Fulham - Aston Villa

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

64'		0 - 0	Goal	Rodrigo Muniz	A. Robinson (Assist)
56'		-1 - 0	Goal	O. Watkins	Y. Tielemans (Assist)
40'		-1 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside
23'		0 - -1	Goal	O. Watkins
22'		0 - -2	Goal disallowed: Offside
21'		0 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside

90'		Adama Traoré
90'		T. Castagne
90'		S. Lukić	Tripping
86'		João Palhinha
74'		Álex Moreno	Roughing
33'		J. McGinn	Roughing

90'			In:	Y. Tielemans	Out:	T. Iroegbunam
90'			In:	João Palhinha	Out:	S. Lukić
82'			In:	Álex Moreno	Out:	L. Digne
82'			In:	L. Bailey	Out:	M. Diaby
76'			In:	T. Ream	Out:	C. Bassey
76'			In:	Andreas Pereira	Out:	Adama Traoré
64'			In:	B. De Cordova-Reid	Out:	H. Wilson
46'			In:	Willian	Out:	A. Iwobi

Fulham - Aston Villa Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Aston Villa

Best odds: 1.45

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As the Premier League gears up for another weekend of high-octane football, all eyes turn to Craven Cottage where Fulham will host Aston Villa in a clash that promises to be more than just a regular fixture. The predictions hint at a potential edge for the visitors, but football is a game played on the pitch, not on paper. Will Fulham defy the odds, or will Villa solidify their European aspirations?

Key Players to Watch

Fulham's hopes may well rest on the shoulders of their Brazilian striker Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais. With a rating of 6.62 and a knack for finding the back of the net, Vinícius has bagged 2 goals this season, and his physical presence could be crucial in unsettling the Villa defense.

Alongside Vinícius, Bobby Armani De Cordova-Reid is another attacker who could turn the game on its head. With a slightly higher rating of 6.71, De Cordova-Reid has notched up 4 goals and will be a constant threat with his pace and finishing ability.

At the back, Timothy Michael Ream will be the lynchpin of the Fulham defense. His rating of 6.75 is a testament to his consistent performances, and his experience could be vital in organizing the backline against a potent Villa attack.

For Aston Villa, the young Cameron Desmond Archer has shown he has the potential to be a game-changer. Although his rating stands at 6.20, his 3 goals this season have demonstrated his capability to step up when needed.

In midfield, Leander Dendoncker brings a blend of physicality and tactical acumen. With a rating of 6.55 and a goal to his name, he will be crucial in breaking up play and initiating attacks.

Finally, the creative spark could come from Nicolò Zaniolo, who, with a rating of 6.56, has the ability to unlock any defense with his vision and skill. His contributions from midfield will be key for Villa's forward thrusts.

Recent Form

Fulham's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a win, a draw, and three losses. This inconsistency has left them at the 13th spot in the league, with 25 points from 22 games. Aston Villa, sitting comfortably at 5th with 43 points, have had a similar run in their last five, with a victory, two draws, and two losses.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at their recent encounters, the head-to-head record is slightly tilted in Aston Villa's favor. The last three meetings saw Villa win twice at home, scoring 3-1 and 1-0 respectively, while Fulham took the spoils in their home game with a convincing 3-0 victory. These previous clashes suggest that home advantage could play a significant role in the outcome.

Prediction

The predictions and analysis point towards Aston Villa having the upper hand, with a "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa" being the suggested advice. This is backed by a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win. Villa's attacking prowess, highlighted by a 73% attacking rating compared to Fulham's 27%, alongside a more favorable defensive rating, gives them the edge.

However, football is never played on statistics alone, and Fulham's home record of 6 wins in 11 games suggests they could pose a significant challenge to the visitors. With the likes of Carlos Vinícius and Bobby Armani De Cordova-Reid leading the line, an upset isn't out of the question.

Taking everything into account, the final verdict leans towards a resilient Aston Villa securing at least a point on their travels. Expect a close encounter, with Villa's quality eventually shining through, possibly in a low-scoring affair given the under 2.5 goals prediction for both teams. The match is likely to end in a draw or a narrow victory for the visitors, making "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa" a strong suggestion for those looking to forecast the result.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

53%

47%

Attacking Potential

41%

59%

Defensive Potential

58%

42%

Poisson Distribution

58%

42%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

36%

64%

Wins the game

44%

56%

Fulham - Aston Villa Head to Head

17/02	Fulham	1 - 2	Aston Villa
12/11	Aston Villa	3 - 1	Fulham
25/04	Aston Villa	1 - 0	Fulham
20/10	Fulham	3 - 0	Aston Villa

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15