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Newcastle - Tottenham Predictions
In the thrilling world of the Premier League, every match counts, but when Newcastle squares off against Tottenham at St. James' Park, it's not just about the points—it's a clash of ambition and a test of form. With predictions leaning towards an outcome that favors the visitors, this game promises to be a riveting encounter filled with strategic plays and critical goals. Will Tottenham solidify their grip on a European spot, or can Newcastle cause an upset?
Key Players to Watch
Newcastle's midfield dynamo, Matthew Thomas Ritchie, has been a consistent performer this season. With a rating of 6.71, Ritchie's ability to create chances and his willingness to take shots—3 on target out of 5 attempts—make him a potential game-changer. His teammate, Joseph George Willock, boasts a rating of 6.73, and his impressive tally of 134 passes, including 6 key passes, hints at his pivotal role in Newcastle's build-up play.On the defensive end, Valentino Francisco Livramento has been a rock at the back. With a rating of 6.76, 475 total passes, and a goal to his name, Livramento's presence is sure to be felt by the opposition attackers.
Tottenham's attacking force will be led by Alejo Véliz, whose rating of 6.48 might not reflect his true potential on the pitch. Despite his modest stats, Véliz's presence in the final third could be crucial. In the midfield, Rodrigo Bentancur Colmán stands out with a 6.79 rating, showcasing his ability to distribute the ball effectively with 404 passes and 6 key passes.
The Spurs' defense will rely on Emerson Aparecido Leite de Souza Júnior, known for his solid rating of 6.88 and his commanding presence, which has seen him accumulate 807 passes, signaling his importance in both defense and initiating attacks.
Recent Form
Newcastle's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two wins, a draw, and two losses. Their inconsistency at this stage of the season has been a concern, leaving them in 9th place with 44 points.In contrast, Tottenham sits comfortably in 5th place with 57 points, thanks to a more consistent run of form that includes three wins, a draw, and just one loss in their last five outings. Their position just outside the Champions League spots adds extra motivation to chase a victory.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between these two sides offers a glimpse into their competitive history. The most recent encounter on December 10, 2023, saw Tottenham triumph with a convincing 4-1 victory. However, Newcastle had previously stunned Tottenham with a 6-1 thrashing on April 23, 2023, at St. James' Park. Their October 2022 matchup also went in favor of Newcastle, ending 2-1. This back-and-forth battle sets the stage for another unpredictable showdown.Prediction
Taking into account the current form, key players, and historical encounters, the prediction leans towards a Tottenham win or draw, with an expectation of over 1.5 goals in the match. The combination of Tottenham's higher away form (59) compared to Newcastle's home form (41) and their defensive edge, as indicated by Emerson's rating (6.88), suggests that the visitors have the upper hand.Furthermore, the head-to-head record, with a 60% win rate for Tottenham in recent matches, adds weight to the prediction. However, with Newcastle's strong home record and the capacity to surprise, as seen in their 6-1 victory last season, they cannot be completely ruled out.
In conclusion, the final prediction is a double chance for a draw or Tottenham win, accompanied by more than 1.5 goals. This reflects both the statistical analysis and the unpredictable nature of Premier League football, where anything can happen on the day.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Newcastle - Tottenham Head to Head
Premier League standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 71 |
| 3 |
Manchester City
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 70 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 6 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 41 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 |
Brentford
|
32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 |
Luton
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 |
Sheffield Utd
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 80 | -52 | 15 |
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