Almeria - Atletico Madrid

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

64'		2 - 2	Goal	L. Romero	Jonathan Viera (Assist)
57'		1 - 2	Goal	R. De Paul
27'		1 - 1	Goal	L. Romero	Marc Pubill (Assist)
2'		0 - 1	Goal	Á. Correa	Reinildo (Assist)

40'

Reinildo

Tripping

82'			In:	L. Robertone	Out:	D. Lopy
82'			In:	R. De Paul	Out:	A. Witsel
79'			In:	Jonathan Viera	Out:	Gonzalo Melero
78'			In:	A. Lozano	Out:	Léo Baptistão
70'			In:	A. Radovanović	Out:	Chumi
70'			In:	M. Depay	Out:	Álvaro Morata
70'			In:	Á. Correa	Out:	Saúl
69'			In:	L. Romero	Out:	Sergio Arribas
69'			In:	A. Radovanović	Out:	Chumi
69'			In:	M. Depay	Out:	Álvaro Morata
46'			In:	Samuel Lino	Out:	Rodrigo Riquelme
46'			In:	Koke	Out:	Marcos Llorente

Almeria - Atletico Madrid Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid

Best odds: 1.24

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As the La Liga season heats up, all eyes turn towards the Power Horse Stadium in Almería, where the underdogs Almeria prepare to clash with the formidable Atletico Madrid. In a match fraught with implications for both ends of the table, predictions lean heavily towards an away victory, but could there be a twist on this Saturday night showdown?

Key Players

For Almeria, languishing at the bottom of the table, the spotlight falls on their key defenders, Kaiky Fernandes Melo and Sergio Akieme Rodríguez. With ratings of 6.53 and 6.61 respectively, their contributions at the back will be crucial. Kaiky has shown promise with a total of 261 passes and a key goal, while Akieme's more aggressive play has yielded 2 goals from 9 shots and an impressive 594 passes.

Upfront, Largie Ramazani, with a rating of 6.67, stands out as Almeria's attacking spearhead. His tally of 3 goals and 4 assists from 23 shots is a testament to his potential to disrupt Atletico's defense.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, boasts a more robust lineup. While João Félix Sequeira's stats are not listed, his reputation precedes him, and his presence on the pitch often spells trouble for the opposition. Memphis Depay, with a rating of 6.84, has been a key attacking force, netting 4 goals and contributing with an assist. His creativity will be essential for breaking down Almeria's defense.

Defensively, Nahuel Molina Lucero has been a stalwart, with a rating of 6.84, contributing 2 goals, 2 assists, and a formidable 701 passes, highlighting his dual role in Atletico's system.

Recent Form

Almeria's recent form reads like a cry for help, with a string of losses and a solitary draw from their last five games. Their inability to secure a win this season has seen them rooted firmly at the bottom of the table, with a mere 6 points from 23 matches.

In contrast, Atletico Madrid's form has been mixed but mostly positive, with 3 wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five outings. This run has kept them in the hunt for the top spots, currently sitting at 4th with 48 points, a striking distance from the coveted Champions League places.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides does little to inspire confidence for the home fans. Atletico Madrid has dominated recent encounters, with two wins and a draw in their last three meetings. The scores were close, with the most recent match ending 2-1 in favor of Atletico, suggesting that Almeria can put up a fight but ultimately fall short.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' forms, key players, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans heavily towards an Atletico Madrid victory. The analysis suggests a strong possibility of Atletico not only winning but also keeping a clean sheet, with a "double chance: draw or Atletico Madrid" advised. The statistical breakdown gives Atletico a 50% chance of victory, compared to a stark 0% for Almeria, with a draw being the only other conceivable outcome.

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the numbers and performances point to a clear outcome. Expect Atletico Madrid to emerge victorious, with key contributions from players like Memphis Depay and Nahuel Molina Lucero. Almeria, despite the efforts of Kaiky Fernandes Melo and Largie Ramazani, will likely find themselves outmatched. The final prediction: a comfortable win for Atletico Madrid as they continue their march towards the top of La Liga.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

17%

83%

Attacking Potential

29%

71%

Defensive Potential

25%

75%

Poisson Distribution

23%

77%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

25%

75%

Wins the game

21%

79%

Almeria - Atletico Madrid Head to Head

24/02	Almeria	2 - 2	Atletico Madrid
10/12	Atletico Madrid	2 - 1	Almeria
16/04	Atletico Madrid	2 - 1	Almeria
15/01	Almeria	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13