AC Milan - Napoli

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

25'

1 - 0

Goal

T. Hernández

Rafael Leão (Assist)

85'

Juan Jesus

Tripping

90'			In:	Juan Jesus	Out:	C. Ngonge
80'			In:	O. Giroud	Out:	L. Jović
76'			In:	P. Mazzocchi	Out:	M. Olivera
76'			In:	P. Zieliński	Out:	J. Lindstrøm
66'			In:	I. Bennacer	Out:	Y. Musah
65'			In:	S. Kjær	Out:	J. Šimić
55'			In:	G. Simeone	Out:	G. Raspadori
46'			In:	L. Østigård	Out:	M. Politano
37'			In:	D. Calabria	Out:	A. Florenzi

AC Milan - Napoli Predictions

Prediction: AC Milan

Best odds: 1.30

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As the sun sets on a crisp Sunday evening in Milan, the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza prepares to play host to a Serie A clash that has fans and pundits eagerly awaiting the outcome. With predictions hinting at a potential home advantage, the battle between third-placed AC Milan and ninth-placed Napoli is poised to be a spectacle filled with tactical intrigue and individual brilliance.

Key Players

For AC Milan, eyes will be on Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, whose attacking prowess has been evident with 3 goals to his name. His ability to turn a game on its head will be crucial for the Rossoneri. In defense, Jan-Carlo Šimić stands as a sentinel, with a rating of 6.83, reflecting his consistency at the back. The midfield dynamism comes from Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek, whose 6.96 rating underlines his blend of defensive grit and creative spark, contributing 2 goals and an assist this season.

Napoli's counter-attack will rely heavily on the likes of Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho, a midfielder with a keen eye for goal and the ability to break up play. Alongside him, the work rate and offensive threat of Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini will be key to Napoli's chances of upsetting the home side. Not to be overlooked is Eljif Elmas, whose midfield contributions have been vital for the Partenopei.

Recent Form

AC Milan's recent form paints a picture of a team in stride, with their last five games reading an impressive 'DWWWW'. Sitting comfortably in third with 46 points, they have shown resilience and consistency throughout the season. Their home record is formidable, winning 8 out of 11 matches, which suggests that the San Siro fortress will be a tough nut to crack for any visiting team.

Napoli, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results with 'DWLDL' in their last five outings. Their current standing at ninth in the league, with 32 points, may not reflect their potential, but it does highlight the inconsistency that has plagued their campaign. Their away record is relatively balanced, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been closely contested. Their most recent duel ended in a 2-2 stalemate on October 29, 2023. Before that, two consecutive draws and a win for each side in their respective home games show that there is little to separate them historically. AC Milan's emphatic 4-0 away win on April 2, 2023, stands out as the exception rather than the rule in this evenly matched fixture.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning towards a home victory or a draw for AC Milan, with a 'Double chance: AC Milan or draw' advice from the pundits. Statistical models give the home side a 45% chance of a win and the same percentage for a draw, leaving Napoli with a mere 10% chance of taking all three points back home. The form of key players like Okafor and Loftus-Cheek for Milan, combined with Napoli's reliance on Simeone and Elmas, will be deciding factors.

Given the current form and the historical context, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with AC Milan likely to edge it or at least secure a point. However, the beautiful game is known for its unpredictability, and Napoli certainly possesses the quality to defy the odds. The stage is set for a thrilling encounter, and all eyes will be on the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza come Sunday night.

With the predictions and the form of key players taken into account, the final verdict leans towards a 1-0 victory for AC Milan or a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The stage is set for a tantalizing clash in Serie A, where strategy, skill, and a little bit of luck will determine who comes out on top in this prestigious Italian football showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

62%

38%

Attacking Potential

78%

22%

Defensive Potential

42%

58%

Poisson Distribution

60%

40%

Stregth H2H

62%

38%

Goals H2H

64%

36%

Wins the game

61%

39%

AC Milan - Napoli Head to Head

11/02	AC Milan	1 - 0	Napoli
29/10	Napoli	2 - 2	AC Milan
18/04	Napoli	1 - 1	AC Milan
12/04	AC Milan	1 - 0	Napoli
02/04	Napoli	0 - 4	AC Milan
18/09	AC Milan	1 - 2	Napoli

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15