Manchester City - Crystal Palace

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 2	Penalty	M. Olise
76'		2 - 1	Goal	J. Mateta	J. Schlupp (Assist)
54'		2 - 0	Goal	R. Lewis
24'		1 - 0	Goal	J. Grealish	P. Foden (Assist)

43'		Ederson	Tripping
42'		Ederson	Tripping
40'		J. Andersen	Tripping

90'			In:	N. Clyne	Out:	E. Eze
90'			In:	R. Lewis	Out:	J. Stones
81'			In:	J. Schlupp	Out:	Matheus França
81'			In:	J. Riedewald	Out:	N. Ahamada
34'			In:	J. Ward	Out:	D. Ozoh

Manchester City - Crystal Palace Predictions

Prediction: Manchester City

Best odds: 1.20

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As the Premier League's regular season unfolds, fans are eagerly anticipating the clash between Manchester City and Crystal Palace. With predictions favoring the home side, there's an air of expectation at the Etihad Stadium. Will City cement their position at the top, or can Palace cause an upset? Let's delve into the details, examining the players who could make a difference and the teams' recent performances.

Key Players to Watch

Manchester City, currently third in the league, boasts a squad brimming with talent. One standout is Nathan Benjamin Aké, whose defensive prowess is reflected in his 7.20 rating, with 2 goals to his name. Equally formidable is Manuel Obafemi Akanji, a defender with a 7.33 rating, who has been instrumental in building plays from the back. However, it's Philip Walter Foden, the dynamic midfielder, who could be the game-changer with his 7.45 rating, 3 goals, and 3 assists.

Crystal Palace, though further down the table, has its own set of aces. Jeffrey Schlupp, with a rating of 6.71, brings versatility and an attacking threat from midfield. Jordan Pierre Ayew, an attacker, contributes not just with goals but with his creative assists. Defender Tyrick Kwon Mitchell, with a solid 6.95 rating, will be key to thwarting City's formidable attack.

Recent Form

Manchester City's form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of "DDDWW", indicating some stumbles but also showcasing their resilience. On the other hand, Palace has struggled, as their "LDLLW" record suggests inconsistency and vulnerability. City's home advantage is underscored by their undefeated home record this season, while Palace has had a less impressive away record.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters provide further insight. The last time these two teams met at Crystal Palace's home ground on March 11, 2023, City scraped through with a narrow 1-0 victory. Earlier in the season, on August 27, 2022, City secured a more comfortable 4-2 win at the Etihad. These results suggest a pattern of dominance by Manchester City in recent matchups.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' form, key players, and historical encounters, the prediction leans heavily in favor of Manchester City. The home side's attacking strength, coupled with stalwarts like Aké and Akanji at the back, and the creative force of Foden in midfield, make them formidable opponents. Crystal Palace will rely on the likes of Schlupp and Ayew to disrupt City's rhythm and Mitchell to hold the line defensively.

The predictions suggest a high likelihood of a City win, with a 45% chance of a home victory and a mere 10% for an away upset. The statistical models, including poisson distribution and head-to-head history, also favor City, with a 76% chance of scoring based on poisson distribution compared to Palace's 24%.

In conclusion, while football is unpredictable, the data and analyses point towards a Manchester City victory. Palace will need to be at their very best and hope City have an off day to take anything from this fixture. With City's eyes on the prize and their Champions League ambitions, expect them to assert their dominance and secure the three points on this Saturday showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

86%

14%

Attacking Potential

67%

33%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

76%

24%

Stregth H2H

71%

29%

Goals H2H

64%

36%

Wins the game

69%

31%

Manchester City - Crystal Palace Head to Head

06/04	Crystal Palace	-	Manchester City
16/12	Manchester City	2 - 2	Crystal Palace
11/03	Crystal Palace	0 - 1	Manchester City
27/08	Manchester City	4 - 2	Crystal Palace

Premier League standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	22	5	4	75	24	51	71
2	Liverpool	31	21	8	2	72	30	42	71
3	Manchester City	31	21	7	3	71	31	40	70
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	66	49	17	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	62	44	18	57
6	Manchester United	31	15	4	12	45	46	-1	49
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	52	56	-4	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	65	52	13	47
9	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	53	50	3	43
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	51	49	2	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	44	49	-5	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	45	55	-10	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	47	51	-4	39
14	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	36	54	-18	30
15	Everton	31	9	8	14	32	42	-10	29
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	45	58	-13	29
17	Nottingham Forest	31	7	8	16	39	53	-14	25
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	45	65	-20	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	32	67	-35	19
20	Sheffield Utd	30	3	6	21	28	80	-52	15