Liverpool - Burnley

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

79'		3 - 1	Goal	D. Núñez	H. Elliott (Assist)
52'		2 - 1	Goal	L. Díaz	H. Elliott (Assist)
45'		1 - 1	Goal	D. O'Shea	J. Brownhill (Assist)
31'		1 - 0	Goal	Diogo Jota	T. Alexander-Arnold (Assist)

70'		D. Núñez	Delay of game
69'		D. Núñez	Delay of game
55'
33'		W. Endo	Tripping
26'		J. Brownhill	Tripping
19'		J. Quansah	Tripping
14'		D. O'Shea	Delay of game

86'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	J. Bruun Larsen
82'			In:	L. Díaz	Out:	C. Gakpo
81'			In:	A. Ramsey	Out:	H. Massengo
80'			In:	M. Esteve	Out:	Vitinho
46'			In:	T. Alexander-Arnold	Out:	H. Elliott

Liverpool - Burnley Predictions

Prediction: Liverpool

Best odds: 1.24

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As the Premier League action intensifies, all eyes turn to Anfield where a top-versus-bottom clash is set to unfold. Current league leaders Liverpool are poised to host 19th-placed Burnley in a match that could further cement the Reds' title aspirations or provide a glimmer of hope for the Clarets' survival bid. With predictions heavily favoring the home side, let's delve into the key players who could shape this encounter and examine the recent form and head-to-head history that frames this intriguing matchup.

Key Players

Liverpool's midfield dynamo Wataru Endo has been a consistent performer this season, boasting a rating of 6.69. His ability to control the tempo and his contribution of 1 goal from midfield could prove pivotal. Alongside him, Curtis Julian Jones has shown his worth with a rating of 6.78, providing creativity and an eye for goal with 1 assist and 1 goal to his name. The attacking threat will be spearheaded by Cody Mathès Gakpo, whose rating of 6.86 underscores his importance. With 3 goals and 2 assists, his sharpshooting could be the key to unlocking Burnley's defense.

Burnley, on the other hand, will look towards their own attacking talents to upset the odds. Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho has been a bright spot in a challenging season, with a rating of 6.64 and 1 goal to his name. His attacking partner, Jay Enrique Rodríguez, brings experience and a slightly higher rating of 6.67, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist. The wildcard for the Clarets could be Jacob Bruun Larsen, who has matched Rodríguez's goal tally and will be keen to add to his account.

Recent Form

Liverpool's form has been formidable, with the team notching three consecutive wins followed by two draws. Their ability to find the back of the net is reflected in a positive goals difference of +29, a testament to their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.

Burnley, struggling at the other end of the table, has seen a mix of results with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Their -21 goal difference is indicative of the challenges they've faced both in defense and attack.

Head-to-Head History

The recent history between these two sides adds an interesting layer to the narrative. The last encounter on Boxing Day 2023 saw Liverpool emerge victorious with a 2-0 win against Burnley at Turf Moor. This result is likely to be fresh in the minds of both sets of players and fans as they prepare for the upcoming fixture.

Prediction

The predictions are heavily skewed in Liverpool's favor, with a striking 78% total percent home win probability compared to Burnley's 22%. The home team's form stands at 76% against the away side's 24%, further highlighting the disparity between the two teams this season.

Adding to this, Liverpool's attacking and defensive stats overshadow Burnley's, with the home side's attack rated at 71% against the away's 29%, and their defense at 69% against 31%. The poisson distribution, which gauges the probability of scoring goals, also favors Liverpool at 83% over Burnley's 17%.

In light of these considerations, the final prediction is for Liverpool to secure a comfortable victory. The Reds' superior form, coupled with their home advantage and the quality of key players like Wataru Endo, Curtis Julian Jones, and Cody Mathès Gakpo, should see them extend their lead at the top of the table. Burnley, despite the efforts of Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho and Jacob Bruun Larsen, might find it tough to withstand the onslaught.

Expect a match where Liverpool dominates possession and chances, with a strong likelihood of a scoreline that reflects their attacking might. Burnley will have to produce a performance of immense resilience and perhaps a touch of fortune to come away with anything from Anfield. The advice leans unequivocally towards a winner: Liverpool, potentially with a margin that exceeds the -3.5 goal line for the home side.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

86%

14%

Attacking Potential

71%

29%

Defensive Potential

65%

35%

Poisson Distribution

83%

17%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

89%

11%

Wins the game

79%

21%

Liverpool - Burnley Head to Head

10/02	Liverpool	3 - 1	Burnley
26/12	Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15