Manchester City - Brentford

Regular Season - 18
Kickoff: 2024-02-20 18:30

Who will win?

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Manchester City - Brentford Predictions

Prediction: Manchester City or draw
Best odds: 1.05

As the Premier League gears up for a tantalizing clash at the Etihad Stadium on a chilly Saturday afternoon, all eyes are on whether Manchester City can continue their chase for the top spot against a Brentford side eager to disrupt the status quo. The predictions are in, but as any football aficionado knows, the game is won on the pitch, not on paper.

Key Players

Manchester City's defensive solidity can be attributed in part to the efforts of Nathan Benjamin Aké, whose rating of 7.20 reflects his reliability at the back. With 426 total passes and a keen eye for goal, Aké's presence is vital for the Sky Blues. Joining him in defense, Manuel Obafemi Akanji, with a rating of 7.33, has been a passing maestro with 692 total passes, contributing to City's fluid play.

The creative spark in the midfield often comes from Philip Walter Foden, who boasts a 7.45 rating. With 3 assists and 3 goals to his name, Foden's ability to carve open defenses will be crucial in unlocking Brentford's backline.

Brentford, on the other hand, will look towards Kevin Schade, a midfielder with a knack for getting into scoring positions, evidenced by his 2 shots on target from 4 attempts. Although his rating of 6.44 may not be the highest, his potential for impact cannot be discounted.

In attack, Sayed Saman Ghoddos brings creativity, with a 6.86 rating and a total of 46 passes, including 3 key passes. His vision and execution will be key in Brentford's counter-attacks. Meanwhile, Christian Thers Nørgaard has shown his prowess in midfield with a 7.15 rating, contributing 1 assist and a goal, alongside 493 passes, highlighting his role as Brentford's midfield engine.

Recent Form

Manchester City's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of WLDDD, suggesting a slight dip in their usual dominance. However, sitting at 4th place with 33 points and a healthy goal difference of +20, they remain formidable opponents on their home turf.

Brentford's form, represented by LLWLL, indicates a struggle to find consistency. Positioned at 11th with 19 points and a narrow goal difference of +1, they face an uphill battle but have shown that they can surprise even the mightiest of teams.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters tell a story of Brentford's resilience against the Manchester giants. The previous two matches saw Brentford clinching victories with scores of 1-0 and 2-1, respectively, on May 28, 2023, and November 12, 2022. These results will surely be on the minds of both sets of players as they step onto the pitch.

Prediction

The prediction algorithms seem to heavily favor a Manchester City win, with a 60.5% chance of victory. The Sky Blues' home form, combined with their attacking prowess led by Foden and defensive stability with Aké and Akanji, make them the likely winners.

Brentford, despite being the underdogs with only a 39.5% chance, have proven their capability to cause upsets. Key players like Ghoddos and Nørgaard will need to be at their best to replicate previous successes against City.

Taking into account the form, key players, and historical context, the final prediction is a win for Manchester City. However, the margin may be closer than expected, with Brentford's fighting spirit and City's recent stumbles in mind. Expect a match where strategy, individual brilliance, and perhaps a touch of luck will determine the outcome.

In conclusion, while the scales tip in favor of Manchester City, Brentford's resilience and recent head-to-head record suggest that this match could offer more surprises than meets the eye. It's all set up to be a Premier League spectacle that should not be missed.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

68%
32%

Attacking Potential

57%
43%

Defensive Potential

71%
29%

Poisson Distribution

74%
26%

Stregth H2H

60%
40%

Goals H2H

64%
36%

Wins the game

66%
34%

Manchester City - Brentford Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 18 57
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 3 43
10 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 2 43
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
15 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 29
16 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 25
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15