Luton - Brighton

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

56'		4 - 0	Goal	E. Adebayo
42'		3 - 0	Goal	E. Adebayo
3'		2 - 0	Goal	C. Ogbene
1'		1 - 0	Goal	E. Adebayo

73'		C. Baleba	Tripping
66'		J. Clark	Tripping
25'		A. Sambi Lokonga	Roughing
13'		Igor

85'			In:	R. Barkley	Out:	L. Berry
83'			In:	C. Morris	Out:	C. Woodrow
71'			In:	E. Adebayo	Out:	T. Chong
71'			In:	João Pedro	Out:	J. Moder
68'			In:	A. Sambi Lokonga	Out:	P. Mpanzu
68'			In:	J. Clark	Out:	A. Townsend
61'			In:	B. Gilmour	Out:	C. Baleba
49'			In:	F. Buonanotte	Out:	E. Ferguson
48'			In:	P. Estupiñán	Out:	T. Lamptey
46'			In:	P. Estupiñán	Out:	T. Lamptey
46'			In:	F. Buonanotte	Out:	E. Ferguson
20'			In:	J. Milner	Out:	J. Hinshelwood

Luton - Brighton Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Brighton

Best odds: 1.20

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As the Premier League action unfolds, fans are eager to see whether Luton can defy the odds against a resilient Brighton side at Kenilworth Road. With predictions leaning towards an away advantage, the clash promises to be more than just a battle for points; it's a test of form, strategy, and individual brilliance.

Key Players - Luton

For Luton, the spotlight falls on Tahith Jose Girigorio Djorkaef Chong, whose midfield prowess has been crucial. With a rating of 6.62, Chong's ability to create chances will be vital for Luton's forward line. His 2 key passes and 151 total passes show a player capable of carving open defenses.

Upfront, Elijah Anuoluwapo Oluwaferanmi Ayomikulehin Adebayo, better known as Elijah Adebayo, has been a beacon of hope. With a rating of 6.67, his 4 goals from 12 shots on target make him a considerable threat, and his 11 key passes suggest he's not just about finishing but also about setting up his teammates.

Jacob Samuel Brown adds another layer of attack for Luton. With a rating of 6.75, Brown's contribution of 2 goals and his ability to take on defenders with 14 total shots will be crucial for Luton's offensive endeavors.

Key Players - Brighton

On the visiting side, Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah Welbeck, commonly known as Danny Welbeck, brings experience and a rating of 6.70 to the front line. His 3 shots on target and overall presence on the pitch will be something the Luton defense must be wary of.

Facundo Valentín Buonanotte, with a rating of 6.75, is a key asset in the midfield. His creativity has been on display with 1 assist and 4 key passes, indicating his potential to change the game with a single pass.

Anssumane Fati Vieira, or Ansu Fati, has shown glimpses of his potential with a rating of 6.79. His 7 shots on target and a total of 2 goals demonstrate his sharpness in front of goal, which could prove decisive in tight matches.

Recent Form

Luton's recent form reads like a rollercoaster with 'DLWW' in their last games, indicating a team that has struggled for consistency. Sitting at 18th in the league with 16 points, their battle against relegation is palpable. Brighton, on the other hand, sits comfortably in 8th place with 31 points and a form line of 'DWDLD', showcasing a team that, while hard to beat, has found wins elusive recently.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides is limited but telling. In their last encounter on August 12, 2023, Brighton dominated with a 4-1 victory. This result will certainly be on the minds of the players and could influence the psychological aspect of the upcoming match.

Prediction

The predictions favor Brighton, and it's not hard to see why. With a 'win or draw' comment and a 45% chance for both outcomes, Brighton's chances look promising. Luton, with only a 10% chance of victory, will have to outperform expectations to secure points.

The key player matchups suggest that while Luton has talent in their ranks, Brighton's quality, especially in the form of Ansu Fati, could be the differentiator. The head-to-head history also tilts the balance in Brighton's favor.

Given the current form, player stats, and previous encounters, a safe bet would be on Brighton securing at least a point. However, football is nothing if not unpredictable, and Luton's desperation to climb out of the relegation zone could inspire a spirited performance.

In conclusion, the advice leans towards a 'Double chance: draw or Brighton' with a subtle nod to the underdog's potential for an upset. But, the final prediction is a Brighton win or draw, with the away side likely extending their unbeaten run against Luton.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

54%

46%

Attacking Potential

62%

38%

Defensive Potential

38%

62%

Poisson Distribution

42%

58%

Stregth H2H

0%

100%

Goals H2H

22%

78%

Wins the game

44%

56%

Luton - Brighton Head to Head

30/01	Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
12/08	Brighton	4 - 1	Luton

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15