1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg

Regular Season - 28
Kickoff: 2024-04-07 04:30

Who will win?

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1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg Predictions

Prediction: Draw or FC Augsburg
Best odds: 1.75

In the ever-unpredictable world of the Bundesliga, the upcoming clash between 1899 Hoffenheim and FC Augsburg at the PreZero Arena promises to be a riveting encounter. With both teams hovering in the mid to lower regions of the table, this match could be a pivotal moment in their seasons. As the predictions roll in favoring an underdog victory or a draw, the question on everyone's mind is whether Augsburg can defy the odds away from home or if Hoffenheim will leverage their home advantage to climb up the rankings.

Key Players to Watch

For 1899 Hoffenheim, the spotlight shines on Ihlas Bebou, whose attacking prowess has been a silver lining in an otherwise cloudy season. With a rating of 6.75, Bebou's ability to find the back of the net and his 5 shots on target make him a constant threat up front. Alongside him, Marius Bülter has been a creative force, boasting 3 assists and a commendable total of 16 key passes. The midfield maestro Florian Grillitsch, with a rating of 6.84, has been instrumental in linking play, amassing 770 passes in total with a precision that can unlock any defense.

FC Augsburg, not to be outdone, have their own talisman in Sven Michel, whose 6.61 rating is backed by his keen eye for goal, as evidenced by his 6 shots on target this season. In defense, Maximilian Bauer has been a stalwart, contributing not just in clearing danger but also in chipping in with a goal. The midfield dynamism comes from Rubén Vargas, whose 6.68 rating is justified by his 8 shots on target and an assist, making him a pivotal piece in Augsburg's offensive puzzle.

Recent Form

Hoffenheim's recent form has been a cause for concern, with a string of lackluster performances reflected in their 'LDDDL' run. With a negative goal difference and a mere 27 points from 22 games, they sit uncomfortably at 9th in the standings. Conversely, Augsburg, although ranked 14th, has shown signs of resilience. Their 'LDDLW' sequence suggests a team that, despite struggles, can grind out results, especially after their latest win that could be a momentum builder.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides has been evenly matched. Their last encounter on November 11, 2023, ended in a 1-1 stalemate, showcasing the competitive nature of this fixture. Earlier that year, on February 17, Augsburg edged Hoffenheim with a narrow 1-0 victory, while Hoffenheim had claimed a 1-0 win themselves on August 27, 2022. This back-and-forth battle sets the stage for another intriguing matchup.

Prediction

The predictions are tilting towards an Augsburg advantage, with a "Double chance: draw or FC Augsburg" advice suggesting that the visitors have a strong chance of coming away with at least a point. The statistical analysis gives Augsburg a 45% chance of winning or drawing, aligning with their superior form and away record. Hoffenheim, despite the home crowd, are seen as underdogs with a mere 10% chance of a win.

The key battle will likely be between Hoffenheim's attack and Augsburg's defense. The form of Ihlas Bebou and Marius Bülter will be crucial for the home side, while Sven Michel and Rubén Vargas will be expected to continue their influential performances for the visitors.

Given the recent form of both teams and the head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a tightly contested match, with Augsburg likely to secure at least a draw. The prediction model's heavy weighting towards Augsburg, with a 61% total percent away, suggests that Hoffenheim's struggles may continue. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with the possibility of under 2.5 goals for the home side and under 3.5 for the away team.

In conclusion, the stage is set for a match where FC Augsburg could either snatch all three points or share the spoils, leaving Hoffenheim to ponder what might have been in their quest for Bundesliga stability.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

32%
68%

Attacking Potential

35%
65%

Defensive Potential

21%
79%

Poisson Distribution

40%
60%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

56%
44%

Wins the game

39%
61%

1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14