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Burnley - Bournemouth Predictions
As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of high-stakes football, Burnley is set to face Bournemouth at Turf Moor on a crisp Sunday afternoon. With predictions pointing towards a potential upset, fans are on the edge of their seats. Will Burnley, currently struggling at the bottom, fend off the relegation threat, or will Bournemouth consolidate their mid-table position?
Key Players
For Burnley, the spotlight falls on defender Ameen Al Dakhil. With a rating of 6.52, his defensive prowess will be critical if Burnley is to keep Bournemouth at bay. Al Dakhil has already shown his ability to disrupt opposition play with 598 total passes and a goal to his name this season.Joining him in the quest for victory is Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, an attacker with a 6.64 rating who has been a creative force for the team. With 17 shots total and one assist, Koleosho's agility and skill could turn the tide in Burnley's favor.
Completing Burnley's trio of impact players is Jacob Bruun Larsen, another attacker whose 6.68 rating reflects his importance to the team. With 2 goals from 7 shots and a knack for creating opportunities, Larsen's contributions could be the difference-maker.
Bournemouth, on the other hand, brings their own arsenal of talent. Justin Dean Kluivert stands out with a 6.60 rating, his attacking flair underscored by 6 shots on target and 2 goals. Kluivert's pace and precision will test Burnley's defense throughout the match.
Midfield maestro David Robert Brooks is another key player for Bournemouth, boasting a 6.74 rating. With 5 shots on target and a crucial assist, Brooks's vision and passing could unlock Burnley's defensive setup.
Lastly, Kieffer Roberto Francisco Moore, with a 6.74 rating, adds physical presence and goal-scoring threat to Bournemouth's front line. His 2 shots on target and a goal highlight his efficiency in critical moments.
Recent Form
Burnley's recent form has been a cause for concern, with their last five games resulting in two losses, two draws, and only one win. This has left them languishing at 19th in the table, fighting desperately to escape relegation.Bournemouth's form has been somewhat steadier, but still far from convincing. With two draws, two losses, and a single win in their last five matches, they sit more comfortably at 13th place but can't afford complacency.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between these two teams provides a glimmer of hope for Burnley. In their last encounter on October 28, 2023, Bournemouth edged Burnley with a 2-1 victory. However, Burnley had previously bested Bournemouth 4-2 on January 7, 2023, showcasing their potential to outscore their opponents.Prediction
Given the stakes, Burnley's desperation to avoid the drop, and Bournemouth's inconsistency on the road, predictions lean towards a double chance of Burnley winning or drawing. The prediction model gives Burnley a 35% chance of victory and the same for a draw, with Bournemouth slightly ahead at a 30% chance of taking all three points.Despite Bournemouth's slight edge in overall form and the poisson distribution favoring them with 68% to Burnley's 32%, Burnley's home advantage and the historical head-to-head record, where they hold a 60% to 40% edge, can't be ignored.
The prediction leans towards a gritty performance by Burnley, potentially leading to a draw or a narrow victory for the home side. With the total percent home at 47.7% against Bournemouth's 52.3%, this match promises to be a closely contested affair. Fans should brace themselves for a battle where every pass, tackle, and shot could tip the scales in this Premier League showdown.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Burnley - Bournemouth Head to Head
| 03/03 | Burnley |
0 - 2 | Bournemouth |
| 28/10 | Bournemouth |
2 - 1 | Burnley |
| 07/01 | Bournemouth |
2 - 4 | Burnley |
Premier League standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 71 |
| 3 |
Manchester City
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 70 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 6 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 41 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 |
Brentford
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 |
Luton
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 |
Sheffield Utd
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 80 | -52 | 15 |
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