Burnley - Fulham

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 3	Goal	D. Fofana	W. Odobert (Assist)
71'		1 - 3	Goal	D. Fofana	L. Assignon (Assist)
21'		0 - 3	Goal	Rodrigo Muniz	A. Robinson (Assist)
18'		0 - 2	Goal	João Palhinha	Andreas Pereira (Assist)
17'		0 - 1	Goal	João Palhinha	Andreas Pereira (Assist)

90'		D. Fofana	Unsportsmanlike conduct
84'		S. Berge	Roughing
45'		Andreas Pereira
43'		H. Reed	Roughing

90'			In:	L. Assignon	Out:	H. Massengo
87'			In:	Vitinho	Out:	J. Bruun Larsen
85'			In:	Andreas Pereira	Out:	K. Tete
74'			In:	Rodrigo Muniz	Out:	A. Broja
74'			In:	B. De Cordova-Reid	Out:	T. Cairney
64'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	D. Fofana
64'			In:	A. Ramsey	Out:	J. Guðmunds­son
63'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	D. Fofana
63'			In:	A. Ramsey	Out:	J. Guðmunds­son
46'			In:	H. Ekdal	Out:	M. Esteve

Burnley - Fulham Predictions

Prediction: Burnley or draw

Best odds: 1.59

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As the Premier League action heats up, all eyes turn to Turf Moor where Burnley, desperately fighting to claw their way out of the relegation zone, will face a Fulham side looking to consolidate their mid-table position. Predictions suggest an edge for the home side, but with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses, this match could very well defy expectations.

Key Players

Burnley's hopes may hinge on the performances of their attacking trio. Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, despite a modest goal tally, has shown glimpses of brilliance, with a rating of 6.64 and 11 key passes this season. His creativity could be the spark Burnley needs.

Alongside him, Jay Enrique Rodríguez brings experience and a slightly better rating of 6.67. With 2 goals and an assist to his name, Rodríguez's clinical finishing could prove vital.

Jacob Bruun Larsen, another forward, has a rating of 6.77 and has been involved in a couple of goals, suggesting that he could be a game-changer if he hits his stride.

Fulham, on the other hand, will look towards Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais to lead their line. With a rating of 6.62 and 2 goals, his physical presence could trouble the Burnley defenders.

Supporting him is Bobby Armani De Cordova-Reid, who tops Fulham's attacking stats with 4 goals. His rating of 6.71 underscores his importance to the team's attacking plays.

Defensively, Timothy Michael Ream stands out with a 6.75 rating. His experience at the back will be crucial in keeping Burnley's forwards at bay.

Recent Form

Burnley's recent form has been less than inspiring, sitting at 19th with only 12 points. Their last five games show a pattern of struggle, with a record of DLLWL. However, playing at home could offer them some comfort, despite only one win out of eleven at Turf Moor.

Fulham, positioned at 13th with 24 points, also haven't had the best run lately, with their last five games resulting in LWLLL. Their away record is particularly concerning, with only one win in eleven outings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for Burnley. The last encounter between these two sides on December 23, 2023, saw Burnley emerge victorious with a 2-0 win against Fulham. This psychological advantage could play a part in the upcoming fixture.

Prediction

The predictions favor Burnley, with a "Double chance: Burnley or draw" advice reflecting their slight edge over Fulham. The percentages are leaning towards Burnley with a 45% chance for a home win and another 45% for a draw, leaving only a 10% chance for a Fulham victory.

Both teams have key players who can turn the game on its head, but Burnley's Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, Jay Enrique Rodríguez, and Jacob Bruun Larsen might just have enough to outshine Fulham's Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais and Bobby Armani De Cordova-Reid.

With the home advantage and the psychological edge from their last head-to-head win, Burnley might be poised to secure crucial points in this relegation battle. The final prediction leans towards a tight encounter, likely low-scoring, with Burnley managing to secure at least a draw, if not all three points. The match could very well end with fewer than 2.5 goals for the home side and less than 1.5 for the visitors, echoing the cautious approach both teams might adopt.

In conclusion, expect a fiercely contested match, with Burnley having the edge, driven by the need to escape the drop zone and backed by their home crowd. Fulham will not make it easy, but the Clarets might just have enough to eke out a result.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

75%

25%

Defensive Potential

44%

56%

Poisson Distribution

48%

52%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

83%

17%

Wins the game

66%

35%

Burnley - Fulham Head to Head

03/02	Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
23/12	Fulham	0 - 2	Burnley

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15