Burnley - Arsenal

Regular Season - 25
Kickoff: 2024-02-17 05:00

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Burnley - Arsenal Predictions

Prediction: Arsenal
Best odds: 1.39
Prediction: Over 1.5

As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of exhilarating football, all eyes turn to Turf Moor where Burnley, desperate to claw their way out of the relegation zone, face a formidable Arsenal side eyeing a Champions League spot. The predictions suggest a clear favorite, but in football, the unexpected is just a kick away.

Key Players

Burnley's survival hopes may hinge on the performances of their key players. Ameen Al Dakhil, the steadfast defender, has been a ray of hope with a rating of 6.52. His defensive prowess, with 3 shots on target and a goal to his name, will be crucial in containing Arsenal's attack. Upfront, Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, with a rating of 6.64, has shown he can be a threat with 17 total shots and a goal this season. His creativity will be vital for Burnley to unlock Arsenal's defense.

However, the Clarets will be wary of Arsenal's Takehiro Tomiyasu, whose solid performances in defense have earned him a 6.89 rating. His contribution in both defense and attack could prove pivotal. In the attacking third, Edward Keddar Nketiah has been a revelation with 5 goals, and his rating of 6.90 reflects his importance to the Gunners. Lastly, Leandro Trossard, with a team-high rating of 6.92, has been instrumental, scoring 3 goals and providing an assist.

Recent Form

Burnley's recent form has been a cause for concern, with only one win in their last five matches (LDLLW). With 12 points, they sit at the precarious 19th spot, and their goal difference of -23 underlines the challenges they've faced both in offense and defense.

Arsenal, on the other hand, has been more consistent. Despite a couple of losses, their form (WWLLD) has kept them in the third position, level on points with Manchester City but ahead on goal difference. The Gunners' aspirations for a top-four finish make this match a must-win to keep pace with their rivals.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record favors Arsenal, who emerged victorious in their last encounter on November 11, 2023, with a 3-1 win over Burnley. This historical edge, combined with their current form, suggests that the Gunners might have the psychological advantage going into the match.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning heavily towards an Arsenal win, and the stats back this up. With a total percent chance of 69.5% for an away win compared to Burnley's 30.7%, the Gunners are the clear favorites. The advice points to Arsenal as the winner, with the expectation of a game with a high goal margin in favor of the visitors.

Considering the form of key players like Edward Keddar Nketiah and Leandro Trossard for Arsenal, and the defensive resolve of Ameen Al Dakhil for Burnley, the match is likely to be a clash of Arsenal's attack against Burnley's defense. However, with Burnley's struggle for goals and Arsenal's solid defensive record away from home, the scales are tipped in favor of the Gunners.

With all factors considered, the final prediction for this Premier League encounter is a confident victory for Arsenal. They are expected to dominate possession, create more chances, and ultimately convert those opportunities into goals. Burnley will have to put up a strong fight to disrupt Arsenal's rhythm, but the quality and form of the away side suggest they will leave Turf Moor with all three points.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

14%
86%

Attacking Potential

29%
71%

Defensive Potential

25%
75%

Poisson Distribution

16%
84%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

38%
63%

Wins the game

27%
74%

Burnley - Arsenal Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 26 18 6 2 63 25 38 60
2 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 26 18 5 3 59 26 33 59
3 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 25 17 4 4 58 22 36 55
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 26 16 4 6 56 35 21 52
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 25 14 5 6 52 38 14 47
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 26 14 2 10 36 36 0 44
7 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 26 10 9 7 49 41 8 39
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 25 11 4 10 53 41 12 37
9 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 25 10 6 9 36 44 -8 36
10 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 25 10 5 10 42 41 1 35
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 25 10 5 10 39 40 -1 35
12 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 26 9 5 12 36 42 -6 32
13 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 26 7 7 12 31 44 -13 28
14 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 25 7 7 11 33 47 -14 28
15 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 25 7 4 14 35 44 -9 25
16 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 26 6 6 14 34 48 -14 24
17 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 26 8 7 11 28 34 -6 21
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 25 5 5 15 35 51 -16 20
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 26 3 4 19 25 58 -33 13
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 25 3 4 18 22 65 -43 13