Alaves - Villarreal

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

42'		1 - 1	Goal	Jorge Cuenca
25'		1 - 0	Goal	Samu Omorodion	Álex Sola (Assist)

71'		A. Sørloth	Tripping
44'		Jorge Cuenca	Tripping

86'			In:	Luis Rioja	Out:	A. Rebbach
86'			In:	Jon Guridi	Out:	I. Hagi
85'			In:	Ilias Akhomach	Out:	José Luis Morales
80'			In:	F. Coquelin	Out:	É. Capoue
79'			In:	Álex Baena	Out:	Alberto Moreno
74'			In:	Gerard Moreno	Out:	Gonçalo Guedes
68'			In:	Javi López	Out:	Carlos Vicente
15'			In:	Rafa Marín	Out:	Rubén Duarte
14'			In:	Rafa Marín	Out:	Rubén Duarte

Alaves - Villarreal Predictions

Prediction: Alaves or draw

Best odds: 1.37

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As La Liga's regular season unfolds, a compelling match-up is on the horizon between Alaves and Villarreal, with predictions hinting at a favorable outcome for the home side. The stage is set at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz, where fans eagerly await to see if Alaves can capitalize on their predicted "win or draw" status. But before the whistle blows and the action unfolds, let's delve into the key players who could tip the scales in this encounter and explore the recent form and history that have led to this anticipated clash.

Key Players Alaves' hopes may rest on the shoulders of their standout performers. Facundo Nahuel Tenaglia, a defender with a keen sense for the game, has maintained a solid rating of 6.66. His defensive prowess is matched by his ability to contribute offensively, as evidenced by his 119 total passes and a key goal to his name. Joining him is the attacker Abderrahmane Rebbach, whose rating of 6.71 and impressive 13 key passes indicate his potential to create significant opportunities upfront. Not to be overlooked, Aleksandar Sedlar brings a rating of 6.75 to the backline, along with a goal and a substantial contribution in ball distribution with 402 passes.

Villarreal counters with their own set of influential players. Midfielder Alfonso Pedraza Sag has been pivotal in the midfield, with a rating of 6.63, two assists, and a goal to his credit. The attacking threat of José Luis Morales Nogales cannot be underestimated; his 6.68 rating and team-leading five goals make him a player to watch. Furthermore, defender Aïssa Mandi stands out with the highest rating of 6.80, signifying his integral role in Villarreal's defensive line.

Recent Form

Alaves' recent form reads like a roller coaster with three wins, one draw, and a loss in their last five games. This inconsistency places them at the 11th spot in the standings, with 26 points. On the other side, Villarreal has had a mixed bag of results, including a win, a draw, and three losses, positioning them slightly behind Alaves at 14th with 23 points. Both teams have displayed moments of brilliance but also periods of vulnerability that they'll be looking to address in this match.

Head-to-Head History

The historical data between these two sides adds an element of uncertainty, with their last encounter on October 22, 2023, ending in a 1-1 stalemate. It suggests a tightly contested affair is likely, with neither side able to claim dominance over the other in recent times.

Prediction

Taking into account the individual talents, current form, and historical context, the prediction leans towards Alaves securing either a win or a draw. With a 45% chance for both a home win and a draw, as per the predictions, and Villarreal's mere 10% chance of taking all three points, it seems the home advantage could play a critical role. The advice of "Double chance: Alaves or draw" seems prudent, considering the overall balance of probabilities and the form of key players like Facundo Nahuel Tenaglia and Aleksandar Sedlar.

In conclusion, as Alaves and Villarreal prepare to lock horns, it's the home side that appears to have the edge, bolstered by their defensive solidity and the potential for offensive breakthroughs. Expect a match where strategy and individual brilliance could lead to a favorable outcome for Alaves, as they aim to climb the ranks and secure their mid-table standing. The prediction stands: Alaves to either win or draw in what promises to be a compelling La Liga fixture.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%

33%

Attacking Potential

56%

44%

Defensive Potential

63%

38%

Poisson Distribution

52%

48%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

42%

58%

Wins the game

55%

45%

Alaves - Villarreal Head to Head

10/02	Alaves	1 - 1	Villarreal
22/10	Villarreal	1 - 1	Alaves

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13