Everton - Aston Villa

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

18'		-1 - 1	Goal disallowed: Offside
18'		0 - 1	Goal	Álex Moreno

75'		Y. Tielemans	Roughing
74'		C. Lenglet	Unsportsmanlike conduct
73'		C. Lenglet	Unsportsmanlike conduct
72'		J. Tarkowski	Tripping
48'		Diego Carlos	Delay of game
31'		O. Watkins	Elbowing

89'			In:	J. McGinn	Out:	N. Zaniolo
74'			In:	Diego Carlos	Out:	M. Cash
65'			In:	M. Diaby	Out:	J. Durán
65'			In:	L. Bailey	Out:	Y. Tielemans
64'			In:	M. Diaby	Out:	J. Durán
64'			In:	L. Bailey	Out:	Y. Tielemans
64'			In:	D. Calvert-Lewin	Out:	Beto
64'			In:	A. Danjuma	Out:	D. McNeil
63'			In:	D. Calvert-Lewin	Out:	Beto
63'			In:	A. Danjuma	Out:	D. McNeil

Everton - Aston Villa Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Aston Villa

Best odds: 1.58

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As the Premier League action heats up, all eyes turn to Goodison Park where Everton, desperately clinging to survival, will lock horns with a high-flying Aston Villa, who are eyeing a spot in the Champions League. With predictions favoring the visitors, the question remains whether Everton can upset the odds or if Villa will solidify their position at the top.

Key Players

Everton's hopes will heavily rest on the shoulders of their attacking force, particularly Arnaut Danjuma Adam Groeneveld, whose agility and skill have earned him a rating of 6.59. Despite only scoring once, his 10 shots and 5 key passes suggest he's a threat that Villa must contain. Alongside him, Jack David Harrison, a midfielder with a knack for setting up goals, boasts 3 assists and a rating of 6.81, making him a crucial playmaker for the Toffees.

For the visitors, Nicolò Zaniolo is a name to watch. The midfielder, with a rating of 6.58, has shown promise with 5 shots on target and a total goal tally that could increase at any moment. Leander Dendoncker adds to Villa's midfield stability, and with a rating of 6.62, he's expected to disrupt Everton's flow. Up front, Jhon Jader Durán Palacio, with 2 goals to his name, will be looking to exploit any gaps in the Everton defense.

Recent Form

Everton's recent form reads like a cry for help, with three consecutive losses followed by two wins. Sitting at 17th, just above the relegation zone, their survival instincts have been triggered. Aston Villa, on the other hand, have been enjoying a stellar season, currently holding the 2nd spot with 13 wins and a comfortable goal difference of +16. Their recent form, marked by a mix of wins and a draw, reflects the confidence flowing through the squad.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides doesn't bode well for Everton. In their last three encounters, Aston Villa have come out on top each time, including a resounding 4-0 victory on August 20, 2023, and a 2-0 win at Goodison Park on February 25, 2023. The Toffees will need to dig deep to reverse this trend and carve out a positive result.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, the quality of key players, and their recent encounters, the prediction leans towards an Aston Villa victory. The combined might of Villa's midfield, featuring Nicolò Zaniolo and Leander Dendoncker, along with the sharpshooting of Jhon Jader Durán Palacio, is expected to overpower Everton's defenses.

However, football is a game of surprises, and with the likes of Arnaut Danjuma and Jack Harrison on their side, Everton might just have enough to disrupt Villa's rhythm. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa," with a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win. The advice leans towards Aston Villa either winning or securing a draw, which seems the most likely outcome given their superior form and head-to-head record.

In conclusion, while Everton will fight with everything they have to climb out of the danger zone, Aston Villa's strength this season cannot be underestimated. Expect a tough battle at Goodison Park, but the safe bet would be on Aston Villa to emerge with at least a point from this clash.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

38%

63%

Attacking Potential

40%

60%

Defensive Potential

47%

53%

Poisson Distribution

49%

51%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

23%

77%

Wins the game

36%

64%

Everton - Aston Villa Head to Head

14/01	Everton	0 - 0	Aston Villa
20/08	Aston Villa	4 - 0	Everton
25/02	Everton	0 - 2	Aston Villa
13/08	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Everton

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15