Almeria - Athletic Club

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions
53'		L. Ramazani	Holding
34'		Marc Pubill	Tripping
27'		L. Ramazani	Holding

48'			In:	D. Lopy	Out:	Gonzalo Melero
46'			In:	Asier Villalibre	Out:	Raúl García
46'			In:	Unai Gómez	Out:	Muniain

Almeria - Athletic Club Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Athletic Club

Best odds: 1.25

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In the heart of La Liga's action, a tantalizing fixture looms on the horizon as Almeria prepares to host Athletic Club at the Power Horse Stadium. With the predictions pointing towards a potential win or draw for the visiting side, fans are bracing for a match that could either fortify Athletic Club's European aspirations or stir an improbable twist in Almeria's relegation saga.

Key Players: Almeria Almeria's survival hopes may hinge on the performances of their key players. At the heart of their defense is Kaiky Fernandes Melo, whose resilience and rating of 6.53 make him a crucial figure in their rearguard. Alongside him, Sergio Akieme Rodríguez, with a rating of 6.61, has been a defensive stalwart and poses a threat from the back with his ability to make key passes. Upfront, Largie Ramazani stands out as an attacker with a rating of 6.70, contributing 2 goals and 4 assists. His sharpness in front of the goal could be a game-changer for the struggling side.

Key Players: Athletic Club Athletic Club's midfield dynamo Daniel García Carrillo, rated at 6.50, is known for his robust presence and has found the back of the net once this season. Alongside him, Unai Gómez Etxebarria, with a rating of 6.62 and 2 goals to his name, offers creativity and a goal threat from the midfield. Spearheading the attack, Asier Villalibre Molina with a rating of 6.63, has not only scored once but has also provided a valuable assist, showcasing his all-around influence on the team's forward play.

Recent Form

Almeria's recent form is a cause for concern, having not won a single game in their last five outings (LLDLL), which has left them languishing at the bottom of the table with a paltry 6 points. Athletic Club, on the other hand, is in a much more favorable position, sitting 5th with 42 points and a form line that reads DLWWW, indicating a team that's found its rhythm.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides does not bode well for Almeria. The last three encounters have all ended in Athletic Club's favor, with the most recent being a 3-0 victory on October 6, 2023. The previous matches on April 22, 2023, and September 30, 2022, also saw Athletic Club triumph with scores of 2-1 and 4-0 respectively.

Prediction

The prediction for this encounter leans heavily towards Athletic Club, which is hardly surprising given the stark contrast in both teams' forms and standings. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: draw or Athletic Club" with a staggering 45% chance for both a draw and an away win. Almeria's home form has been dismal, and with a goals difference of -28, their defensive frailties might be exposed once again by Athletic Club's more potent attack.

The statistics are particularly telling, with Athletic Club's form away (91) towering over Almeria's form at home (9). In addition, Athletic Club's attacking (56) and defensive (83) capabilities far outstrip those of their hosts (att_home: 44, def_home: 17), which could translate to a one-sided affair.

Given these insights, the final prediction is for Athletic Club to either win or secure a draw, with a strong likelihood of the match featuring fewer than 2.5 goals for the away side and less than 1.5 for the home team. Almeria's chances seem bleak, and unless they can muster an unprecedented performance, it's likely that Athletic Club will leave Power Horse Stadium with at least a point in the bag, if not all three.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

9%

91%

Attacking Potential

27%

73%

Defensive Potential

18%

82%

Poisson Distribution

24%

76%

Stregth H2H

0%

100%

Goals H2H

14%

86%

Wins the game

18%

82%

Almeria - Athletic Club Head to Head

12/02	Almeria	0 - 0	Athletic Club
06/10	Athletic Club	3 - 0	Almeria
22/04	Almeria	1 - 2	Athletic Club
30/09	Athletic Club	4 - 0	Almeria

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13