AC Milan - AS Roma

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

84'		3 - 1	Goal	T. Hernández	O. Giroud (Assist)
69'		2 - 1	Penalty	L. Paredes
56'		2 - 0	Goal	O. Giroud	S. Kjær (Assist)
11'		1 - 0	Goal	Y. Adli	T. Reijnders (Assist)

81'		Dean Huijsen	Holding
71'		S. Kjær	Holding
56'		B. Cristante	Unsportsmanlike conduct
43'		G. Mancini

79'			In:	C. Pulišić	Out:	Y. Musah
79'			In:	Rafael Leão	Out:	N. Okafor
78'			In:	Diego Llorente	Out:	Dean Huijsen
78'			In:	Z. Çelik	Out:	N. Zalewski
61'			In:	S. El Shaarawy	Out:	A. Belotti
46'			In:	G. Mancini	Out:	L. Pellegrini

AC Milan - AS Roma Predictions

Prediction: AC Milan or draw

Best odds: 1.32

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As the anticipation builds for the upcoming showdown at the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano, Serie A enthusiasts are eagerly awaiting the clash between AC Milan and AS Roma. With predictions hinting at a potential victory or at least a draw for the home side, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter in the heart of Italian football.

Key Players - AC Milan

AC Milan's success this season has been a team effort, but a few standouts have made significant contributions. Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, a sprightly attacker, has been a revelation with 3 goals to his name, proving his worth with 6 shots on target from 9 attempts. His agility and sharpness upfront could be a deciding factor against Roma's defense.

The defense is anchored by Jan-Carlo Šimić, whose rating of 6.83 reflects his reliability at the back. He's not just a barrier for opponents but has also contributed a goal, demonstrating his aerial threat on set-pieces.

Midfielder Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek has been the engine room for Milan, with an impressive 343 passes to his name, including 11 key passes, and has chipped in with a goal and an assist. His ability to control the tempo could be crucial in the midfield battle.

Key Players - AS Roma

For AS Roma, Renato Júnior Luz Sanches, with a rating of 6.62, has been instrumental in the midfield. His vision and passing ability, which includes 3 key passes, have been vital in transitioning from defense to attack.

Upfront, Sardar Azmoun has been the focal point of Roma's attack. With his 2 shots on target and a goal to his name, he'll be looking to exploit any gaps in Milan's defense.

Defensive duties for Roma are partly handled by Rasmus Nissen Kristensen, whose rating of 6.75 and 1 assist from the backline showcase his dual threat as a defender and a contributor to the team's forward play.

Recent Form

AC Milan has been in a relatively positive vein of form, with their last five games reflecting a resilient team capable of bouncing back: WDWLW. Their home record is particularly impressive, with 7 wins out of 9 games, which could spell trouble for Roma.

AS Roma, on the other hand, has been a bit more inconsistent with a recent record of WLDWW. Their away form has been a concern, with only 2 wins out of 8 games, suggesting that they might find it challenging to take all three points back to Rome.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two teams have been closely contested. The most recent match on September 1, 2023, saw AC Milan triumph over AS Roma with a 2-1 victory. Prior to that, the teams drew 1-1 on April 29, 2023, and another draw of 2-2 earlier in the year on January 8, 2023. This history indicates a tight match-up, with Milan having a slight edge.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans towards a win or draw for AC Milan. With a 66.8% total percent home advantage according to the data, and a strong home record, Milan is poised to maintain their position at the top of the league. The predictions also suggest a low-scoring affair, with less than 2.5 goals for the home team and less than 1.5 for the away team.

In conclusion, this match promises to be a tactical battle with both teams showcasing their strengths. However, the edge goes to AC Milan, who are predicted to either secure a win or at least hold AS Roma to a draw, bolstering their Champions League promotion aspirations.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%

33%

Attacking Potential

73%

27%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

81%

19%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

63%

38%

Wins the game

70%

30%

AC Milan - AS Roma Head to Head

18/04	AS Roma	-	AC Milan
11/04	AC Milan	-	AS Roma
14/01	AC Milan	3 - 1	AS Roma
01/09	AS Roma	1 - 2	AC Milan
29/04	AS Roma	1 - 1	AC Milan
08/01	AC Milan	2 - 2	AS Roma

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15