Everton - Luton

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

45'		1 - 4	Goal	D. Calvert-Lewin	A. Doucouré (Assist)
32'		0 - 4	Goal	C. Morris	A. Doughty (Assist)
31'		0 - 3	Goal	C. Morris	A. Doughty (Assist)
25'		0 - 2	Goal	T. Lockyer
24'		0 - 1	Goal	T. Lockyer

67'		I. Kaboré	Delay of game
66'		I. Kaboré	Delay of game

78'			In:	C. Morris	Out:	E. Adebayo
78'			In:	A. Young	Out:	N. Patterson
61'			In:	A. Doucouré	Out:	Beto
60'			In:	A. Doucouré	Out:	Beto
56'			In:	T. Lockyer	Out:	T. Mengi
48'			In:	R. Burke	Out:	M. Andersen
46'			In:	I. Gueye	Out:	J. Harrison

Everton - Luton Predictions

Prediction: Everton or draw

Best odds: 1.18

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Prediction: Under 3.5

Best odds: 1.29

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In a titanic struggle at the bottom of the Premier League table, Everton host Luton at Goodison Park on Saturday, 30th September 2023. The match, part of the regular season's 7th round, could be a turning point for both teams currently languishing in the relegation zone. The predictions suggest a narrow escape for the home side, but will they pull it off? Let's delve deeper into the details.

Key Players

Everton's hopes will largely rest on the shoulders of their key players, Arnaut Danjuma Adam Groeneveld and Abdoulaye Doucouré. Groeneveld, the attacker with a rating of 6.78, has already netted a goal this season, registering 6 shots on target out of 9. Midfielder Doucouré, with a rating of 7.05, has also scored once and has been instrumental in setting up plays, with 7 key passes out of a total of 126.

On the other side, Luton's key player, Carlton John Morris, will be looking to cause an upset. The attacker, with a rating of 7.40, has scored once this season, with 2 shots on target out of 5.

Recent Form

Everton's recent form has been disappointing, with their last five games resulting in one draw and four losses (LDLLL). They have managed to score just 2 goals while conceding 9, leading to a goal difference of -7. On the other hand, Luton's form has been equally poor, with four losses in their last four games (LLLL), scoring 2 and conceding 10, leaving them with a goal difference of -8.

Prediction

The predictions suggest a win or a draw for Everton, with a less than 3.5 goals total. The home team is given a 35% chance of winning, while the away team has a 30% chance. The draw also stands at 35%.

In conclusion, this match is a critical one for both Everton and Luton, who are currently 18th and 20th in the Premier League standings respectively. While the stats and predictions favor Everton, the unpredictable nature of football means nothing can be taken for granted. It's all to play for at Goodison Park this weekend.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

80%

20%

Attacking Potential

63%

38%

Defensive Potential

55%

45%

Poisson Distribution

0%

100%

Stregth H2H

0%

0%

Goals H2H

0%

0%

Wins the game

66%

34%

Everton - Luton Head to Head

04/05	Luton	-	Everton
27/01	Everton	1 - 2	Luton
30/09	Everton	1 - 2	Luton

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15