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Regular Season - 33
Kickoff: 2024-04-13 12:00
Who will win?
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Burnley - Brighton Predictions
Prediction: Burnley or draw
In a season where every match could be a decider for the teams at both ends of the Premier League table, Burnley and Brighton face off in a gripping encounter at Turf Moor. With predictions pointing towards a potential upset by the home side, this match promises to be a tantalizing affair.
Key Players - Burnley
Burnley, currently struggling in the relegation zone, will be looking towards their key players to pull off a much-needed victory. Defender Ameen Al Dakhil, with a rating of 6.52, has been a notable presence in the backline. His contributions will be crucial in containing Brighton's attacks. Upfront, Jay Enrique Rodríguez, with a rating of 6.63, will be expected to lead the charge. With 2 goals and 1 assist to his name, his ability to convert chances will be vital. Additionally, the young attacker Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, with a 6.64 rating and an eye for creating opportunities, could be the spark Burnley needs.Key Players - Brighton
On the other side, Brighton's Anssumane Fati Vieira has shown his quality with a 6.73 rating, demonstrating his capability to be a game-changer. Midfield maestro Facundo Valentín Buonanotte, rated at 6.77, will be the one pulling the strings in the midfield, looking to add to his tally of 3 goals and 1 assist. The top-rated player from Brighton, Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck with a rating of 6.81, has been impressive in front of goal and will be a significant threat to Burnley's defense.Recent Form
Burnley's recent form reads like a survivalist's handbook, with a mix of draws and losses and a rare win that gives a glimmer of hope. Their last five matches (DDWDL) reflect a team fighting tooth and nail to claw their way out of the relegation zone. Brighton's form has been slightly better (DLWLD), sitting comfortably in the mid-table, but they will be keen to push for a higher finish.Head-to-Head History
The only recent head-to-head encounter between these two sides took place on December 9, 2023, where they shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw. This result provides no clear psychological advantage to either team, setting the stage for an unpredictable rematch.Prediction
The match predictions are intriguing, with a slight edge given to Burnley, despite their lower league position and precarious situation. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: Burnley or draw," hinting at the resilience and fighting spirit expected from the home team. The percentages are relatively tight, with Burnley at 35% for a win, 35% for a draw, and Brighton at 30% for an away victory. The form, attack, and defense ratings are closely matched, but the poisson distribution leans towards Brighton, with a 67% chance to Burnley's 33%.In conclusion, while Brighton may appear to be the stronger side on paper, Burnley's desperation to escape the drop could fuel a performance that belies their season's struggles. With key players like Ameen Al Dakhil, Jay Enrique Rodríguez, and Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho stepping up for the Clarets, and Brighton's Anssumane Fati Vieira, Facundo Valentín Buonanotte, and Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck looking to cement their team's position, this match is poised to be a compelling battle. The final prediction leans towards a resilient Burnley managing to secure at least a point in this encounter, with the possibility of a full three if they can capitalize on their chances.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
46%
54%
Attacking Potential
47%
53%
Defensive Potential
43%
57%
Poisson Distribution
33%
67%
Stregth H2H
50%
50%
Goals H2H
60%
40%
Wins the game
47%
54%
Premier League standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 71 |
| 3 |
Manchester City
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 70 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 6 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 41 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 |
Brentford
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 |
Luton
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 |
Sheffield Utd
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 80 | -52 | 15 |
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