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Everton - Burnley Predictions
As the Premier League heats up, Everton prepare to host Burnley at Goodison Park in a clash that could have significant implications at both ends of the table. With predictions leaning towards a favorable outcome for the home side, there's an air of expectancy among the Toffees' faithful. But football is a game of surprises, and the Clarets are desperate for points to escape the drop zone. Let's delve into the key figures who could shape this encounter and dissect the form that both teams bring to this crucial match-up.
Key Players
Everton's hopes may rest on the shoulders of Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld, whose performances have been a bright spark in their campaign. With an average rating of 6.66, Groeneveld's ability to turn games on their head with his attacking prowess, having taken 9 shots on target from 17 attempts, will be crucial against Burnley's defense.Not to be outdone, Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal, another key figure in the Everton attack, boasts a 6.70 rating and has been involved in creating chances, with 9 key passes to his name. His partnership with Groeneveld could prove to be the difference-maker.
Defensively, Michael Vincent Keane stands out with a 6.70 rating. His contribution isn't just limited to thwarting opposition attacks; he also poses a threat from set-pieces, as evidenced by his 4 shots on target.
Burnley, on the other hand, will rely on the defensive solidity of Ameen Al Dakhil, who has a rating of 6.52 and has been a consistent presence at the back, making 598 passes this season. His ability to read the game will be vital in keeping Everton's attackers at bay.
In attack, Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, with a rating of 6.64 and 5 shots on target, has proven to be a spark for Burnley. His creativity and pace could trouble the Everton backline, particularly if he can link up effectively with teammate Jacob Bruun Larsen, who has notched up 2 goals and is known for his ability to find space in tight areas.
Recent Form
Everton's recent form reads like a stuttering engine – "DDLDD" – a series of draws and losses that have left them yearning for a win. Sitting at 15th in the table, their home record hasn't been inspiring, with only 3 wins from 13 games.Burnley, placed 19th, are in a more precarious situation. Their form "LLLDL" paints a picture of a side in dire need of a turnaround. With only 13 points, they are entrenched in the relegation battle, and every point from now on is worth its weight in gold.
Head-to-Head History
The last encounter between these two sides was on December 16, 2023, where Everton emerged victorious with a 2-0 win at Burnley's turf. This result will surely be in the minds of the players as they step onto the pitch.Prediction
Taking into account the form of both teams, the key players involved, and the head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an Everton win or draw. With a 45% chance for both outcomes, the double chance seems like a sensible bet. The Toffees have a slight edge on home soil, and their attacking threats, particularly Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld and Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal, could prove too much for a struggling Burnley defense.However, football often defies expectations, and with Burnley's Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho and Jacob Bruun Larsen looking to exploit any lapses, the match could still swing in their favor if they manage to capitalize on their chances.
In conclusion, while Everton are favored, the unpredictability of the Premier League means Burnley cannot be counted out. Expect a tightly contested match with Everton likely to edge it, but don't be surprised if Burnley puts up a fight that belies their league position.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Premier League standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 71 |
| 3 |
Manchester City
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 70 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 6 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 41 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 |
Brentford
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 |
Luton
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 |
Sheffield Utd
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 80 | -52 | 15 |
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