Alaves - Real Madrid

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90'

0 - 1

Goal

Lucas Vázquez

T. Kroos (Assist)

90'		N. Tenaglia	Holding
85'		J. Bellingham	Roughing
83'		Guevara	Roughing
54'		Nacho	Roughing
52'		Nacho	Roughing
45'		Rubén Duarte	Roughing
40'		J. Bellingham	Foul
39'
39'		J. Bellingham	Foul

78'			In:	Samu Omorodion	Out:	Kike García
78'			In:	Andoni Gorosabel	Out:	N. Tenaglia
76'			In:	Brahim Díaz	Out:	Joselu
72'			In:	A. Rebbach	Out:	Álex Sola
59'			In:	Rubén Duarte	Out:	Javi López
59'			In:	Jon Guridi	Out:	I. Hagi
55'			In:	L. Modrić	Out:	A. Tchouaméni

Alaves - Real Madrid Predictions

Prediction: Real Madrid

Best odds: 1.71

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As the La Liga season heats up, an intriguing clash is on the horizon with Alaves set to host the formidable Real Madrid at Estadio de Mendizorroza on a chilly Thursday night. The predictions are pointing towards a Real Madrid victory, but with football's unpredictable nature, could Alaves cause an upset in front of their home crowd?

Key Players

Alaves will rely heavily on their defensive stalwart, Aleksandar Sedlar. With a rating of 6.75, Sedlar has been a rock at the back, contributing not only defensively but also offensively with one goal from his four total shots. In the midfield, Ander Guevara Lajo stands out with a 6.90 rating. His vision and ability to distribute the ball, as evidenced by his 622 total passes and 10 key passes, make him a pivotal figure in Alaves' attempts to control the midfield battle.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, boasts a wealth of talent including Brahim Abdelkader Díaz, who holds a 6.78 rating. Although his time on the pitch has seen limited action with only 57 passes, his potential to make a difference is evident. The attacking prowess of José Luis Sanmartín Mato, known as Joselu, cannot be underestimated. With a 6.91 rating, 15 shots on target, and 5 goals, his clinical finishing will be key for Real Madrid. Lastly, Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira Júnior, commonly known as Vinícius Júnior, with a 7.00 rating, is a constant threat with his pace and skill, contributing 2 goals and an assist to the team's cause.

Recent Form

Alaves' form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two wins, a draw, and two losses (LDWLW). Their home record is more reassuring, with four wins from eight games. Real Madrid's recent form is more consistent (DWWWD), and they sit comfortably in second place in the standings. Their away form is particularly impressive, with six wins from nine outings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides is not provided, but given Real Madrid's historical dominance in La Liga, it would not be surprising if they held the upper hand against Alaves.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is leaning heavily towards Real Madrid with a significant 71.7% chance of victory according to the provided data. Alaves, with a 0% chance of winning as per the predictions, will need to defy the odds to come away with any points. The form of key players like Joselu and Vinícius Júnior for Real Madrid will be crucial, as will the defensive performances of Aleksandar Sedlar for Alaves.

Real Madrid's attacking strength is highlighted by their superior attacking stats, with an attacking rating of 69 compared to Alaves' 31, and a defensive rating of 67 against Alaves' 33. Goals are expected to be in Real Madrid's favor, with a -3.5 goal difference forecast for the away team, indicating a potential for a high-scoring affair.

In conclusion, while football can always surprise us, the data suggests a strong likelihood of a Real Madrid victory. Alaves will have to put in a remarkable performance to take anything from this match, especially considering Real Madrid's potent attacking force and solid defense. Fans can expect an exciting game, with Real Madrid likely to continue their pursuit of the top spot in La Liga.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

24%

76%

Attacking Potential

21%

79%

Defensive Potential

30%

70%

Poisson Distribution

25%

75%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

22%

78%

Wins the game

24%

76%

Alaves - Real Madrid Head to Head

14/05	Real Madrid	-	Alaves
21/12	Alaves	0 - 1	Real Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13