'		0 - 4	Goal	B. Saka	M. Ødegaard (Assist)
41'		0 - 3	Penalty	B. Saka
39'		0 - 2	Penalty	B. Saka
4'		0 - 1	Goal	M. Ødegaard	Gabriel Martinelli (Assist)

45'		B. Saka	Foul
40'		L. Assignon	Foul
39'		L. Assignon	Foul
9'		A. Ramsey	Foul
8'		A. Ramsey	Foul

81'			In:	W. Odobert	Out:	J. Bruun Larsen
80'			In:	L. Assignon	Out:	Vitinho
80'			In:	D. Rice	Out:	Jorginho
69'			In:	L. Trossard	Out:	E. Nketiah
69'			In:	B. Saka	Out:	R. Nelson
69'			In:	B. White	Out:	Cédric Soares
62'			In:	A. Ramsey	Out:	J. Rodríguez
62'			In:	M. Esteve	Out:	C. Taylor
46'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	J. Guðmunds­son

Burnley - Arsenal Predictions

Prediction: Arsenal

Best odds: 1.39

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Prediction: Over 1.5

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As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of exhilarating football, all eyes turn to Turf Moor where Burnley, desperate to claw their way out of the relegation zone, face a formidable Arsenal side eyeing a Champions League spot. The predictions suggest a clear favorite, but in football, the unexpected is just a kick away.

Key Players

Burnley's survival hopes may hinge on the performances of their key players. Ameen Al Dakhil, the steadfast defender, has been a ray of hope with a rating of 6.52. His defensive prowess, with 3 shots on target and a goal to his name, will be crucial in containing Arsenal's attack. Upfront, Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, with a rating of 6.64, has shown he can be a threat with 17 total shots and a goal this season. His creativity will be vital for Burnley to unlock Arsenal's defense.

However, the Clarets will be wary of Arsenal's Takehiro Tomiyasu, whose solid performances in defense have earned him a 6.89 rating. His contribution in both defense and attack could prove pivotal. In the attacking third, Edward Keddar Nketiah has been a revelation with 5 goals, and his rating of 6.90 reflects his importance to the Gunners. Lastly, Leandro Trossard, with a team-high rating of 6.92, has been instrumental, scoring 3 goals and providing an assist.

Recent Form

Burnley's recent form has been a cause for concern, with only one win in their last five matches (LDLLW). With 12 points, they sit at the precarious 19th spot, and their goal difference of -23 underlines the challenges they've faced both in offense and defense.

Arsenal, on the other hand, has been more consistent. Despite a couple of losses, their form (WWLLD) has kept them in the third position, level on points with Manchester City but ahead on goal difference. The Gunners' aspirations for a top-four finish make this match a must-win to keep pace with their rivals.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record favors Arsenal, who emerged victorious in their last encounter on November 11, 2023, with a 3-1 win over Burnley. This historical edge, combined with their current form, suggests that the Gunners might have the psychological advantage going into the match.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning heavily towards an Arsenal win, and the stats back this up. With a total percent chance of 69.5% for an away win compared to Burnley's 30.7%, the Gunners are the clear favorites. The advice points to Arsenal as the winner, with the expectation of a game with a high goal margin in favor of the visitors.

Considering the form of key players like Edward Keddar Nketiah and Leandro Trossard for Arsenal, and the defensive resolve of Ameen Al Dakhil for Burnley, the match is likely to be a clash of Arsenal's attack against Burnley's defense. However, with Burnley's struggle for goals and Arsenal's solid defensive record away from home, the scales are tipped in favor of the Gunners.

With all factors considered, the final prediction for this Premier League encounter is a confident victory for Arsenal. They are expected to dominate possession, create more chances, and ultimately convert those opportunities into goals. Burnley will have to put up a strong fight to disrupt Arsenal's rhythm, but the quality and form of the away side suggest they will leave Turf Moor with all three points.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

14%

86%

Attacking Potential

29%

71%

Defensive Potential

25%

75%

Poisson Distribution

16%

84%

Stregth H2H

38%

62%

Goals H2H

38%

63%

Wins the game

27%

74%

Burnley - Arsenal Head to Head

17/02	Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
11/11	Arsenal	3 - 1	Burnley

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15