Almeria - Girona

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions
80'		Aleix García	Tripping
79'		C. Montes	Tripping
77'		C. Montes	Tripping
71'		Sávio	Foul
64'		Juanpe	Roughing
56'		Sergio Akieme	Holding
34'		Valery	Roughing
21'		Léo Baptistão	Roughing

84'			In:	Sergio Arribas	Out:	Kaiky
84'			In:	C. Montes	Out:	L. Suárez
69'			In:	Adri Embarba	Out:	Gonzalo Melero
68'			In:	Marc Pubill	Out:	L. Ramazani
67'			In:	Valery	Out:	Sávio
67'			In:	A. Dovbyk	Out:	C. Stuani
63'			In:	Edgar González	Out:	Álex Pozo
57'			In:	Pablo Torre	Out:	J. Solís
57'			In:	Yan Couto	Out:	V. Tsyhankov

Almeria - Girona Predictions

Prediction: Girona

Best odds: 1.78

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In the upcoming La Liga showdown at the Power Horse Stadium, bottom-placed Almeria will host high-flying Girona in a match that presents a stark contrast between desperation and confidence. With predictions favoring the visitors, could this be a straightforward victory, or will Almeria spring a surprise? Let's delve into the key players and recent performances to set the stage for this intriguing encounter.

Key Players

Almeria's struggle at the foot of the table has not been due to a lack of individual talent. Kaiky Fernandes Melo, a solid defender with a rating of 6.53, has shown glimpses of quality, managing 242 passes and a goal to his name. His defensive partner, Sergio Akieme Rodríguez, boasts a slightly better rating of 6.62 and has been more adventurous going forward, contributing 12 key passes and scoring twice.

The attacking impetus for Almeria often comes from Largie Ramazani, who has notched 2 goals and provided 4 assists. His pace and creativity will be crucial if Almeria is to breach Girona's defense.

Girona's impressive run has been underpinned by consistent performances from their key players. In defense, Valery Fernández Estrada has been a reliable presence, maintaining a 6.57 rating and contributing to the team's solid defensive record. Yan Bueno Couto, another defender, has been a revelation with a 6.95 rating, 5 assists, and a goal, showcasing his ability to influence the game at both ends of the pitch.

The star of the show, however, has been the experienced Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo, whose 6.96 rating leads the attack. Stuani's 6 goals and 2 assists make him the focal point of Girona's offensive play, and his ability to find the back of the net could be the difference-maker in this match.

Recent Form

Almeria's form reads like a cry for help, with their last five games yielding a meager two points from a possible fifteen. Their 'LLDLD' sequence is indicative of a team struggling to turn performances into results. With a dire -24 goal difference, it's clear that both scoring goals and keeping them out have been problematic.

In stark contrast, Girona's 'WDWWW' streak is the hallmark of a team in fine fettle, sitting second in the league and eyeing a spot in the Champions League. A positive goal difference of +22 is a testament to their balanced approach, capable of outscoring opponents while maintaining defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head History

Recent history suggests an edge for Girona, who have won two of the last three encounters against Almeria. The most recent clash on October 22, 2023, saw Girona triumph with a convincing 5-2 victory. Before that, on February 17, 2023, Girona again put six past Almeria, with a 6-2 scoreline. Almeria's lone victory in this period came in a tighter affair, edging out Girona 3-2 on October 20, 2022.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning heavily towards Girona, and it's hard to argue against the numbers. With a 45% chance of winning according to the data, Girona's form, coupled with Almeria's woes, suggests that the visitors have the upper hand. The advice of "Combo Winner: Girona and +1.5 goals" aligns with the expectation of a high-scoring affair, especially considering Girona's attacking prowess.

In conclusion, while football often throws up surprises, the form book and individual quality point towards a Girona victory. Expect Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo to be a thorn in Almeria's side, with Yan Bueno Couto providing width and service from the back. For Almeria, much will hinge on whether Largie Ramazani can unlock Girona's defense. However, the prediction here is clear: a Girona win with more than 1.5 goals scored in the game, as they continue their charge towards the top of La Liga.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

13%

87%

Attacking Potential

18%

82%

Defensive Potential

54%

46%

Poisson Distribution

19%

81%

Stregth H2H

40%

60%

Goals H2H

38%

63%

Wins the game

30%

70%

Almeria - Girona Head to Head

14/01	Almeria	0 - 0	Girona
22/10	Girona	5 - 2	Almeria
17/02	Girona	6 - 2	Almeria
20/10	Almeria	3 - 2	Girona

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13