Alaves - Real Sociedad

• Goals
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• Substitutions

59'

0 - 1

Goal

Jon Pacheco

A. Zakharyan (Assist)

80'		Mikel Merino	Foul
63'		Guevara	Holding

83'			In:	A. Zakharyan	Out:	U. Sadiq
75'			In:	Carlos Vicente	Out:	G. Simeone
75'			In:	Luis Rioja	Out:	A. Rebbach
75'			In:	Samu Omorodion	Out:	Kike García
69'			In:	Barrenetxea	Out:	André Silva
69'			In:	Mikel Oyarzabal	Out:	K. Tierney
66'			In:	Jon Guridi	Out:	J. Panichelli
66'			In:	Guevara	Out:	C. Benavídez
44'			In:	T. Kubo	Out:	S. Becker

Alaves - Real Sociedad Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Real Sociedad

Best odds: 1.38

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As the La Liga season progresses, fans are eagerly anticipating the upcoming clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz. With predictions hinting at a potential win or draw for the visitors, this match is poised to be a tactical showdown that could significantly impact both teams' standings.

Key Players - Alaves

Alaves, currently sitting at 12th in the league, will be looking to their key players to make a strong impact. Defender Facundo Nahuel Tenaglia, with a rating of 6.63, has been a solid presence in the backline, contributing one goal and showcasing his defensive prowess with 141 total passes this season. In the attacking front, Abderrahmane Rebbach, rated at 6.72, will be crucial for creating opportunities, having already made 14 key passes and scoring once. Lastly, Aleksandar Sedlar, another defender, with a 6.75 rating, will be essential in maintaining the team's structure, contributing one goal and 402 total passes.

Key Players - Real Sociedad

Seventh-placed Real Sociedad will rely heavily on their attacking lineup. Carlos Fernández Luna, with a 6.65 rating, has been a consistent threat upfront, netting two goals and providing one assist. Umar Sadiq Mesbah, another forward with a 6.69 rating, has demonstrated his scoring ability with two goals and an assist, taking a notable 25 shots this season. The highest-rated of the trio, Ander Barrenetxea Muguruza, with a 6.78 rating, has been a key playmaker, scoring three goals and delivering one assist.

Recent Form

Alaves' recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches resulting in one win, three draws, and one loss. Their inability to consistently secure victories has been a concern, and they'll need to address it to climb the table. Real Sociedad, on the other hand, has had a slightly better run, with two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their form away from home has been impressive, matching their home record with five wins, five draws, and three losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting insight into the teams' past encounters. The most recent match between the two, played on January 2, 2024, ended in a 1-1 draw, suggesting a closely matched competition. Real Sociedad has historically had the upper hand, with an 85% win rate in their meetings, which could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, key player performances, and historical data, the prediction leans towards an advantageous position for Real Sociedad. The double chance of a draw or a win for the away team is emphasized by their 45% probability of winning or drawing, compared to Alaves' 10% chance of securing a victory. The statistics also favor Real Sociedad, with a form rating of 64 against Alaves' 36, and a stronger attacking and defensive lineup.

In conclusion, while Alaves will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage and potentially upset the predictions, Real Sociedad's consistent performance, led by key players like Carlos Fernández Luna, Umar Sadiq Mesbah, and Ander Barrenetxea Muguruza, makes them the favorites to either win or secure a draw. Fans can expect a competitive match, but the odds suggest that Real Sociedad will likely leave Estadio de Mendizorroza with at least a point in their pocket.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

36%

64%

Attacking Potential

17%

83%

Defensive Potential

69%

31%

Poisson Distribution

36%

64%

Stregth H2H

15%

85%

Goals H2H

31%

69%

Wins the game

34%

66%

Alaves - Real Sociedad Head to Head

31/03	Alaves	0 - 1	Real Sociedad
02/01	Real Sociedad	1 - 1	Alaves

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13