AC Milan - Monza

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

76'		3 - 0	Goal	N. Okafor	O. Giroud (Assist)
41'		2 - 0	Goal	J. Šimić	Rafael Leão (Assist)
3'		1 - 0	Goal	T. Reijnders	C. Pulišić (Assist)

55'		A. Carboni	Holding
35'		T. Reijnders	Roughing

80'			In:	A. Carboni	Out:	A. Izzo
80'			In:	N. Okafor	Out:	S. Chukwueze
67'			In:	S. Kjær	Out:	D. Bartesaghi
67'			In:	Rafael Leão	Out:	N. Okafor
67'			In:	R. Loftus-Cheek	Out:	I. Bennacer
63'			In:	A. Colpani	Out:	V. Carboni
63'			In:	M. Pessina	Out:	J. Akpa Akpro
54'			In:	G. Kyriakopoulos	Out:	P. Ciurria
54'			In:	Lorenzo Colombo	Out:	M. Marić
24'			In:	T. Pobega	Out:	J. Šimić

AC Milan - Monza Predictions

Prediction: AC Milan or draw

Best odds: 1.16

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As the excitement builds up for the upcoming Serie A clash at the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, all eyes are on the home side AC Milan and the visiting challengers Monza. With predictions leaning towards a favorable outcome for the Rossoneri, fans and analysts alike are eager to see if Milan can solidify their Champions League ambitions or if Monza can cause an upset in Milan's stronghold.

Key Players

For AC Milan, the spotlight will be on the young striker Lorenzo Colombo, who despite limited information on his recent performances, has already netted 3 goals this season. Alongside him, Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, with a rating of 6.58, has shown his potential as an attacker, contributing 2 goals and maintaining a presence with 3 shots on target from 6 attempts. The defense is shored up by a player known only by his initials "NA", but his rating of 6.86 and 12 key passes suggest he's a pivotal part of Milan's backline.

Monza, on the other hand, will rely on Samuele Vignato, an attacker rated at 6.63, who has not only scored once but also managed 4 shots on target. Defender Luca Caldirola, with a commendable rating of 6.97, has been instrumental in Monza's defense, contributing 1 assist and scoring once. The midfield dynamism comes from Matteo Pessina, with a rating of 7.17, who has not only provided an assist and scored a goal but has also been a key playmaker with 720 passes and 9 key passes.

Recent Form

AC Milan's form is a mixed bag with a recent record of WWDLD, reflecting a somewhat inconsistent performance. However, they stand 3rd in the league with 29 points, a testament to their ability to secure results when it matters. Monza's form of LDDWD suggests they are a tough nut to crack, with a balanced approach to their game, sitting comfortably in the 10th spot with 18 points.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between the two teams show a clear dominance of AC Milan. In their last meeting on February 18, 2023, Milan secured a 1-0 victory away at Monza. Prior to that, on October 22, 2022, Milan crushed Monza with a resounding 4-1 win at home. This historical edge gives Milan a psychological advantage going into the match.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key players' performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a win or draw for AC Milan. The predictions suggest that Milan has a 45% chance of winning and another 45% chance of drawing, leaving Monza with a slim 10% chance of taking home the victory. The form analysis gives Milan a slight edge with 57% over Monza's 43%. Moreover, the Poisson distribution heavily favors Milan with 77% against Monza's 23%, and their historical head-to-head record at home is a convincing 100% win rate.

With these factors in mind, the advice for those looking to place bets would be a "Double chance: AC Milan or draw." While the under/over for goals isn't specified, the goal predictions suggest a lower-scoring affair, with Milan's goals at -2.5 and Monza's at -1.5. The total percentage chances calculated give Milan a 63.2% likelihood of coming out on top, against Monza's 36.8%.

In conclusion, while football is unpredictable and Monza could surprise the home crowd, the data and statistics indicate that AC Milan are the favorites to either win or at least secure a draw in this encounter. Fans will be looking forward to seeing if the key players can live up to expectations and lead their teams to a result that reflects their current form and historical matchups.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

47%

53%

Attacking Potential

53%

47%

Defensive Potential

42%

58%

Poisson Distribution

77%

23%

Stregth H2H

100%

0%

Goals H2H

79%

21%

Wins the game

60%

40%

AC Milan - Monza Head to Head

18/02	Monza	4 - 2	AC Milan
17/12	AC Milan	3 - 0	Monza
18/02	Monza	0 - 1	AC Milan
22/10	AC Milan	4 - 1	Monza

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15