Liverpool - Newcastle

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

86'		3 - 1	Penalty	Mohamed Salah
81'		2 - 1	Goal	S. Botman	S. Longstaff (Assist)
78'		2 - 0	Goal	C. Gakpo	Mohamed Salah (Assist)
74'		1 - 0	Goal	C. Jones	Diogo Jota (Assist)
54'		0 - 0	Goal	A. Isak	A. Gordon (Assist)
49'		0 - -1	Goal	Mohamed Salah	D. Núñez (Assist)
36'		-1 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside
22'		0 - -1	Missed Penalty	Mohamed Salah	Mohamed Salah (Assist)
18'		0 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside

89'		S. Longstaff	Roughing
84'		M. Dúbravka	Tripping
66'		Joelinton	Foul
65'		W. Endo	Holding
45'		L. Díaz	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		T. Alexander-Arnold	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		L. Miley	Tripping
28'		Bruno Guimarães	Tripping

82'			In:	D. Burn	Out:	L. Hall
82'			In:	Joelinton	Out:	J. Lascelles
75'			In:	W. Endo	Out:	A. Mac Allister
64'			In:	D. Núñez	Out:	Diogo Jota
64'			In:	D. Szoboszlai	Out:	R. Gravenberch
64'			In:	L. Díaz	Out:	C. Gakpo
54'			In:	L. Miley	Out:	M. Almirón

Liverpool - Newcastle Predictions

Prediction: Liverpool

Best odds: 1.48

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As the Premier League heats up, all eyes are set on the upcoming clash at Anfield where Liverpool will face Newcastle on a chilly Monday night. The predictions are in, stirring excitement and speculation among fans and pundits alike. Will Liverpool extend their dominance at home, or can Newcastle stage an upset on the Reds' turf?

Key Players to Watch

Liverpool's midfield dynamo, Wataru Endo, has been a consistent performer this season, with a rating of 6.52. His ability to control the game's tempo with 250 total passes and a key pass could be pivotal in breaking Newcastle's defense. Another midfielder, Harvey Daniel James Elliott, boasts a higher rating of 6.82, contributing one assist and showcasing his threat with seven total shots. The attacking prowess of Cody Mathès Gakpo cannot be overlooked, with a rating of 6.84, two goals, and an impressive six shots on target.

On the other side, Newcastle's Sandro Tonali, with a rating of 6.83, has shown his worth with 266 total passes and an eye for creating chances with eight key passes. The midfield is further bolstered by Harvey Lewis Barnes, who has a rating of 6.85 and has already made his mark with an assist and two shots on target. Sean David Longstaff, another key midfielder for Newcastle, has an impressive rating of 6.86, with two goals and a significant contribution in passes, making him a player to watch.

Recent Form

Liverpool's recent form has been solid, with their last five games resulting in three wins and two draws, placing them second in the league with 38 points. They've shown incredible strength at home, winning 7 out of 8 games. With a goal difference of +21, they've been formidable in both attack and defense.

Newcastle, currently ranked sixth with 29 points, have had a mixed bag of results with two wins and two losses in their last five fixtures. Their away form has been less convincing, with only one win out of eight games on the road.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between the two teams favors Liverpool, with the Reds winning all three of the most recent encounters. On August 27, 2023, Liverpool edged out Newcastle with a 2-1 victory at St. James' Park. Before that, on February 18, 2023, Liverpool secured a comfortable 2-0 win, and on August 31, 2022, they triumphed with a close 2-1 scoreline at Anfield.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning heavily towards a Liverpool victory or at least a draw, with a 'Double chance: Liverpool or draw' being the advised bet. The statistical analysis gives Liverpool a total percent home win chance of 64.8% against Newcastle's 35.2%. The poisson distribution also favors Liverpool with an 80% chance to Newcastle's 20%. Moreover, in head-to-head encounters, Liverpool has dominated with a 100% record against Newcastle's 0%.

With both teams boasting key players who can turn the game on its head, it's expected to be a tight contest. However, Liverpool's superior form, especially at home, and their historical advantage over Newcastle, suggests they are the favorites to come out on top in this fixture.

In conclusion, while Newcastle will undoubtedly put up a fight, the strength and consistency of Liverpool, especially with the likes of Wataru Endo, Harvey Daniel James Elliott, and Cody Mathès Gakpo on their side, should see them secure a win or at the very least, a draw. Expect a game with intense midfield battles, strategic plays, and potentially a few goals, but with Liverpool likely to maintain their stronghold at Anfield.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

79%

21%

Attacking Potential

58%

42%

Defensive Potential

85%

15%

Poisson Distribution

79%

21%

Stregth H2H

100%

0%

Goals H2H

77%

23%

Wins the game

76%

24%

Liverpool - Newcastle Head to Head

01/01	Liverpool	4 - 2	Newcastle
27/08	Newcastle	1 - 2	Liverpool
18/02	Newcastle	0 - 2	Liverpool
31/08	Liverpool	2 - 1	Newcastle

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15