Almeria - Athletic Club

Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-02-12 10:00

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Almeria - Athletic Club Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Athletic Club
Best odds: 1.25

In the heart of La Liga's action, a tantalizing fixture looms on the horizon as Almeria prepares to host Athletic Club at the Power Horse Stadium. With the predictions pointing towards a potential win or draw for the visiting side, fans are bracing for a match that could either fortify Athletic Club's European aspirations or stir an improbable twist in Almeria's relegation saga.

Key Players: Almeria Almeria's survival hopes may hinge on the performances of their key players. At the heart of their defense is Kaiky Fernandes Melo, whose resilience and rating of 6.53 make him a crucial figure in their rearguard. Alongside him, Sergio Akieme Rodríguez, with a rating of 6.61, has been a defensive stalwart and poses a threat from the back with his ability to make key passes. Upfront, Largie Ramazani stands out as an attacker with a rating of 6.70, contributing 2 goals and 4 assists. His sharpness in front of the goal could be a game-changer for the struggling side.

Key Players: Athletic Club Athletic Club's midfield dynamo Daniel García Carrillo, rated at 6.50, is known for his robust presence and has found the back of the net once this season. Alongside him, Unai Gómez Etxebarria, with a rating of 6.62 and 2 goals to his name, offers creativity and a goal threat from the midfield. Spearheading the attack, Asier Villalibre Molina with a rating of 6.63, has not only scored once but has also provided a valuable assist, showcasing his all-around influence on the team's forward play.

Recent Form

Almeria's recent form is a cause for concern, having not won a single game in their last five outings (LLDLL), which has left them languishing at the bottom of the table with a paltry 6 points. Athletic Club, on the other hand, is in a much more favorable position, sitting 5th with 42 points and a form line that reads DLWWW, indicating a team that's found its rhythm.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides does not bode well for Almeria. The last three encounters have all ended in Athletic Club's favor, with the most recent being a 3-0 victory on October 6, 2023. The previous matches on April 22, 2023, and September 30, 2022, also saw Athletic Club triumph with scores of 2-1 and 4-0 respectively.

Prediction

The prediction for this encounter leans heavily towards Athletic Club, which is hardly surprising given the stark contrast in both teams' forms and standings. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: draw or Athletic Club" with a staggering 45% chance for both a draw and an away win. Almeria's home form has been dismal, and with a goals difference of -28, their defensive frailties might be exposed once again by Athletic Club's more potent attack.

The statistics are particularly telling, with Athletic Club's form away (91) towering over Almeria's form at home (9). In addition, Athletic Club's attacking (56) and defensive (83) capabilities far outstrip those of their hosts (att_home: 44, def_home: 17), which could translate to a one-sided affair.

Given these insights, the final prediction is for Athletic Club to either win or secure a draw, with a strong likelihood of the match featuring fewer than 2.5 goals for the away side and less than 1.5 for the home team. Almeria's chances seem bleak, and unless they can muster an unprecedented performance, it's likely that Athletic Club will leave Power Horse Stadium with at least a point in the bag, if not all three.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

9%
91%

Attacking Potential

27%
73%

Defensive Potential

18%
82%

Poisson Distribution

24%
76%

Stregth H2H

0%
100%

Goals H2H

14%
86%

Wins the game

18%
82%

Almeria - Athletic Club Head to Head

La Liga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid players, news and schedule Real Madrid 25 19 5 1 53 16 37 62
2 Barcelona players, news and schedule Barcelona 26 17 6 3 56 34 22 57
3 Girona players, news and schedule Girona 25 17 5 3 54 32 22 56
4 Atletico Madrid players, news and schedule Atletico Madrid 25 16 3 6 50 26 24 51
5 Athletic Club players, news and schedule Athletic Club 25 14 7 4 45 23 22 49
6 Real Sociedad players, news and schedule Real Sociedad 26 10 10 6 35 26 9 40
7 Real Betis players, news and schedule Real Betis 25 9 12 4 28 25 3 39
8 Valencia players, news and schedule Valencia 25 10 6 9 29 29 0 36
9 Las Palmas players, news and schedule Las Palmas 25 10 5 10 25 25 0 35
10 Getafe players, news and schedule Getafe 26 8 10 8 33 38 -5 34
11 Osasuna players, news and schedule Osasuna 25 9 5 11 29 36 -7 32
12 Alaves players, news and schedule Alaves 26 7 8 11 25 32 -7 29
13 Villarreal players, news and schedule Villarreal 26 7 8 11 38 48 -10 29
14 Rayo Vallecano players, news and schedule Rayo Vallecano 25 5 10 10 22 33 -11 25
15 Sevilla players, news and schedule Sevilla 25 5 9 11 30 37 -7 24
16 Mallorca players, news and schedule Mallorca 26 4 12 10 23 34 -11 24
17 Celta Vigo players, news and schedule Celta Vigo 25 4 8 13 27 37 -10 20
18 Cadiz players, news and schedule Cadiz 25 2 11 12 15 35 -20 17
19 Granada CF players, news and schedule Granada CF 25 2 8 15 27 49 -22 14
20 Almeria players, news and schedule Almeria 25 0 8 17 23 52 -29 8