Manchester City - Aston Villa

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

69'		4 - 1	Goal	P. Foden	J. Álvarez (Assist)
62'		3 - 1	Goal	P. Foden	Rodri (Assist)
45'		2 - 1	Goal	P. Foden
20'		1 - 1	Goal	J. Durán	M. Rogers (Assist)
11'		1 - 0	Goal	Rodri	J. Doku (Assist)

38'		Douglas Luiz	Holding
32'		J. Grealish	Unsportsmanlike conduct

81'			In:	P. Foden	Out:	O. Bobb
81'			In:	J. Doku	Out:	Sergio Gómez
77'			In:	N. Zaniolo	Out:	O. Kellyman
75'			In:	Bernardo Silva	Out:	Matheus Nunes
75'			In:	Rodri	Out:	M. Kovačić
71'			In:	J. Durán	Out:	Álex Moreno
63'			In:	Douglas Luiz	Out:	C. Chambers
63'			In:	M. Diaby	Out:	Y. Tielemans
63'			In:	T. Iroegbunam	Out:	L. Bailey

Manchester City - Aston Villa Predictions

Prediction: Manchester City or draw

Best odds: 1.06

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As the Premier League season intensifies, a pivotal clash at the Etihad Stadium is set to take place, with Manchester City hosting Aston Villa in what could be a defining match for both teams' Champions League aspirations. Predictions are leaning towards a favorable outcome for the home side, but in football, certainty is a luxury that often eludes even the most informed pundits.

Key Players Manchester City's defensive solidity could be attributed to the performances of players like Rico Henry Mark Lewis, whose rating of 6.79 reflects his steady contributions. Alongside him, Nathan Benjamin Aké stands out with a rating of 7.16, having provided 2 assists and finding the net twice himself. Not to be overlooked, Manuel Obafemi Akanji, with a rating of 7.22, has been a rock in defense, contributing to City's formidable goal difference.

Aston Villa's midfield dynamism is often sparked by Nicolò Zaniolo, whose rating of 6.52 might not tell the whole story of his influence on the pitch. In attack, Jhon Jader Durán Palacio, with a rating of 6.68, has shown his potential to be a game-changer for Villa, having already scored twice this season.

Recent Form

Manchester City's recent form of 'WWDWW' showcases their consistency and resilience, which has kept them firmly in the title race. With 18 wins and only 3 losses in 26 games, they are a force to be reckoned with at home, remaining unbeaten at the Etihad.

Aston Villa, not far behind, has an impressive 'WWLWL' streak, demonstrating their ability to bounce back after setbacks. Their away form has been a bit more erratic, with 6 wins and 4 losses, but they've shown they can be formidable opponents on their day.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a mixed narrative, with the most recent encounter on December 6, 2023, ending in a 1-0 victory for Aston Villa. However, the previous meeting at the Etihad on February 12, 2023, saw Manchester City triumph with a 3-1 scoreline. The match before that, on September 3, 2022, resulted in a 1-1 draw, suggesting a competitive rivalry is brewing.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning towards a Manchester City win or draw, with a 'Double chance' advice suggesting City's dominance, particularly at home. The percentages provided by the predictions indicate a 61.7% chance of a home victory compared to Aston Villa's 38.3%.

Combining the strength demonstrated by key players, the recent form of both teams, and the historical head-to-head results, the match is poised to be a thrilling encounter. However, with Manchester City's defensive stalwarts like Akanji and Lewis, and the attacking prowess of Villa's Durán Palacio, goals could be at a premium.

The prediction suggests fewer than 2.5 goals for both sides, with a strong possibility of a tightly contested match. The overall advice leans towards a Manchester City victory or a draw, but given the unpredictable nature of the game and Aston Villa's capacity to surprise, this match could very well defy expectations.

In conclusion, while Manchester City are the favorites to take all three points, Aston Villa will not make it easy for them. This match could very well hinge on the performances of key players and tactical decisions made on the day. Expect a battle that could either solidify City's Champions League positioning or throw the race wide open with a Villa upset.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

52%

48%

Attacking Potential

38%

63%

Defensive Potential

82%

18%

Poisson Distribution

69%

31%

Stregth H2H

71%

29%

Goals H2H

60%

40%

Wins the game

62%

38%

Manchester City - Aston Villa Head to Head

03/04	Manchester City	4 - 1	Aston Villa
06/12	Aston Villa	1 - 0	Manchester City
12/02	Manchester City	3 - 1	Aston Villa
03/09	Aston Villa	1 - 1	Manchester City

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15