Newcastle - Everton

Regular Season - 31
Kickoff: 2024-04-02 09:30

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Newcastle - Everton Predictions

Prediction: Newcastle
Best odds: 1.89

As the Premier League gears up for another thrilling encounter, all eyes are set on St. James' Park this Tuesday, where Newcastle is poised to lock horns with Everton in what promises to be a captivating fixture. With predictions already tilting in favor of the home side, fans are eager to see if the Magpies can capitalize on their home advantage and solidify their standing in the league.

Key Players

Newcastle's midfield dynamo Sandro Tonali has been instrumental this season, boasting a rating of 6.83. His precision in passing, with a total of 266 and 8 key passes, has been pivotal in creating opportunities, and he's even chipped in with a goal. Alongside him, Lewis Miley, with a rating of 6.84, has been a revelation, contributing 2 assists and showcasing his threat from midfield with 6 total shots, 3 of which tested the goalkeeper.

At the back, Jamaal Lascelles has been a rock in defence. His rating of 6.86 underlines his importance to the side, with his defensive work complemented by an impressive 753 passes and a goal to his name.

For the visitors, Everton's attack features Arnaut Danjuma Adam Groeneveld, who has a rating of 6.66. His 17 shots, 9 on target, and a goal illustrate his ability to be a constant thorn in the side of any defence. Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal also brings an attacking edge, with 23 shots this season and a knack for key passes, tallying 9 in total.

Defensively, Michael Vincent Keane has stood out with a rating of 6.70, contributing both in defence with 194 passes and in attack with a goal, showcasing his dual threat.

Recent Form

Newcastle's form has been somewhat inconsistent but recently positive, with their last five games resulting in a loss, draw, win, draw, and win. This pattern has left them at 9th in the table, with 37 points. Everton, sitting at 15th with 25 points, has had a more challenging run, with their last five outings yielding three draws and two losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an intriguing insight into the rivalry. The most recent clash saw Everton triumph with a 3-0 victory on December 7, 2023. However, the previous encounter on April 27, 2023, was dominated by Newcastle in a resounding 4-1 away win. Newcastle also edged out a 1-0 victory on October 19, 2022, suggesting a closely fought history between the two.

Prediction

The predictions and statistics heavily favor Newcastle, with a 45% chance of victory according to the data. The team's home form, coupled with key player performances, suggests they have the upper hand. With Everton's struggles, especially in their recent form, and a lower away win percentage, the odds are stacked against them.

The prediction model suggests that Newcastle is likely to win, with a high 65.3% total percent home advantage. The advice leans towards a Newcastle victory, and the poisson distribution reinforces this with a 73% to 27% split in favor of the Magpies. The head-to-head home advantage also tilts towards Newcastle at 60%.

In conclusion, while the unpredictability of football always leaves room for surprises, the data and form guide point towards a strong performance from Newcastle. Expect key contributions from players like Tonali, Miley, and Lascelles to make the difference. Everton will need to rely on the likes of Danjuma and Keane to disrupt Newcastle's rhythm and grab an unlikely result. However, the final prediction anticipates a Newcastle victory, with the team likely to continue their ascent up the Premier League table.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

78%
22%

Attacking Potential

75%
25%

Defensive Potential

43%
57%

Poisson Distribution

72%
28%

Stregth H2H

60%
40%

Goals H2H

57%
43%

Wins the game

64%
36%

Newcastle - Everton Head to Head

Premier League standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal players, news and schedule Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool players, news and schedule Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Manchester City players, news and schedule Manchester City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Aston Villa players, news and schedule Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
5 Tottenham players, news and schedule Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 18 57
6 Manchester United players, news and schedule Manchester United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham players, news and schedule West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle players, news and schedule Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea players, news and schedule Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 3 43
10 Brighton players, news and schedule Brighton 31 11 10 10 51 49 2 43
11 Wolves players, news and schedule Wolves 31 12 6 13 44 49 -5 42
12 Bournemouth players, news and schedule Bournemouth 31 11 8 12 45 55 -10 41
13 Fulham players, news and schedule Fulham 32 11 6 15 47 51 -4 39
14 Crystal Palace players, news and schedule Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
15 Everton players, news and schedule Everton 31 9 8 14 32 42 -10 29
16 Brentford players, news and schedule Brentford 32 7 8 17 45 58 -13 29
17 Nottingham Forest players, news and schedule Nottingham Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 25
18 Luton players, news and schedule Luton 32 6 7 19 45 65 -20 25
19 Burnley players, news and schedule Burnley 32 4 7 21 32 67 -35 19
20 Sheffield Utd players, news and schedule Sheffield Utd 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15