AC Milan - Sassuolo

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

59'

1 - 0

Goal

C. Pulišić

I. Bennacer (Assist)

88'

Samu Castillejo

Tripping

89'			In:	A. Laurienté	Out:	S. Mulattieri
89'			In:	K. Thorstvedt	Out:	E. Ceïde
82'			In:	S. Kjær	Out:	J. Šimić
81'			In:	Rafael Leão	Out:	S. Chukwueze
74'			In:	R. Loftus-Cheek	Out:	K. Zeroli
70'			In:	D. Berardi	Out:	Samu Castillejo
65'			In:	N. Bajrami	Out:	C. Volpato
64'			In:	I. Bennacer	Out:	Y. Adli
63'			In:	O. Giroud	Out:	L. Jović
63'			In:	I. Bennacer	Out:	Y. Adli
46'			In:	M. Erlić	Out:	Ruan Tressoldi

AC Milan - Sassuolo Predictions

Prediction: AC Milan or draw

Best odds: 1.14

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As the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza prepares to host a gripping Serie A encounter between AC Milan and Sassuolo on a chilly Saturday evening, predictions are already hinting at a fierce competition with a slight edge to the home side. Will AC Milan solidify their position for Champions League promotion, or can Sassuolo cause an upset in Milan? Let's delve into the key players and recent performances to set the stage for this tantalizing fixture.

Key Players

For AC Milan, the spotlight shines on the Swiss attacker Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor. With a solid rating of 6.59, Okafor's agility and ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for the Rossoneri. His 2 goals from 7 total shots are a testament to his precision in front of goal.

In midfield, the towering presence of Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek cannot be overlooked. The Englishman's 6.90 rating and his contribution of 1 assist from 258 passes show his capability to orchestrate play and contribute to Milan's attacking prowess.

Another key midfielder, Tijjani Reijnders, has been instrumental with a rating of 6.96. With 1 goal and 1 assist to his name, Reijnders' vision and 16 key passes will be vital in breaking down the Sassuolo defense.

Sassuolo's hopes might rest on the shoulders of their midfielder Nedim Bajrami, who boasts a rating of 6.83. His attacking threat is evident with 1 goal from 11 shots, and his creativity will be vital for Sassuolo's chances.

The industrious Abdoulrahmane Harroui adds depth to the midfield with a 6.87 rating and 2 goals, showcasing his ability to contribute both defensively and offensively.

Lastly, the French attacker Armand Laurienté with a 6.90 rating, could be the wildcard for Sassuolo. His 1 goal and 1 assist from 21 shots indicate a player who is not shy to take his chances.

Recent Form

AC Milan's recent form reads like a mixed bag with a pattern of "WLWWD" in their last five games. Sitting comfortably at 3rd in the league with 32 points and a positive goal difference of 11, they have shown resilience at home with 6 wins out of 8 games.

Sassuolo, on the other hand, is struggling to find consistency. Their form "DLLWD" reflects their battle, as they hover at 15th place with 16 points and a goal difference of -6. The away side has been equally split on the road with 2 wins, draws, and losses each.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a twist in the narrative. The last encounter between these two sides on January 29, 2023, saw Sassuolo stun AC Milan with a 5-2 victory at the San Siro. Earlier in the season, the teams shared the spoils in a goalless draw on August 30, 2022. This history could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Considering the current form, home advantage, and squad depth, AC Milan is the favorite to take all three points. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: AC Milan or draw," taking into account the possibility of a tightly contested match. With a 45% chance for both a win and a draw for Milan, and only a 10% chance for a Sassuolo victory, the scales are tipped towards the home side.

The key battle will likely be in the midfield, where Loftus-Cheek and Reijnders will look to dominate against Bajrami and Harroui. Upfront, Okafor's sharpshooting will be crucial, while Laurienté will aim to exploit any gaps in Milan's defense.

In conclusion, AC Milan is expected to either secure a win or at least hold Sassuolo to a draw, with a low-scoring affair predicted given the -3.5 goal line for the home side and -2.5 for the visitors. The final score might not reflect the previous high-scoring drama, but the intensity of Serie A football will undoubtedly be on full display.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

71%

29%

Attacking Potential

55%

45%

Defensive Potential

65%

35%

Poisson Distribution

78%

22%

Stregth H2H

29%

71%

Goals H2H

41%

59%

Wins the game

57%

44%

AC Milan - Sassuolo Head to Head

14/04	Sassuolo	-	AC Milan
30/12	AC Milan	1 - 0	Sassuolo
29/01	AC Milan	2 - 5	Sassuolo
30/08	Sassuolo	0 - 0	AC Milan

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15