Alaves - Barcelona

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

63'		1 - 4	Goal	Vitor Roque	Héctor Fort (Assist)
51'		1 - 3	Goal	Samu Omorodion	Álex Sola (Assist)
49'		0 - 3	Goal	İ. Gündoğan	Pedri (Assist)
23'		0 - 2	Goal	R. Lewandowski	İ. Gündoğan (Assist)
22'		0 - 1	Goal	R. Lewandowski	İ. Gündoğan (Assist)

72'		Vitor Roque	Roughing
67'		Vitor Roque	Elbowing
12'		Samu Omorodion	Unsportsmanlike conduct

64'			In:	Jon Guridi	Out:	G. Simeone
64'			In:	Luis Rioja	Out:	A. Rebbach
59'			In:	İ. Gündoğan	Out:	Vitor Roque
46'			In:	João Cancelo	Out:	Héctor Fort

Alaves - Barcelona Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Barcelona

Best odds: 1.69

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As La Liga's regular season unfolds, an intriguing battle is set to take place at Estadio de Mendizorroza on a crisp Saturday evening. The home side Alaves, currently standing at 12th in the league, will host the formidable Barcelona, sitting comfortably at third and eyeing a spot to solidify their Champions League ambitions. With predictions leaning towards an away win, this clash promises to be more than just a routine fixture.

Key Players

For Alaves, the spotlight shines on defender Facundo Nahuel Tenaglia, whose resilience and tactical awareness have been pivotal. With a rating of 6.66, his contribution to the team's defense can't be understated, especially with 119 total passes and a critical goal to his name.

Joining him in the quest for victory is attacker Abderrahmane Rebbach, boasting a rating of 6.71. Rebbach's offensive prowess is highlighted by his 12 shots, four on target, and a notable 13 key passes, indicating his potential to disrupt Barcelona's defense.

Another key figure for Alaves is Aleksandar Sedlar, a defender who combines solidity at the back with an ability to contribute to the attack, as evidenced by his 402 passes and a goal to his name.

Barcelona counters with their own set of aces, including Eric García Martret, a defender with a 6.70 rating. García's defensive acumen will be crucial in thwarting Alaves' attacking threats.

The Catalans also rely on the versatility of Sergi Roberto Carnicer, a defender with an equal rating of 6.75 who has shown his worth on both ends of the pitch.

Midfield maestro Fermín López Martín stands out with a 6.84 rating, having taken 14 shots, eight of which were on target, signaling his capability to make a significant impact from the midfield.

Recent Form

Alaves have had a mixed bag of results, with their last five games reading WWDLL, signaling a need to find consistency. Barcelona, on the other hand, have been more stable with a WWWDL record, although their most recent game ended in a draw, suggesting a slight dip in their otherwise stellar form.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides points to Barcelona's dominance. In their last encounter on November 12, 2023, Barcelona edged out Alaves with a 2-1 victory. This pattern of results will undoubtedly play a psychological role as the two teams prepare to face off once more.

Prediction

Taking into account the form, key players, and historical data, the predictions favor an away victory for Barcelona. The statistical analysis gives Barcelona a 45% chance of winning, matching the probability of a draw, while Alaves trail with just a 10% chance. Moreover, Barcelona's away form has been impeccable, with no losses recorded so far.

The tactical battle will likely hinge on the performances of key players such as Facundo Nahuel Tenaglia and Aleksandar Sedlar for Alaves, and Eric García Martret and Fermín López Martín for Barcelona. The poise and creativity of these individuals could very well tip the scales.

Given the data and the evident strength in Barcelona's squad, the final prediction is a victory for the visitors. Alaves will have to put in a Herculean effort to upset the odds, particularly with Barcelona's attacking prowess expected to shine through. Expect a game where Barcelona controls the tempo and ultimately takes home the three points.

In conclusion, the advice leans towards a winner: Barcelona, with the potential for a match featuring over 2.5 goals, considering the attacking talents on display. Alaves will need to be at their very best defensively to stand a chance, but the quality of Barcelona may prove too much for the home side to handle.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

45%

55%

Attacking Potential

38%

62%

Defensive Potential

71%

29%

Poisson Distribution

36%

64%

Stregth H2H

15%

85%

Goals H2H

29%

71%

Wins the game

39%

61%

Alaves - Barcelona Head to Head

03/02	Alaves	1 - 3	Barcelona
12/11	Barcelona	2 - 1	Alaves

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13