AS Roma - Fiorentina

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

66'		1 - 1	Goal	L. Martínez Quarta	C. Kouamé (Assist)
5'		1 - 0	Goal	R. Lukaku	P. Dybala (Assist)

87'		R. Lukaku	Tripping
86'		A. Duncan	Holding
80'		L. Paredes	Tripping
75'		C. Biraghi	Tripping
64'		J. Ikoné	Unsportsmanlike conduct
64'		N. Zalewski	Tripping
41'		N. Zalewski	Tripping
37'		B. Cristante	Tripping

85'			In:	L. Pellegrini	Out:	E. Bove
81'			In:	M. Kayode	Out:	M. Lopez
78'			In:	G. Bonaventura	Out:	R. Sottil
72'			In:	J. Ikoné	Out:	N. González
62'			In:	S. Azmoun	Out:	S. El Shaarawy
25'			In:	P. Dybala	Out:	S. Azmoun

AS Roma - Fiorentina Predictions

Prediction: AS Roma or draw

Best odds: 1.30

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As the Serie A calendar rolls into the heart of its season, a tantalizing fixture is set to unfold at the Stadio Olimpico on a brisk Sunday evening. AS Roma, with their sights set on climbing the ranks, will lock horns with a determined Fiorentina side, both teams knotted at 17 points. The anticipation for this match is palpable, with predictions and speculations running wild. Will the Roman gladiators triumph on their home turf, or will the Florentine force carve out a victory on the road?

Key Players to Watch

For AS Roma, Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar is a midfielder whose vision and control could dictate the pace of the game. With a rating of 6.75, his contribution of 2 goals and 7 key passes has been vital. In the heart of defense, Gianluca Mancini stands tall with a rating of 6.93. Mancini's defensive prowess is complemented by his threat on set-pieces, already having found the back of the net once this season. Upfront, Stephan Kareem El Shaarawy brings flair and a knack for the spectacular, with his rating of 6.95 and a goal to his name.

Fiorentina's attack will be spearheaded by Christian Michael Kouamé Kouakou, whose rating of 6.58 underlines his potential to make an impact despite his modest goal tally. Alongside him, M'Bala Nzola with a rating of 6.66, poses a dual threat with his ability to score and set up his teammates. In the midfield, Rolando Mandragora is the engine, boasting a rating of 6.83 and contributing both a goal and an assist from a deeper position.

Recent Form

AS Roma's recent form has been a mixed bag with a "WLWWW" streak, showcasing their capability to bounce back from setbacks. Their home record is particularly strong, with 4 wins out of 6 games, indicating a fortress-like mentality at the Stadio Olimpico. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has had a "LLLWW" run, suggesting a team that has found ways to overcome a rough patch. Their away record is respectable, with 3 wins from 6 outings, hinting at a team that travels with a plan.

Head-to-Head History

In their previous encounters, the two sides have shared the spoils. The last match at the Stadio Olimpico saw AS Roma secure a 2-0 victory over Fiorentina on January 15, 2023. However, Fiorentina exacted revenge in the reverse fixture with a 2-1 win on May 27, 2023. These results point towards a tightly contested rivalry with little to separate the teams.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, home advantage, and the impact of key players, this match promises to be a closely fought affair. With both teams standing shoulder to shoulder on the league table, there is everything to play for. The absence of a clear winner in the predictions suggests that this could be a match decided by fine margins.

The midfield battle will be crucial, and the team that manages to control this area of the pitch will likely steer the direction of the game. Expect Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar and Rolando Mandragora to be pivotal in this aspect. Defensively, Gianluca Mancini could be the difference-maker for Roma, while Fiorentina will rely on the attacking instincts of Christian Michael Kouamé Kouakou and M'Bala Nzola to breach the Roman backline.

Given the recent form and the advantage of playing at home, AS Roma might just edge this encounter. However, Fiorentina's resilience on the road cannot be underestimated. The prediction leans towards a narrow victory or a hard-fought draw, with a strong possibility of both teams finding the net.

In the end, expect a strategic chess match with moments of individual brilliance that could tip the scales. The safe bet might be on a draw, but do not be surprised if AS Roma leverages their home support to snatch all three points in a match that promises goals and drama in equal measure.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

63%

38%

Attacking Potential

58%

42%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

69%

31%

Stregth H2H

60%

40%

Goals H2H

57%

43%

Wins the game

60%

41%

AS Roma - Fiorentina Head to Head

10/03	Fiorentina	2 - 2	AS Roma
10/12	AS Roma	1 - 1	Fiorentina
27/05	Fiorentina	2 - 1	AS Roma
15/01	AS Roma	2 - 0	Fiorentina

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15