Liverpool - Manchester United

Regular Season - 17
Kickoff: 2023-12-17 15:30

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Liverpool - Manchester United Predictions

Prediction: Liverpool
Best odds: 1.41

As the Premier League heats up, all eyes turn to Anfield where Liverpool is set to clash with Manchester United in a fixture that historically has never been short of drama and fervor. The predictions are in, favoring Liverpool, yet in a game of this magnitude, anything can happen on the pitch.

Key Players

For Liverpool, the spotlight falls on Cody Mathès Gakpo, whose performance has been noteworthy. With a rating of 6.83, Gakpo has managed to hit the target 4 times out of 7 shots, although he's still looking to improve his assist tally. His contribution in the attacking third will be crucial for Liverpool.

Another attacker who has been pivotal to Liverpool's campaign is Luis Fernando Díaz Marulanda. With a higher rating of 6.89, he has taken more shots, 14 in total, and has a better goal count, finding the net 3 times this season. His agility and pace could be a thorn in the side of United's defense.

Not to be overlooked, Diogo José Teixeira da Silva, commonly known as Diogo Jota, with a rating of 6.99, has also been a consistent threat upfront, scoring 2 goals and showing a knack for key passes in the build-up play.

On the other side, Manchester United will be relying on Anthony Jordan Martial to lead their line. Martial, with a rating of 6.66, has had a modest impact but will be looking to exploit any gaps in Liverpool's defense.

Marcus Rashford, with a rating of 6.84, has been a standout player for United, taking the most shots on the team, 19, with 9 on target, and contributing 2 goals and 1 assist. His direct running and ability to stretch defenses will be key for United's counter-attacking strategy.

Lastly, the creative force of Christian Dannemann Eriksen cannot be underestimated. With a rating of 6.87, Eriksen's vision and passing, having made 399 passes with 8 being key, will be instrumental in unlocking Liverpool's defense.

Recent Form

Liverpool's form has been solid, with an impressive home record of 7 wins out of 7 games. Their last five games have seen them secure 3 wins and 2 draws, indicating stability and resilience. Manchester United, on the other hand, have had a mix of results with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five outings. Their away form has been less convincing, with 4 wins and 3 losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting context for the match. The last encounter at Anfield was a goal fest for Liverpool, thrashing United with a staggering 7-0 victory on March 5, 2023. However, United had their moment of glory earlier in the season with a 2-1 win at Old Trafford on August 22, 2022.

Prediction

The prediction leans heavily towards a Liverpool victory or at least a draw, with a whopping 45% chance for each outcome according to the data. The analysis suggests a strong performance from Liverpool at home, backed by a 57.8% total percent chance of winning. Manchester United, despite being the underdogs with just a 10% chance for a win, cannot be written off completely, especially with a 42.2% chance of upsetting the home crowd.

Taking into account the recent form, home advantage, and the head-to-head history, the advice leans towards a "Double chance: Liverpool or draw." The goal statistics suggest a tight game, potentially with fewer goals than expected, hinting at under 2.5 goals for Liverpool and under 1.5 for Manchester United.

In conclusion, this match promises to be a tactical battle with Liverpool likely to take the upper hand, especially with key players like Cody Mathès Gakpo, Luis Fernando Díaz, and Diogo Jota in fine form. However, the threat posed by Marcus Rashford and Christian Eriksen means United could still pose a significant challenge. Expect a gripping encounter with Liverpool favored to either emerge victorious or hold United to a draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

59%
41%

Attacking Potential

67%
33%

Defensive Potential

50%
50%

Poisson Distribution

74%
26%

Stregth H2H

60%
40%

Goals H2H

74%
26%

Wins the game

64%
36%

Liverpool - Manchester United Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 18 57
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 3 43
10 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 2 43
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
15 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 29
16 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 25
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15