Everton - Crystal Palace

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

84'		1 - 1	Goal	A. Onana	D. McNeil (Assist)
66'		0 - 1	Goal	J. Ayew

87'

J. Ayew

88'			In:	A. Wharton	Out:	D. Ozoh
72'			In:	O. Édouard	Out:	N. Ahamada
72'			In:	A. Doucouré	Out:	Beto
66'			In:	I. Gueye	Out:	A. Onana
66'			In:	A. Young	Out:	J. Harrison

Everton - Crystal Palace Predictions

Prediction: Everton or draw

Best odds: 1.25

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As the Premier League gears up for another thrilling encounter, all eyes turn to Goodison Park where Everton will lock horns with Crystal Palace. With predictions hinting at a favorable outcome for the Toffees, fans are on the edge of their seats, wondering if Everton can leverage their home advantage to climb further away from the relegation zone.

Key Players

Everton's survival hopes may hinge on the performance of their key players. Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld, with a rating of 6.66, has shown he can be a threat in the attack, although he'll be looking to add to his modest tally of one goal. In defense, Michael Keane holds a rating of 6.70 and has been a cornerstone for the Toffees, with his ability to disrupt opposing attacks and contribute to the buildup play. Upfront, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a pivotal figure with his 6.72 rating, three goals, and 15 shots on target. His presence in the box could be the difference-maker.

On the other side, Crystal Palace's Jean-Philippe Mateta stands out with a 6.76 rating, two goals, and three assists. His prowess in front of goal will test Everton's defense. In midfield, Jeffrey Schlupp has a 6.80 rating and has been a versatile asset for the Eagles, contributing both defensively and offensively. The defense is anchored by Tyrick Mitchell, whose 6.89 rating is the highest among the key players, signaling his importance in Palace's backline.

Recent Form

Everton's recent form reads like a cautionary tale, with a string of draws and losses (DDDLL) leaving them just above the relegation zone. Sitting at 17th place with 19 points, their goal difference stands at -4, indicating a tightrope walk between securing draws and suffering narrow defeats.

Crystal Palace, in contrast, has had a mixed bag of results (WLWLD), which sees them positioned at 14th with 24 points. Their goal difference at -11 suggests defensive vulnerabilities, but they've shown they can also take points off their competitors.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head clashes, Everton has had the upper hand in recent encounters. The last meeting on January 17, 2024, ended in a 1-0 victory for Everton. Prior to that, two matches ended in stalemates, and another saw Everton take a thrilling 3-2 win. Crystal Palace's last victory over Everton is not within the last five meetings, illustrating a trend that the Toffees would be keen to continue.

Prediction

The prediction for this match suggests a leaning towards Everton, with a "Double chance: Everton or draw" advice. The statistical breakdown gives Everton a 45% chance of winning and the same percentage for a draw, leaving Crystal Palace with a mere 10%. Based on the form, Crystal Palace is superior with a 67% rating against Everton's 33%. However, Everton's home advantage and head-to-head dominance, with an 85% win rate in recent meetings, cannot be overlooked.

Considering the attacking and defensive stats, Everton's attack at home (27%) is outmatched by Crystal Palace's away attack (73%), but the Toffees have a stronger defense at home (64%) compared to Palace's away defense (36%). The poisson distribution also favors Everton at home with a 60% to 40% edge over Palace.

Taking all these factors into account, the final verdict leans towards Everton securing at least a point. The prediction is a win or draw for Everton, with a strong chance of a low-scoring affair, given the underwhelming goal stats for both sides.

In summary, while Crystal Palace may put up a tough fight, Everton's pressing need for points to avoid the drop, coupled with their historical edge and the support of the Goodison Park faithful, should see them through this encounter with at least a point to show for their efforts.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

33%

67%

Attacking Potential

20%

80%

Defensive Potential

68%

32%

Poisson Distribution

61%

39%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

78%

22%

Wins the game

58%

43%

Everton - Crystal Palace Head to Head

19/02	Everton	1 - 1	Crystal Palace
17/01	Everton	1 - 0	Crystal Palace
04/01	Crystal Palace	0 - 0	Everton
11/11	Crystal Palace	2 - 3	Everton
22/04	Crystal Palace	0 - 0	Everton
22/10	Everton	3 - 0	Crystal Palace

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15