AS Roma - Lazio

Regular Season - 31
Kickoff: 2024-04-06 14:00

Who will win?

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AS Roma - Lazio Predictions

Prediction: AS Roma or draw
Best odds: 1.30

As the Italian Serie A approaches its 31st round, all eyes are set on a thrilling encounter between AS Roma and Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. With predictions favoring a win or draw for Roma, the stakes are high as both teams vie for a stronger foothold in the league standings. The anticipation of who will dominate this Derby della Capitale is palpable, with predictions and stats suggesting a tight contest.

Key Players - AS Roma

AS Roma's hopes are pinned on their midfield maestro, Renato Júnior Luz Sanches, whose performance rating of 6.62 is reflective of his impactful presence on the pitch. With a total of 58 passes and 3 key passes in recent outings, Sanches has been instrumental in creating opportunities for his team.

Leading the attack is Sardar Azmoun, with a rating of 6.73. His aggressive play, with 7 shots total and 3 on target, has resulted in 2 goals, showcasing his ability to convert chances into crucial points for the team.

Not to be overlooked, Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar, another midfielder with a rating of 6.73, has been a consistent performer. His 200 passes and 8 key passes have been pivotal in maintaining Roma's fluidity in the midfield, contributing to his 2-goal tally this season.

Key Players - Lazio

On the Lazio front, the spotlight shines on Gustav Tang Isaksen, an attacker with a 6.71 rating who has made his presence felt with 4 shots on target out of 11 attempts. His contribution of 1 assist indicates his dual threat as both a scorer and a provider.

Joining him in the attacking force is Matteo Cancellieri, armed with a 6.73 rating and an impressive 21 shots, 6 of which were on target. His ability to create scoring opportunities is further highlighted by his 9 key passes and 1 assist.

The experienced Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma holds a 6.75 rating, underlining his importance to the team. With 293 passes and 13 key passes, Pedro is a crucial playmaker for Lazio, and his 1 goal is a testament to his attacking prowess.

Recent Form

AS Roma enters the match in a strong position, sitting at the 6th spot with 44 points and a goal difference of +16. Their recent form has been impressive, with a run of 'WWLWW' in their last five games, indicating a consistent winning momentum.

Lazio, on the other hand, occupies the 8th position with 40 points and a goal difference of +4. Their form has been more erratic, as indicated by their 'LWLWL' sequence, suggesting a need for stability to climb the ranks.

Head-to-Head History

The historical rivalry between these two teams has always produced enthralling matches. The head-to-head record in the most recent encounters leans towards Lazio, with two wins and two draws in their last four matches against Roma. The scores from these encounters were 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, and 0-1, demonstrating tightly contested battles with Lazio having a slight edge.

Prediction

This upcoming match is expected to be a closely fought contest. The predictions lean towards AS Roma, with a 45% chance of victory and an equal percentage for a draw, while Lazio has been given a 10% chance of winning. The form of key players like Renato Sanches, Sardar Azmoun, and Houssem-Eddine Aouar for Roma, coupled with Gustav Isaksen, Matteo Cancellieri, and Pedro Rodríguez for Lazio, will be critical in determining the outcome.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: AS Roma or draw." Given both teams' scoring patterns and key player performances, it's likely that the match will be tightly contested, with Roma potentially having the edge due to their recent form and home advantage.

In conclusion, the prediction suggests leaning towards a Roma win or draw, with the potential for a low-scoring affair given the under 3.5 goal prediction for Roma and under 2.5 for Lazio. Fans can expect a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance potentially deciding the outcome of this storied derby.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

65%
35%

Attacking Potential

63%
38%

Defensive Potential

58%
42%

Poisson Distribution

64%
36%

Stregth H2H

29%
71%

Goals H2H

50%
50%

Wins the game

55%
45%

AS Roma - Lazio Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15