AS Roma - AC Milan

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• Substitutions

90'		1 - 2	Goal	L. Spinazzola	E. Bove (Assist)
48'		0 - 2	Goal	Rafael Leão	D. Calabria (Assist)
9'		0 - 1	Penalty	O. Giroud

85'		R. Lukaku	Tripping
70'		L. Paredes	Foul
69'		L. Paredes	Foul
61'		F. Tomori	Tripping
34'		R. Loftus-Cheek	Foul
19'		F. Tomori	Roughing

79'			In:	G. Mancini	Out:	R. Pagano
76'			In:	Rafael Leão	Out:	N. Okafor
76'			In:	C. Pulišić	Out:	S. Chukwueze
71'			In:	L. Paredes	Out:	E. Bove
70'			In:	S. El Shaarawy	Out:	R. Lukaku
70'			In:	Z. Çelik	Out:	L. Spinazzola
70'			In:	O. Giroud	Out:	T. Pobega
65'			In:	R. Loftus-Cheek	Out:	P. Kalulu
31'			In:	H. Aouar	Out:	L. Pellegrini

AS Roma - AC Milan Predictions

Prediction: Draw or AC Milan

Best odds: 1.54

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In the heart of Italy's capital, a thrilling Serie A clash is brewing as the struggling AS Roma prepare to host the table-topping AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico. The match, scheduled for a Friday evening kickoff on September 1, 2023, promises to be an exciting encounter, with predictions leaning towards an AC Milan victory.

Key Players

On the home side, Andrea Belotti has emerged as a beacon of hope for AS Roma. The attacker, with a commendable rating of 7.60, has managed to find the back of the net twice, despite the team's lackluster start to the season. With 3 shots on target and a total of 4 shots, Belotti's attacking prowess will be critical for Roma.

AC Milan, on the other hand, boasts of two key performers - Christian Mate Pulišić and Olivier Jonathan Giroud. Pulišić, a midfielder with a rating of 7.95, has scored twice and created 3 key passes. Giroud, the attacker with an impressive rating of 8.30, has netted 3 goals and provided 1 assist, proving instrumental in Milan's early-season success.

Recent Form

AS Roma, currently 14th in the Serie A standings, has had a shaky start to the season, managing only a single point from their first two games. Their form, indicated by a loss and a draw in the last two games, leaves much to be desired.

Conversely, AC Milan has hit the ground running, winning both their opening fixtures. With a goal difference of +5 and a current rank of 1, the Rossoneri are in prime form.

Head-to-Head History

The last two encounters between these teams have ended in stalemates, with each team scoring a total of three goals. On April 29, 2023, they drew 1-1 at Stadio Olimpico, while the encounter at San Siro on January 8, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw.

Prediction

Despite the historical head-to-head parity, the prediction for this game favors AC Milan. The visitors' superior form (86 to Roma's 14), attacking prowess (67 to Roma's 33), and defensive solidity (80 to Roma's 20) all point towards a Milan victory or draw. AC Milan is predicted to continue their winning streak, with a 50% chance of victory or draw. The advice for this match is a double chance: draw or AC Milan.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

14%

86%

Attacking Potential

33%

67%

Defensive Potential

20%

80%

Poisson Distribution

0%

100%

Stregth H2H

15%

85%

Goals H2H

38%

63%

Wins the game

24%

76%

AS Roma - AC Milan Head to Head

18/04	AS Roma	-	AC Milan
11/04	AC Milan	-	AS Roma
14/01	AC Milan	3 - 1	AS Roma
01/09	AS Roma	1 - 2	AC Milan
29/04	AS Roma	1 - 1	AC Milan
08/01	AC Milan	2 - 2	AS Roma

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15