Manchester City - Burnley

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		3 - 1	Goal	A. Al Dakhil	D. Fofana (Assist)
46'		3 - 0	Goal	Rodri	P. Foden (Assist)
22'		2 - 0	Goal	J. Álvarez	K. De Bruyne (Assist)
16'		1 - 0	Goal	J. Álvarez	Matheus Nunes (Assist)

81'		J. Doku	Foul
76'		Ederson	Roughing
76'		C. Roberts	Roughing
22'		H. Ekdal	Foul
21'		H. Ekdal	Foul

87'			In:	Rodri	Out:	M. Kovačić
87'			In:	J. Álvarez	Out:	Sergio Gómez
87'			In:	H. Ekdal	Out:	H. Massengo
76'			In:	P. Foden	Out:	J. Grealish
76'			In:	W. Odobert	Out:	A. Zaroury
71'			In:	K. De Bruyne	Out:	E. Haaland
59'			In:	L. Foster	Out:	D. Fofana
59'			In:	J. Guðmunds­son	Out:	A. Ramsey
59'			In:	Z. Amdouni	Out:	C. Roberts

Manchester City - Burnley Predictions

Prediction: Manchester City

Best odds: 1.11

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As the Premier League gears up for another showdown, all eyes turn to the Etihad Stadium where Manchester City will host Burnley in what predictions suggest could be a one-sided affair. With the Citizens in formidable form and the Clarets struggling at the bottom, this match may seem like a foregone conclusion, but as any football fan knows, the beautiful game always has the potential for surprises.

Key Players: Manchester City

For Manchester City, their success often hinges on the performance of their key players. One such player is James John McAtee, a dynamic midfielder whose presence on the pitch has been felt despite scoring just one goal so far. His potential for creativity could be pivotal in breaking down Burnley's defenses.

On the defensive end, Rico Henry Mark Lewis, with a rating of 6.78, has shown his worth with solid performances at the back. His ability to contribute both defensively and offensively, with 162 total passes and 5 key passes, adds depth to City's gameplay.

Another linchpin in City's defense is Nathan Benjamin Aké, whose 7.11 rating reflects his reliability. With 2 goals, 1 assist, and a commanding presence, Aké is a player Burnley will need to be wary of during set-pieces.

Key Players: Burnley

Despite Burnley’s precarious position, they have their own talents to rely on. Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho, an attacker with a 6.64 rating, has been a glimpse of hope with his goal and assist. His 5 shots on target from 17 attempts illustrate his willingness to challenge goalkeepers.

Joining him in the attack is Jay Enrique Rodríguez, who brings experience and a slightly higher rating of 6.67. With 2 goals and 1 assist, Rodríguez's ability to find the net could be crucial for Burnley to pull off an upset.

Another forward, Jacob Bruun Larsen, with a rating of 6.77, has shown flashes of brilliance. His 2 goals this season could be a sign that he’s ready to step up in crucial moments.

Recent Form

Manchester City's recent form is impressive, with a string of results reading WWWDW. Sitting at 2nd in the league with 43 points, they are a force to be reckoned with, especially at home where they remain unbeaten.

Burnley, on the other hand, has had a challenging season. Their form reads DLLWL, and with only 12 points, they find themselves in the 19th spot, deep in the relegation zone. The Clarets will need to muster all their resilience to turn the tide.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides points to a dominance by Manchester City. The previous encounter on August 11, 2023, saw City triumph with a 3-0 victory at Burnley's home ground. Earlier in the same year, on March 18, Manchester City delivered a resounding 6-0 thrashing. These past results, paired with City's current form, do not bode well for Burnley.

Prediction

Taking into account the form of both teams, their key players, and the head-to-head history, the prediction leans heavily in favor of Manchester City. With a 70.5% total percent home win chance and Burnley's 29.5% chance of an away win, the odds are stacked against the visitors. The Citizens' attacking prowess and defensive solidity, highlighted by the performances of players like McAtee, Lewis, and Aké, make them the clear favorites.

Burnley, with the likes of Koleosho, Rodríguez, and Larsen, will need to find an extraordinary performance to defy the odds. However, with City's impeccable home record and Burnley's struggles on the road, the prediction is a comfortable victory for Manchester City. Expect the home side to maintain pressure on the league leaders and further solidify their Champions League ambitions, while Burnley will have to regroup and focus on their battle for survival.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

76%

24%

Attacking Potential

71%

29%

Defensive Potential

57%

43%

Poisson Distribution

78%

22%

Stregth H2H

100%

0%

Goals H2H

100%

0%

Wins the game

71%

30%

Manchester City - Burnley Head to Head

31/01	Manchester City	3 - 1	Burnley
11/08	Burnley	0 - 3	Manchester City
18/03	Manchester City	6 - 0	Burnley

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15