Crystal Palace - Burnley

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

87'		2 - 0	Goal disallowed: Offside
77'		3 - 0	Penalty	J. Mateta
72'		2 - 0	Goal	J. Ayew	Matheus França (Assist)
68'		1 - 0	Goal	C. Richards	J. Ayew (Assist)

90'		J. Ayew	Foul
85'		M. Esteve	Tripping
51'		A. Wharton	Foul
50'		A. Wharton	Foul
35'		J. Brownhill	Holding

90'			In:	J. Andersen	Out:	J. Tomkins
90'			In:	D. Fofana	Out:	J. Rodríguez
90'			In:	J. Guðmunds­son	Out:	J. Cork
90'			In:	W. Odobert	Out:	B. Manuel
75'			In:	C. Taylor	Out:	Vitinho
66'			In:	O. Édouard	Out:	Matheus França
66'			In:	A. Wharton	Out:	N. Ahamada
37'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	J. Cullen

Crystal Palace - Burnley Predictions

Prediction: Crystal Palace or draw

Best odds: 1.26

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As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of high-stakes football, all eyes are on Selhurst Park where Crystal Palace will take on a struggling Burnley side on a chilly Saturday afternoon. With predictions hinting at a potential victory or at least a draw for the home side, fans are eager to see if Palace can capitalize on their home advantage and further distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Key Players

Crystal Palace's hopes will be pinned on their forward Jean-Philippe Mateta, whose performance this season has earned him a rating of 6.76. With 3 goals to his name and 18 key passes, Mateta's ability to find the back of the net and create opportunities will be crucial. In the midfield, Jeffrey Schlupp has been a consistent performer, boasting a rating of 6.80, and will be expected to control the pace and transition of the game for Palace.

On the defensive end, Tyrick Kwon Mitchell has been a stalwart for the Eagles, contributing not only in defense with his rating of 6.85 but also in attack, having provided 2 assists. His ability to balance defensive duties with supporting the attack will be key to Palace's game plan.

Burnley, despite their less than ideal position in the league standings, will look towards their defender Ameen Al Dakhil to shore up their backline. With a rating of 6.52, Al Dakhil has been a rare bright spot in an otherwise porous defense. Up front, Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho and Jay Enrique Rodríguez will be tasked with breaking down Palace's defense, having scored 1 and 2 goals respectively for the Clarets this season.

Recent Form

Crystal Palace's recent form has been a mixed bag with an almost alternating win-loss pattern in their last five games (LWLWL). Sitting at 15th in the table, they have managed to stay clear of the relegation battle for now. Burnley, on the other hand, finds themselves in a precarious 19th position, having won only 3 games all season, and their recent form reflects their struggles (LDLDL). They will be desperate to turn their fortunes around and start climbing out of the relegation zone.

Head-to-Head History

The most recent encounter between these two sides saw Crystal Palace emerge victorious with a 2-0 win at Burnley's home ground on November 4th, 2023. This result will undoubtedly give Palace the psychological edge as they prepare to host the Clarets in their upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, head-to-head history, and the predictions provided, the upcoming clash seems to tilt in favor of Crystal Palace. With a home win or draw being the most likely outcome, the Eagles have a 35% chance of winning, according to the predictions, with a draw also sitting at a 35% probability. Burnley, with a lower form rating and less favorable attacking and defensive stats, are given a 30% chance of taking all three points.

The prediction also suggests a low-scoring affair, with both teams expected to score fewer than 2.5 goals. This is backed up by the poisson distribution and goals percentage, which lean slightly in favor of Crystal Palace. The advice for those looking to place bets would be a "Double chance: Crystal Palace or draw."

In conclusion, with key players like Jean-Philippe Mateta and Jeffrey Schlupp expected to make an impact for the home side, and with Burnley's key attackers Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho and Jay Enrique Rodríguez needing to step up, the match is poised to be a tightly contested affair. However, the final prediction leans towards a Crystal Palace victory or a draw, as they look to further solidify their position away from the drop zone and add to Burnley's woes.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%

33%

Attacking Potential

55%

45%

Defensive Potential

48%

52%

Poisson Distribution

56%

44%

Stregth H2H

38%

62%

Goals H2H

43%

57%

Wins the game

51%

49%

Crystal Palace - Burnley Head to Head

24/02	Crystal Palace	3 - 0	Burnley
04/11	Burnley	0 - 2	Crystal Palace

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15