AC Milan - Lecce

Regular Season - 31
Kickoff: 2024-04-06 04:00

Who will win?

0%
0%
0%

Votes: 0

AC Milan - Lecce Predictions

Prediction: AC Milan or draw
Best odds: 1.12
Prediction: Under 3.5

As the Italian Serie A heads into its 31st round of the regular season, football enthusiasts are eagerly anticipating the clash between the mighty AC Milan and the spirited underdogs, Lecce. Taking place at the renowned Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano, this Sunday encounter is predicted to be a showcase of tactical prowess and individual brilliance. But will the predictions hold true, and can Lecce cause an upset against the Champions League-chasing hosts?

Key Players

AC Milan's campaign has been bolstered by the presence of their attacking talent. Among them, Lorenzo Colombo, although his rating is currently unavailable, has managed to find the back of the net 3 times. Another vital cog in Milan's forward line is Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, whose rating of 6.64 and total of 4 goals make him a potential game-changer. Not to be overlooked, Alexis Jesse Saelemaekers has been a consistent performer with a rating of 6.82, contributing 1 goal and 21 key passes.

On the other side, Lecce will rely on the likes of Hamza Rafia, whose midfield creativity has earned him a 6.59 rating and 7 key passes. Upfront, Federico Di Francesco will hope to add to his tally of 1 goal. In defense, Simone Romagnoli stands out with a rating of 6.71, 973 passes, and a crucial assist to his name, suggesting that Lecce's resistance may be tougher than anticipated.

Recent Form

AC Milan's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a DLWWD sequence. This indicates a certain level of inconsistency, but their overall standing at 3rd place with 53 points and a positive goal difference of 18 speaks to their quality. Lecce, on the other hand, has struggled, as evidenced by their LLLWL record. Occupying the 14th spot with 24 points and a -19 goal difference, they are a team desperate to turn their fortunes around.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been relatively competitive. Their most recent matchup on November 11, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw. Earlier in the same year, on April 23, AC Milan secured a 2-0 victory at home, while the January 14 encounter also concluded in a 2-2 stalemate. These results suggest that while AC Milan has had the upper hand, Lecce has been able to hold their own and secure valuable points.

Prediction

The predictions lean heavily in favor of AC Milan, with a 71.5% total percent home advantage. The advice of "Double chance: AC Milan or draw" seems prudent given their stronger form at home, with a 45% chance of a draw and only a 10% chance for an away win. The statistical analysis, including a poisson distribution home advantage of 83%, further cements the belief that AC Milan will likely come out on top or, at the very least, avoid defeat.

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the data and recent performances suggest that AC Milan are the favorites to claim victory or at least share the spoils. With key players like Lorenzo Colombo, Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, and Alexis Jesse Saelemaekers expected to make an impact, Lecce's chances seem slim. However, the resilience of Hamza Rafia and Simone Romagnoli should not be underestimated. Expect a match where AC Milan will push for a win to solidify their Champions League aspirations, but Lecce will fight tooth and nail to disrupt the giants' plans.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

72%
28%

Attacking Potential

80%
20%

Defensive Potential

67%
33%

Poisson Distribution

83%
17%

Stregth H2H

75%
25%

Goals H2H

63%
37%

Wins the game

73%
27%

AC Milan - Lecce Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15