1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

84'

0 - 1

Goal

B. Aaronson

Y. Vertessen (Assist)

86'		P. Kadeřábek	Holding
45'		D. Doekhi	Tripping
45'		K. Volland	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		S. Nsoki	Roughing
44'		S. Nsoki	Roughing

81'			In:	R. Gosens	Out:	J. Roussillon
81'			In:	C. Trimmel	Out:	J. Juranović
66'			In:	B. Hollerbach	Out:	Y. Vertessen
66'			In:	A. Laïdouni	Out:	B. Aaronson
46'			In:	U. Tohumcu	Out:	R. Skov
29'			In:	G. Prömel	Out:	W. Weghorst
6'			In:	R. Khedira	Out:	A. Král

1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin Predictions

Prediction: 1899 Hoffenheim or draw

Best odds: 1.35

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another weekend of footballing action, all eyes are on the PreZero Arena where 1899 Hoffenheim will host Union Berlin on a crisp Saturday afternoon. With the predictions hinting at a favorable outcome for the home side, fans and pundits alike are keenly waiting to see if Hoffenheim can capitalize on their home advantage to climb higher up the league table.

Key Players

The outcome of this match could very well hinge on the performances of a few standout players. For 1899 Hoffenheim, Ihlas Bebou is a name that carries weight. As an attacker, Bebou's ability to find the back of the net, despite only scoring once this season, coupled with his 6.58 rating, suggests he could be pivotal against Union Berlin's defense. Another Hoffenheim player to watch is Marius Bülter. With a rating of 6.83, his contribution of three assists and a goal could make him a thorn in the side for the visitors. Lastly, midfielder Florian Grillitsch, rated at 6.84, will be crucial in both orchestrating play with his 430 total passes and shielding the backline.

On the side of Union Berlin, their defense will heavily rely on the experience of Leonardo Bonucci. With a rating of 6.47, Bonucci's leadership and defensive acumen could prove to be the difference-maker. In attack, Mikkel Kaufmann Sørensen and Benedict Hollerbach, both with a rating hovering around 6.5 and each with a goal to their names, will be looking to exploit any gaps in Hoffenheim's defense.

Recent Form

Hoffenheim's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two draws, two losses, and a single draw. Their home record isn't particularly intimidating either, with only two wins from nine games. Union Berlin, on the other hand, has been struggling even more, sitting precariously close to the relegation zone. They've managed to win just one of their last five matches, although that victory could give them a glimmer of hope as they travel to Sinsheim.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head history, the two teams have had closely contested battles in the past. The most recent encounter on September 23, 2023, saw Hoffenheim emerge victorious with a 2-0 win at Union Berlin's ground. Before that, on May 20, 2023, Hoffenheim again outscored Union Berlin with a 4-2 win. Union's last win against Hoffenheim was on January 21, 2023, with a 3-1 scoreline, indicating that while Hoffenheim has had the upper hand lately, Union Berlin is capable of causing an upset.

Prediction

Taking all factors into account, the prediction leans towards a 1899 Hoffenheim win or draw. The statistical analysis gives Hoffenheim a slight edge with a 51.5% total percent home advantage over Union Berlin's 48.7%. The advice suggests a double chance for Hoffenheim or a draw, which seems prudent given both teams' inconsistencies. Hoffenheim's attacking prowess, especially at home, could be the key to unlocking Union Berlin's defense, which has been leaky on the road. The match could likely see fewer goals, considering the -2.5 and -1.5 goals prediction for Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, respectively.

In conclusion, this Bundesliga clash is poised to be a tightly contested affair with Hoffenheim having a statistical edge, but with the unpredictable nature of football, anything could happen on match day. Fans should expect a strategic battle with key players like Ihlas Bebou, Marius Bülter, and Leonardo Bonucci potentially playing pivotal roles in the outcome of the match.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

30%

70%

Attacking Potential

67%

33%

Defensive Potential

29%

71%

Poisson Distribution

63%

37%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

53%

47%

Wins the game

49%

51%

1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin Head to Head

17/02	1899 Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Union Berlin
23/09	Union Berlin	0 - 2	1899 Hoffenheim
20/05	1899 Hoffenheim	4 - 2	Union Berlin
21/01	Union Berlin	3 - 1	1899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14